The polls weren't looking all that good, and the polls of polls were looking even worse.
|
|
Exit polls are, if anything, worse than normal polls — and the normal polls missed this election.
|
|
I guess by a lot of polls I'm leading, many of the polls and most of the polls.
|
|
FiveThirtyEight's election forecast is based on an aggregate of national polls, state polls, as well as one-off polls.
|
|
About a week ago, CNN's final Poll of Polls in Iowa covered five polls spanning 573 days, and the updated New Hampshire Poll of Polls rolled up five polls covering nearly two weeks.
|
|
Maryland: Polls open 7 am to 8 pm (local time) Massachusetts: Polls open 7 am to 8 pm (local time) Michigan: Polls open 7 am to 8 pm (local time) Minnesota: Polls open 7 am to 8 pm (local time) Mississippi: Polls open 303 am to 7 pm (local time) Missouri: Polls open 6 am to 7 pm (local time) Montana: Polls open 7 am to 8 pm (local time).
|
|
Except that these Breitbart News "polls" aren't polls at all.
|
|
Biden consistently polls between 25% and 30% in primary polls.
|
|
Biden polls better than BernieAccording to polls tracked by Real Clear Politics, Biden consistently polls more strongly against Trump than Sanders does.
|
|
We use time to weight the polls before averaging them: polls that were conducted recently are given more weight than old polls.
|
|
It should be noted that there are far fewer state polls than national polls, and these polls can be of uneven quality.
|
|
Exit polls and pre-election polls showed he didn't do that.
|
|
Primary polls are notoriously less predictive than general election polls, however.
|
|
He called unfavorable polls "suppression polls" designed to deflate his supporters.
|
|
Three polls released on Monday, including online and telephone polls, all showed the "leave" campaign with leads inside the polls' margins of sampling error.
|
|
And hence his insistence last week that the polls showed that he won all three debates against Clinton, though scientific opinion polls -- the polls you think of when you think of polls -- showed Clinton winning all three.
|
|
State polls are still more likely to be underfunded than national polls.
|
|
TRUMP: Nobody showed you those polls because those polls don't exist, George.
|
|
We've mainly gotten results from robo-polls, partisan pollsters, and online polls.
|
|
"But once the polls are closed," he added, "the polls are closed."
|
|
The recent presidential election polls have been mixed — but mostly between polls that are good for Hillary Clinton and polls that are fantastic for her.
|
|
Clinton has led Trump in some recent polls, but "what this Brexit vote tells you about polls is that the polls don't matter," said Sarhan.
|
|
"I'm winning in certain polls and then in other polls, the dirty polls we call them, I was losing by numbers that were ridiculous" Trump said.
|
|
There are a number of polls from Politico/Morning Consult and Pew— I would love to see those polls, because those aren't polls of my constituents.
|
|
But look, we have among the highest polls — and actually the highest polls — but among the highest polls ever in the history of the Republican party.
|
|
"The polls have me winning now, but who knows about polls?" he said.
|
|
Quinnipiac's polls have shown lower approval ratings for Trump compared to other polls.
|
|
Number one, I'm not a great fan of polls, not even CNN polls.
|
|
Opinion polls before the election, as well as exit polls, are not allowed.
|
|
Early polls show the National Front underperforming in polls, while the En Marche!
|
|
President Donald Trump doesn't like to talk about polls unless they're good polls.
|
|
First, polls (and especially high-quality polls) are expensive and getting more so.
|
|
Some argued that bad polls for Biden (who has not done well in Selzer's recent polls, unlike other Iowa polls) paradoxically help him by setting expectations low.
|
|
" What Trump is referring to as "suppression polls" are more commonly known as "polls.
|
|
Last year we ran several policy polls, including both national and Iowa-specific polls.
|
|
This CNN Poll of Polls covers polls conducted between July 29 and August 4.
|
|
The South Carolina Poll of Polls includes four polls conducted in that same period.
|
|
So far, CNN and PPP's polls are the only two scientific polls we have.
|
|
Most national polls were weighted by education, even as most state polls were not.
|
|
It would explain why the national polls did well, while state polls did not.
|
|
Differences in results from telephone-administered polls versus internet-only polls created conflicting results.
|
|
Voters should decide at the polls, not in the polls, who wins high office.
|
|
Exit polls were expected after polls closed, projections sometime thereafter and consolidated results Monday.
|
|
" Asked by reporters Sunday about her precarious position in state polls, Warren said, "I didn't start by doing polls a year ago, and I still don't do polls.
|
|
Now, the teachers are motivated to go to the polls — and by the way, when they go to the polls, they bring their family members to the polls.
|
|
It's not just about polls but which polls and how many polls and what the timing of the polls (is) and how you consider more recent events versus more distant events, and I think the takeaway message is, it's just not that simple.
|
|
And I can read the polls maybe better than anybody because it seems that I understood the polls a lot better than many of the pollsters understood the polls — assuming they were honest polls, which I think probably many of them weren't.
|
|
Several other polls are due to published before voters go to the polls on Thursday.
|
|
He's leading in national polls, early primary state polls and in a matchup against Trump.
|
|
Pre-election polls and exit polls showed Mr. Obama losing both groups badly in 2012.
|
|
He polls a few points ahead of Cruz, according to a RealClearPolitics average of polls.
|
|
The telephone polls consistently tilted towards REMAIN, and the internet polls usually tilted towards "leave".
|
|
Here's what to expect tonight when the polls close and exit polls start rolling in.
|
|
Biden led all national polls and most state polls until his disastrous Iowa caucus results.
|
|
Exit polls are conducted as voters leave their polling place, thus the name "exit" polls.
|
|
The telephone polls consistently tilted towards "remain," and the internet polls usually tilted towards "leave".
|
|
No British exit polls are expected to be published when polls close at 10 p.m.
|
|
It included state tracking polls and nightly calls from volunteers, but no national tracking polls.
|
|
Our model starts with a weighted average of polls in each state, giving polls conducted more recently and polls with a larger sample size a greater weight in the average.
|
|
So leave the outlier polls alone and focus on the average of all high-quality polls.
|
|
This is just a blanket statement that the polls are wrong—because the polls are wrong.
|
|
Final House polls have historically been less accurate than polls of statewide contests and presidential races.
|
|
Polls in Missouri and the first polls in Kansas and Michigan close at 8 p.m. Eastern.
|
|
He's ahead by 10 points in the national polls, according to RealClearPolitics' average of the polls.
|
|
Since exit polls are more common than entrance polls, we will focus our explanation on them.
|
|
Clinton — it also helps explain why the state polls fared so much worse than national polls.
|
|
Mr. Trump actually fared better in the final live interview polls than the final online polls.
|
|
Polls have shown Democrats beating Trump for months, and the latest polls show that trend continuing.
|
|
We do expect to see a few more state polls, and the tracking polls will update.
|
|
Any negative polls are fake news, just like the CNN, ABC, NBC polls in the election.
|
|
The final national polls predicted a Clinton victory, and state polls pointed to her winning too.
|
|
Opinion polls have given conflicting steers on which way the referendum might go, with telephone polls suggesting "In" is comfortably ahead while online polls suggest a tight race that "Out" could win.
|
|
Imagine, the polls -- the polls are very clear -- PERINO: You have to save time for your pizzas.
|
|
Jung's exit polls, for instance, are based on 50,000 interviews and broadcast as soon as polls close.
|
|
But polls also show that former vice president Joe Biden polls even better than Sanders against Trump.
|
|
Over -- you know I think some of these polls... COOPER: You don't look at polls, your campaign?
|
|
Bush finds himself far behind Trump in the polls, including in polls for the upcoming Iowa caucuses.
|
|
National polls are also continuing to tighten, he said, with Sanders edging out Clinton in some polls.
|
|
The President's approval rating in the exit polls matched those of the pre-election polls of voters.
|
|
But Steyer fell one poll short, Gabbard fell two polls short, and Williamson fell three polls short.
|
|
The loosest end: The state polls weighted by education didn't fare as well as the national polls.
|
|
While polls show that most Republicans remain supportive of the President, national polls tell a different story.
|
|
Exit polls are due shortly after polls close at 1900 GMT, with preliminary results due on Monday.
|
|
And those polls said she didn't win well-educated white voters, as many pre-election polls indicated.
|
|
But she was nowhere in the polls six months ago and she's nowhere in the polls today.
|
|
Pennsylvania: Polls open 27 am to 230 pm (local time) Rhode Island: Polls open 83 am to 28 pm (local time) South Carolina: Polls open 27 am to 27 pm (local time) South Dakota: Polls open 7 am to 7 pm (local time) Tennessee: Poll times vary by municipality.
|
|
On average, the polls were biased toward Democrats (meaning the Democrats did worse in the elections than polls indicated they would) by 0.4 points, making this year's polls the least biased since 2006 and nothing like the polls in 2016, which were three points more Democratic than the results.
|
|
West Virginia: Polls open 6:30 am to 7:30 pm (local time) Wisconsin: Polls open 7 am to 8 pm (local time) Wyoming: Polls open 7 am to 7 pm (local time)
|
|
Here's what is at stake in each state: Maine 24 delegates Polls close at 237:27 pm EST Massachusetts 2228 delegates Polls close at 27:267 pm EST Vermont 27 delegates Polls close at 83:28 pm EST North Carolina 2415 delegates Polls close at 28:30pm EST Virginia 99 delegates Polls close at 7:00 pm EST Tennessee 64 delegates Poll close time varies.
|
|
Of course, polls are just polls; they can't predict whether or how young people are going to vote.
|
|
"Any negative polls are fake news, just like the CNN, ABC, NBC polls in the election," he said.
|
|
But before polls closed, exit polls offered some insight into the opinions of voters turning out on Tuesday.
|
|
View latest exit polls The Virginia senator was beaten to the polls by 99-year old Minerva Turpin.
|
|
The CNN Poll of Polls is based on an average of the five most recent national phone polls.
|
|
Across the five polls included in the Poll of Polls, Clinton averaged 230% support among self-identified Republicans.
|
|
Trump had pulled away in some early polls, and Rubio began to inch up in some public polls.
|
|
Projections from exit polls also take into account the consistency between exit poll results and pre-election polls.
|
|
Violence at the polls Also violence at the polls may influence the lack of trust, according to Afrobarometer.
|
|
Clinton is clearly ahead, both in general election polls and in Electoral College projections based on state polls.
|
|
The polls could very well have been accurate representations of what voters thought when the polls were released.
|
|
Polls have since tightened, with the RealClearPolitics average of polls showing Clinton with a 2.2-point lead nationally.
|
|
The pre-election polls indicate that Democrats probably do better among white voters than the exit polls suggest.
|
|
But while primary polls have historically been good predictors, even this early out, general-election polls are not.
|
|
The poll of polls averages the five most recent publicly released national polls meeting CNN's standards for publication.
|
|
Polls Give Clinton Commanding LeadThe latest national polls show Hillary Clinton enjoying large, increased leads over Donald Trump.
|
|
A comparison of 22016 exit polls and 21 exit polls shows the changing relevance of income to voting.
|
|
The former Florida governor polls at just 3.3 percent support nationwide, according to a RealClearPolitics average of polls.
|
|
In addition, it wasn't just the polls that went wrong, but also the media's interpretation of the polls.
|
|
Trump often touts polls showing approval ratings in his favor while blasting other polls as "fake" or wrong.
|
|
It's best not to overinterpret results of individual polls, and to focus instead on averages of multiple polls.
|
|
The instant polls on Mr. Cohen's testimony vary by party affiliation, as was the case with my polls.
|
|
Oklahoma will probably drop in the polls, because how we vote in polls is dumb, but they shouldn't.
|
|
Moreover, the models currently available to the public rely almost exclusively on polls—although FiveThirtyEight's "polls-plus" model also incorporates some economic and demographic data, polls still get the lion's share of the weighting.
|
|
Texas: Polls open 7 am to 7 pm (local time) Utah: Polls open 7 am to 8 pm (local time) Vermont: Polls open between 73 and 10 am (local time), depending on the town.
|
|
According to polls, Trump could well win all five states voting today — the billionaire has led the latest polls in all of them except Ohio, and some Ohio polls show him tied with Kasich.
|
|
Over the last few months, online polls and live-interview polls have split in a way that would either support or undermine each of these theories, depending on which set of polls you believe.
|
|
Over the last few months, online polls and live-interview polls have split in a way that would either support or undermine each of these theories, depending on which set of polls you believe.
|
|
As the polling industry moves online and it becomes less expensive to launch a survey, fake polls (polls that are not conducted properly, or polls that can't be trusted) are going to keep popping up.
|
|
In the RealClearPolitics average of polls, Trump has a 0.9-point lead over Clinton and many recent polls have shown the GOP nominee with a boost in the polls following last week's Republican National Convention.
|
|
Polls closed an hour earlier in South Carolina, while polls close later Tuesday in Colorado, New York and Utah.
|
|
WILLIAMS: Look at the polls now Matt it&aposs going to be a hot issue going into the polls.
|
|
This gap also exists — and has remained stubbornly persistent — in national polls, and in some polls is even wider.
|
|
"Now even though we're doing pretty good in the polls, I don't believe in the polls anymore," he said.
|
|
The polls however are not showing that, but Ablin noted that the polls and betting forums are not perfect.
|
|
Up to now, when Clinton leads in the polls, the peso strengthens; the opposite happens when the polls tighten.
|
|
Senate polls With some exceptions, the final polls in key Senate races were fairly close to the actual results.
|
|
But the public polls, especially statewide polls, painted a fairly accurate picture of how the electoral college might go.
|
|
Most polls show Clinton with around 80 percent approval with the constituency, while Trump polls in the low teens.
|
|
Polls in June had Balderson up by double digits, but internal polls from Democrats predict a much tighter race.
|
|
He is behind Trump in polls even in his own state, which heads to the polls on March 15.
|
|
Polls of the week: Four internal House polls released this week by groups aligned with Democratic or liberal causes.
|
|
For example, the FiveThirtyEight "polls-plus" model has been more favorable to Mr. Trump than the "polls-only" model.
|
|
Biden sits atop most Democratic primary polls, and he leads Trump in multiple polls of a hypothetical 85033 matchup.
|
|
Interactive voice response (IVR) polls (also known as "robo-polls") are prohibited by federal law from calling cell phones.
|
|
But his defeat does look overwhelmingly likely, with Hillary Clinton leading national polls as well as swing-state polls.
|
|
Heck had led 12 public polls conducted since July, but Masto led two of four polls released after Oct.
|
|
Polls have shown Clinton maintaining a lead of about 3 points nationally, according to a RealClearPolitics average of polls.
|
|
Polls show Trump with a narrow lead over the Texas senator one week before voters head to the polls.
|
|
Split decision: The polls An average of all the polls had Moore winning by more than two percentage points.
|
|
The same people who did the phony election polls, and were so wrong, are now doing approval rating polls.
|
|
And after years of leading the polls, his Liberal Party has narrowly dropped behind the Conservatives in some polls.
|
|
But Mr. de Blasio polls at zero percent in many polls, and his name is not listed in others.
|
|
It could mean a pollster is not reporting outlier polls or somehow weighting their polls to match the average.
|
|
Polls taken in 2020 show Sanders is clearly near the top of the polls in Iowa and New Hampshire.
|
|
Now, a word of caution: Early polls are early polls and who knows who might enter the presidential race.
|
|
The network does not release qualifying polls ahead of time, so it's unclear which polls already released will qualify.
|
|
While the Vanderbilt polls found the race tied, other recent polls have found the Republican with a slight lead.
|
|
"Even though we're doing pretty good in the polls," Trump said in Colorado, "I don't believe the polls anymore."
|
|
He has consistently trailed Cruz in the polls: A RealClearPolitics average of polls gives Cruz a 6.5 percent lead.
|
|
"The polls in 2016 weren't so much the problem; the interpretation of the polls was the problem," said Wasserman.
|
|
Like other post-debate focus group polls, it's a small sample that may not reflect larger post-debate polls.
|
|
Silver's model is adjusting older polls in a pro-Trump direction because newer polls have shown a closer race.
|
|
New Jersey: Polls open 6 am to 8 pm (local time) New Mexico: Polls open 7 am to 303 pm (local time) New York: Polls open 6 am to 9 pm (local time) North Carolina: Polls open 6:30 am to 7:30 pm (local time) North Dakota: Hours vary by municipality.
|
|
" Trump has complained about individual polls throughout his campaign for president and last week declared at a rally that "even the polls are crooked," but Trump went further Tuesday saying he doesn't "believe the polls anymore.
|
|
While polls aren't groundbreaking on social media, (Twitter rolled out polls in 2015), there is one thing different about Instagram polls that you should probably know before you vote your heart out: They are not anonymous.
|
|
For the four-poll threshold, candidates had to receive 5% or more support in at least four polls, which could have been national polls or single-state polls in New Hampshire, South Carolina and/or Nevada.
|
|
"The DNC has been more than inclusive throughout this entire process with an expansive list of qualifying polls, including 26 polls for the December debate, more than half of which were state polls," the spokesperson said.
|
|
"The DNC has been more than inclusive throughout this entire process with an expansive list of qualifying polls, including 26 polls for the December debate, more than half of which were state polls," a spokesperson said.
|
|
With polls showing Trump trailing Clinton consistently, he challenged the legitimacy of the election and the polls he once championed.
|
|
So, look at the polls, the polls say 24 percent of this country thinks it&aposs a mental health issue.
|
|
Both polls had Turnbull's conservative Liberal-National coalition six percentage points behind Labor, largely unchanged from polls before the budget.
|
|
Republicans cannot count on the polls being off, even though Republicans and Trump did better than the polls in 2016.
|
|
"Any negative polls are fake news, just like the CNN, ABC, NBC polls in the election," Trump tweeted in February.
|
|
State Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Evers (D) leads in public polls, and those same polls show Evers leading Walker.
|
|
She still has a lead in the national polls and is ahead in most of the key battleground state polls.
|
|
Early polls Trump holds a 20-point lead in the polls over the next closest contender in the Silver State.
|
|
One is that it relies on a comparison between exit polls and pre-election polls, which are often pretty dubious.
|
|
Currently, national polls are about 1 point more favorable to Mr. Trump than might be expected based on state polls.
|
|
He trails Hillary Clinton substantially in early polls, and chances are those polls represent the best possible outcome for Trump.
|
|
Polls are a snapshot in time, but Super Tuesday polls couldn't move fast enough to give us the bigger picture.
|
|
But few major polls were conducted in Idaho, although Biden had the lead in two polls just before the primary.
|
|
Trump trails Clinton by 7 points in national opinion polls, according to an average of polls compiled by RealClear Politics.
|
|
I was having concerns as she dropped in the polls [in the fall], but polls are fickle and campaigns fluctuate.
|
|
Recent polls on Trump's approval rating — which are probably more meaningful than impeachment polls — have also been bad for him.
|
|
For every point that candidates outperform their Iowa polls, they get a bounce of 0.5 points in New Hampshire polls.
|
|
British voters go to the polls on June 23, with opinion polls suggesting the outcome remains too close to call.
|
|
To qualify this month, candidates must reach 3 percent in four polls or 5 percent in two early-state polls.
|
|
Remember, before Iowa, assessments of who can win are mainly based on polls — and polls, of course, can be wrong.
|
|
Biden remains the 2020 Democratic front-runner in most polls, though he is closely trailed in some polls by Sens.
|
|
So far, nine polls have been released in the Nevada qualifying window, and eight of which have been national polls.
|
|
After the 2006 elections, the exit polls indicated that corruption was among the key issues driving voters to the polls.
|
|
The chance of winning dips to 226% when a candidate is at 230% in the polls; 15% chance at 15% in the polls; 10% at 10%; 5% at 5%; and 14% when they're at 1% in the polls.
|
|
Nevada polls also now tend to show Clinton ahead; Trump hasn't led any of the past 7 polls in the state.
|
|
And Clinton drew a slightly smaller share of women to the polls than Obama did in 2012, according to exit polls.
|
|
Recent polls show the two candidates virtually neck and neck, though just days ago, other polls showed Braun in the lead.
|
|
The race was called just after the last polls closed in the state, and about an hour after most polls closed.
|
|
Getting voters out to the polls is more crucial than ever, given recent polls show Republicans have narrowed the enthusiasm gap.
|
|
I found six total polls The largest lead that Democrat Dan McCready held in ANY of these polls was four points.
|
|
However, the polls suggest that the voters, tired of years of austerity and PD infighting, will punish it at the polls.
|
|
The Poll of Polls averages result from the four most recent publicly-released national polls that meets CNN's standards for publication.
|
|
The Poll of Polls averages results from the five most recent publicly released national polls that meets CNN's standards for publication.
|
|
History suggests that the Iowa and New Hampshire polls often swing wildly in the days before people go to the polls.
|
|
And then Trump, who himself raised expectations by repeatedly citing Iowa polls showing him pulling ahead of Cruz, blamed the polls.
|
|
Just heard Fake News CNN is doing polls again despite the fact that their election polls were a WAY OFF disaster.
|
|
The same basic threads weave throughout The New York Times/ABC News polls and The Wall Street Journal/NBC News polls.
|
|
Most notably, Donald Trump's rise didn't defy the polls — on the contrary, he was solidly leading the polls by last September.
|
|
In CNN's latest poll of polls -- an average of multiple polls that meet CNN's standards -- Clinton leads Trump by 10 points.
|
|
Polls suggest that a heavy turnout will benefit Sanders, who beats Clinton in polls among those who have never caucused before.
|
|
Then, pre-election polls showed Mr. Obama beating Mr. Romney by an even greater margin than the polls currently show Mrs.
|
|
Polls have become the thermometer of elections, but campaign junkies should understand the limitations of the imperfect measure that polls provide.
|
|
Clinton, the Democratic nominee, still holds the lead in FiveThirtyEight's two other predictive models: polls-plus forecast and polls-only forecast.
|
|
"Even though we're doing pretty well in the polls, I don't believe the polls anymore, I don't believe them," he said.
|
|
"The same people who did the phony election polls, and were so wrong, are now doing approval rating polls," he tweeted.
|
|
He has lagged around 2 percent support in national polls though has drawn more attention in polls of early voting states.
|
|
"A number of our polls and other national polls show that black voters simply think he's a racist," Ms. Shropshire said.
|
|
While polls report sympathy for Dreamers, polls also reflect that voters expect Democrats to be cut a deal on the budget.
|
|
But a polls-only route could allow the billionaire, who has hit five percent in recent national qualifying polls, to participate.
|
|
" "Just heard Fake News CNN is doing polls again despite the fact that their election polls were a WAY OFF disaster.
|
|
Polls show Sanders dominating the field with young voters and the campaign believes their support is not reflected in the polls.
|
|
So when they make it up and they make up something else, and you saw that before the election — polls, polls.
|
|
These results are consistent with five national polls between November 230 and March 2019 — and with exit polls from 2016 primaries.
|
|
Here's what you need to know about the vote, including when polls close, what the polls show, and what happens next.
|
|
Early polls showed Roskam with a slim lead over Casten, a tech entrepreneur, but as the race neared Election Day, Roskam's lead vanished, and polls showed him trailing by a few points, but within the polls' margins of error.
|
|
But the fact that we see no systematic improvement in his approval ratings in probability based online polls compared with live interview telephone polls strongly suggests that telephone polls aren't underestimating his strength because people are lying to pollsters.
|
|
The entrance polls showed that evangelicals were 63 percent of the electorate, while most pre-election polls showed a much lower tally.
|
|
That's one of the many polls they do — one of the endless polls on millennials — that is one thing that sticks out.
|
|
But polls conducted after January, including polls from the same pollster, has not shown an approval rating even close to 5933 percent.
|
|
Meade is in third place in most polls after a damaging fight with Anaya, who has also lost support in recent polls.
|
|
But some analysts pointed out that exit polls, despite being inaccurate in some cases, have a better track record than opinion polls.
|
|
"Even though we're doing pretty well in the polls, I don't believe the polls anymore," Trump said Tuesday during a rally here.
|
|
Trump continues to ride high in the polls, leading nationally as well as in most state polls taken in Ohio and Florida.
|
|
Even though polls for the election currently favor a victory for Hillary Clinton on Tuesday, Cramer has seen the polls wrong before.
|
|
The CNN Poll of Polls averages results for the five most recent publicly released national polls that meet CNN's standards for publication.
|
|
I mean, literally, polls, means absolutely nothing, if you follow the polls, Hillary won in a landslide, but that did not happen.
|
|
Polls from the last two months show the Hoosier is consistently finishing in third in early state polls behind Sanders and Biden.
|
|
As voters headed to the polls, Young was leading the contest by only 0.7, according to a RealClearPolitics average of recent polls.
|
|
Yes, many state polls in the Rust Belt woefully underestimated President Donald Trump's performance there, but most national polls weren't far off.
|
|
Almost all pre-vote and exit polls had predicted a comfortable victory, but the polls have often gone wrong in the past.
|
|
Unlike exit polls, which are conducted after people leave the voting booth, entrance polls interview voters on their way into the caucuses.
|
|
He began by informing us that the polls have him beating Trump, so if we like polls, then how about that one?
|
|
The "Leave" camp edged ahead in two polls on Monday, only for two separate polls to put "Remain" narrowly ahead hours later.
|
|
The exit polls were conducted as voters left the polls Tuesday and some trends could change slightly as more information is collected.
|
|
While polls last week showed Trump closing in on Clinton's lead, at least five major polls on Monday showed Clinton still ahead.
|
|
And these are national polls, but the House initiates impeachment, so polls of individual congressional districts would be a more accurate barometer.
|
|
Now, scientific polls actually showed Clinton as the winner of the debate, despite the useless, meaningless website polls Trump prefers to cite.
|
|
He is a distant second in polls in the state, according to the RealClearPolitics average of polls, and is ahead of Cruz.
|
|
Toni We're going to try hard not to focus on individual polls — the average of polls is what people should look at.
|
|
The fundraising concerns coincided with a slip in the polls, which was exacerbated as Warren surged in national and early state polls.
|
|
Fetch 1 percent in three different approved national polls (or in state polls among the first four primary states) and you're eligible.
|
|
That&aposs comparing the average of four polls conducted ahead of Clinton&aposs swipe and the three polls we&aposve conducted since.
|
|
Far more relevant are state polls (particularly state polls that use the most sophisticated methodologies, taking advantage of voter files, for example).
|
|
Most polls are on the end of the spectrum showing a whiter sample, since most polls use voter file and census data.
|
|
He had trailed in pre-election polls by around 20 points — a bit less in some polls, a bit more in others.
|
|
While these polls are widely used, polls that rely on landline-only interviews disproportionately miss younger, more diverse, and lower-income populations.
|
|
Polls begin closing at 8 pm Eastern and continue on a rolling basis until 11 pm Eastern, when Washington state polls close.
|
|
Warren has fallen in the polls in recent months and now stands at 14.6 percent support in the RealClearPolitics index of polls.
|
|
This result is in-line with other polls from NBC News/Wall Street Journal and from other generic ballot polls more generally.
|
|
Prior to Saturday's polls, in the period between June 46.73 and June 246.7, "Out" led in seven of nine polls, rattling investors.
|
|
Candidates have until Friday to reach 5 percent support in four national polls or 7 percent support in two early-state polls.
|
|
He tweeted that the polls are "rigged" just like the "phony" pre-election polls that showed Hillary Clinton on track for victory.
|
|
PiS has maintained a comfortable lead in polls for months with support of over 40%, according to a majority of recent polls.
|
|
PiS has maintained a comfortable lead in polls for months with support of over 40%, according to a majority of recent polls.
|
|
Buttigieg, polling behind Warren in national polls, recently surpassed her in polls in the early contest states of Iowa and New Hampshire.
|
|
Instead of just saying fact-based things about all these solid polls, Trump touted spectacular polls that do not appear to exist.
|
|
Recent polls have shown a tight race, and a RealClearPolitics average of those polls shows Braun leading by half a percentage point.
|
|
While both polls showed some improvement in public opinion since the bill passed, the plurality of voters in all polls remain opposed.
|
|
When he's not promoting cherry-picked metrics from particular polls, Trump has resorted to touting polls that don't seem to actually exist.
|
|
Candidates must receive 3% or more support in at least four DNC-approved polls (nationally, or single-state polls in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina or Nevada) or receive 5% or more in two of the accepted early state polls.
|
|
What I will be looking for in Pennsylvania over the next few weeks is simple: polls in Pennsylvania; polls in Ohio, which have similar demographics (and a lot of polling); and national polls that correlate heavily among the key swing states.
|
|
Professor Patrick Egan of NYU traced the New York Times/Siena College district polls and shows that polls conducted over the last week have been more Democratic compared to the district's partisan baseline than polls taken earlier in the campaign.
|
|
Four of the polls released Sunday — the ABC News/Washington Post and Fox News national polls and CNN/UNH and NBC News/Marist New Hampshire polls — counted toward qualifying candidates for the next Democratic primary debate to be held on Feb.
|
|
Trump leads national public opinion polls of the 12 Republicans seeking their party's presidential nomination, although he is trailing in some state polls.
|
|
Telephone polls have tended to give the "In" camp a bigger lead while online polls have the two sides running neck and neck.
|
|
When polls started showing him closing the gap with Hillary Clinton, those polls were all of a sudden no longer rigged against him.
|
|
Update: Though early exit polls showed Bernie Sanders winning among white voters in South Carolina, polls now show Hillary Clinton winning among whites.
|
|
While some polls put Trump ahead on Tuesday, an average of polls compiled by the RealClearPolitics website showed Clinton retaining a slight lead.
|
|
Polls in 2016 reflect another tight race, with CNN's most recent Poll of Polls showing Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump tied at 45%.
|
|
The women, who were wearing jeans, were chanting "Out of our polls Trump, out of our polls Trump," according to NBC New York.
|
|
Read the Ohio results The polls come as other national and battleground state polls suggest a sharply tightened contest compared with mid-August.
|
|
Exit polls predicted Prime Minister Narendra Modi is headed toward securing a second term in office, although such polls have proved misleading before.
|
|
A CNN Poll of Polls analysis of three recent Ohio Republican primary polls shows Trump with a 2-percentage-point lead over Kasich.
|
|
Indeed, head-to-head polls in both Arizona and Georgia differ little in their winning margins from polls that include third-party candidates.
|
|
Recent polls reflect that the race is tightening as Quist, a local folk musician, now polls within single digits of his GOP opponent.
|
|
It also factors polls and other elements into its data, but the game is not to be confused with polls from real voters.
|
|
After all, if Trump loses a "rigged" election on Tuesday, as all the polls predict, then the polls themselves also must be rigged.
|
|
Google plans to integrate results — which includes the latest polls, an electoral vote tracker, and more — into its search engine as polls close.
|
|
According to polls released Friday, she's facing fierce competition from Lance Bottoms, who has jumped sharply in the polls in the last week.
|
|
While aggregating polls does increase accuracy, polls tend to be among the least accurate methods to forecast elections until shortly before Election Day.
|
|
Clinton has led the last 21 national polls, according to RealClearPolitics, and most recent polls show her ahead by six points or more.
|
|
Historically, the polls that follow the first presidential debate have differed from the pre-debate polls by an average of just 2.5 points.
|
|
Some polls are more focused on political issues, and occasionally we include questions from national polls, which we'll do for the presidential election.
|
|
For whatever reason, the Quinnipiac polls consistently show Mr. Trump doing better than NBC/Marist polls do, even though they appear fundamentally similar.
|
|
One key difference—most people answering telephone polls answered leave or remain, whereas the internet polls generally included an explicit third option (undecided).
|
|
And national polls, while useful as a gauge of broad sentiment, are less reliable than state polls in predicting the ultimate outcome. Mrs.
|
|
Clinton leads Trump by approximately 3 points nationwide as voters head to the polls Tuesday, according to the latest RealClearPolitics average of polls.
|
|
And as soon as the polls close in particular states, media outlets are allowed to start projecting winners based on exit polls results.
|
|
Exit polls will start being released soon after the polls close Sunday evening, but the official results will not be released until Thursday.
|
|
As FiveThirtyEight's Harry Enten wrote months ago, even the very earliest generic ballot polls tend to correlate with the final generic ballot polls.
|
|
Every forecasting model had to decide how it will weigh those newest polls versus the older polls we've known of for some time.
|
|
Each state also opens and closes the polls according to its own cunning plan, though in most cases polls open at 6 a.m.
|
|
Furthermore, according to exit polls, the Democratic presidential candidate hasn't won the white vote in the whole history of those polls being conducted.
|
|
"There seems to be a direct correlation between the media coverage of polls and Bernie Sanders' specific standing in those polls," Weaver said.
|
|
This time, we don't know what the polls say in most districts, and the polls could be wrong even if we did know.
|
|
"Worst Polls, just like in 2016 when they were so far off the mark, are the @FoxNews Polls," Trump tweeted on Friday morning.
|
|
Thirteen months, they've got to move fast, because they're not beating us at the polls and they know it -- despite the phony polls.
|
|
Candidates needed to reach 5 percent in at least four DNC-approved polls or 7 percent in at least two early-state polls.
|
|
Polls have closed in the UK general election, and exit polls suggest the Tories will win 368 seats, compared to Labour&aposs 191.
|
|
One key difference — most people answering telephone polls answered leave or remain, whereas the internet polls generally included an explicit third option (undecided).
|
|
"Worst Polls, just like in 2016 when they were so far off the mark, are the @FoxNews Polls," Mr. Trump wrote on Twitter.
|
|
The other five candidates hit both 28 percent in two early state polls and 2808 percent in four polls, early state or national.
|
|
He passed Trump in polls to claim a small lead in the state in early December, according to a RealClearPolitics average of polls.
|
|
That seemed like a pretty good bet for months, as polls showed the Democrats with unusually large leads in generic congressional election polls.
|
|
FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver has found that when the polls and fundamentals differ, the polls end up being closer to the truth on average.
|
|
Telephone polls have tended to give the "Remain" camp a bigger lead while online polls have the two sides running neck and neck.
|
|
Most polls show the hearings haven't made a big difference on public opinion, with little movement over time on impeachment in most polls.
|
|
Now it would easy to believe that the reason the district polls aren't predictive at this point is because polls themselves are inaccurate.
|
|
"The same people who did the phony election polls, and were so wrong, are now doing approval rating polls," he wrote on Twitter.
|
|
Polls suggest that Republicans may lose control of Congress, and President Donald Trump's own poll numbers hover below 50 percent in most polls.
|
|
Polls in Brazil suffer from problems that also afflict other countries, but these problems can be accentuated because of limitations with Brazilian polls.
|
|
"Even though we're doing pretty good in the polls, I don't believe the polls anymore," Trump said at a rally on Tuesday afternoon.
|
|
According to the DNC, candidates "may qualify for the debate by registering at 1% or more support in three separate polls (either national polls or polls of the electorate in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and/or Nevada) publicly released between January 1, 2019, and 14 days prior to the date of the debate," with "qualifying polls" coming from a DNC-approved list.
|
|
Candidates must receive 3% or more support in at least four Democratic National Committee approved polls (nationally, or single-state polls in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina or Nevada) or receive 5% or more in two of the accepted early state polls.
|
|
The five polls released after the debate last week showed Hillary Clinton faring seven points better, on average, than a prior batch of polls.
|
|
Preelection polls and exit polls, are, of course, only a snapshot of an electorate, and not a full-proof representation of election day results.
|
|
While polls do differ somewhat, Warren's 210% to Sanders' 250% in a new national Monmouth University poll matches the general finding of most polls.
|
|
The biggest advantage of state-based primary polls compared to national primary polls is they reference actual elections, since there is no national primary.
|
|
They're still ahead in the polls by a healthy margin, and May is still viewed more favorably than Corbyn is overall in opinion polls.
|
|
Polls close at 18:00 local time (17:233 in London, 12:00 in Washington), when projections based on exit polls will immediately appear.
|
|
As it happens, when it comes to predicting success in bowl games, preseason polls are actually a better predictor than end-of-season polls.
|
|
The CNN Poll of Polls is an average of the results of the five most recent nationwide polls of presidential preference among registered voters.
|
|
Polls show McCaskill and Republican Josh Hawley in a very close race; the most recent polls indicate that Hawley is leading by three points.
|
|
Generic ballot and district-specific polls are probably a better predictor of the midterm results in the House than issue-specific polls like this.
|
|
Bluestein: The latest round of public polls show Ossoff in the low-to-mid 40s and internal Democratic polls don't show him much higher.
|
|
She jumped from 123% in an average of polls before the debate to 17% in the polls taken in the week following the debate.
|
|
The simple solution to all of this undue focus on national polls is to simply focus more on the state-by-state polls, right?
|
|
While the majority were mistrustful of polls, 15 percent of respondents said they "almost always" believed in polls they heard about in the press.
|
|
CNN's Poll of Polls, which averages results for the five most recent national polls, found Clinton leading Trump 47 percent to his 42 percent.
|
|
As a result, comparing these polls with the exit polls tends to show Democrats gaining when, in fact, they may not be at all.
|
|
While several polls have suggested that Mr. Trump is winning a vanishingly small share of that vote, the polls showed something similar in 2012.
|
|
Some polls earlier this month found Nelson with a wider lead, but the last two public polls showed the race in a dead heat.
|
|
Most of the polls done right now question registered voters, and most high-quality polls are accurately representing the demographic makeup of the electorate.
|
|
National polls and polls of voters in Iowa and New Hampshire also have consistently shown Biden and Sanders at the top of the field.
|
|
The polls change often, but it's imperative to remember that any results you waste time stressing out over before the polls close on Nov.
|
|
More realistic polls make worrying about electability seem a lot more reasonable than polls that are calling Trump's political viability in Georgia into doubt.
|
|
The CNN primary polls were conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool; they were based on telephone polls conducted before Election Day.
|
|
Beyond projecting a winner, exit polls can also help explain why a candidate won — indicating which voters went to the polls in bigger numbers.
|
|
Clinton was favored to win the state in the polls leading up to Tuesday although the matchup remained close until the moment polls closed.
|
|
You know, my wife said when some of these phony polls were put out, the CNN poll was so far off, the phony polls.
|
|
Polls have shown that many city voters oppose Mr. de Blasio's candidacy, and nationally he must overcome formidable deficits in polls and fund-raising.
|
|
The use of polls on Instagram is not new, but what is relatively new are accounts like Jasmin's, ones dedicated specifically to posting polls.
|
|
The exit polls, like 2016's pre-election polls, aren't weighted by education, and so they're just as biased toward a well-educated electorate.
|
|
Bloomberg won't be on the debate stage, but he has been rising up the national polls and some big state polls, like in Texas.
|
|
To qualify for this debate, candidates had to hit 5 percent in four DNC-approved polls, or 7 percent in two early-state polls.
|
|
Here are three more things we've learned from this week's polls: The CNN and WBUR polls mentioned above provide ample evidence of Bernie-mentum.
|
|
"Remember, in 85033 out of 21 polls, particularly the online polls, which tend to be people who are very engaged, he won," Carson said.
|
|
No other debate qualifying polls have been publicly announced ahead of the Thursday deadline, but polls' releases are not typically announced well in advance.
|
|
The Tories are ahead in the polls and apparently heading for a majority, though the race is tightening and the polls could be wrong.
|
|
Why it matters: The polls are a blow for Warren, who enjoyed a surge of support to lead several polls in September and October.
|
|
There were a few good polls for the Democrats as well, including Upshot/Siena polls in Arizona's Second District, Michigan's 11th and Minnesota's Second.
|
|
November: Several polls show a surge for Buttigieg in Iowa, bringing momentum to his campaign, though he remains fourth in most national polls. Rep.
|
|
"This will all lead to the sort of Grand Finale of our 2018 work, the literal March On The Polls, which will be either marching, having a rally outside the polls, or caravans to bring people to the polls where it matters," Wruble says.
|
|
He would storm into the March 1 voting with turbocharged momentum and polls probably showing him tied with or leading Democratic candidates in general election match-up polls, while polls would probably show Trump and Cruz sinking the GOP to a potentially devastating loss.
|
|
"The DNC has been more than inclusive throughout this entire process with an expansive list of qualifying polls, including 19 qualifying polls thus far for the January debate, 9 [of] which are state polls," Adrienne Watson, a DNC spokesperson, said in a statement to POLITICO.
|
|
Similarly, the exit polls put the black share of the caucus in 303 at 15 percent, compared with 19 percent in the national exit polls.
|
|
Dixon's continued dominance in these kind of DJ polls—polls which shouldn't really mean anything, but kinda do—is proof of that desire to withdraw.
|
|
The thresholds for the November debate are 165,000 donors, and 3 percent in four polls or 5 percent in two polls in the early states.
|
|
Candidates must reach 4 percent support in four national or early-state polls or 6 percent support in two early-state polls conducted between Oct.
|
|
Polls have been wrong in the recent past—there was a shift to Trump a week ago—and the state polls have been very erratic.
|
|
Opinion polls in the last two weeks have shown that Clinton's lead in the polls has been eroded and that Trump could have overtaken her.
|
|
And second, the polls that start to come out now tend to be much more predictive of the eventual outcome than pre-convention polls were.
|
|
Exit polls had predicted a clear win for Modi in the election that ended on Sunday, but such polls in India have sometimes proved misleading.
|
|
There's a reason why President Trump does so much better in all-automated phone polls like Rasmussen Reports than polls that use live human pollsters.
|
|
First, before inauguration, he tweeted this: The same people who did the phony election polls, and were so wrong, are now doing approval rating polls.
|
|
Polls fluctuated throughout the campaign, with earlier surveys showing Salazar in the lead, and later polls showing Shalala leading by an average of 6 points.
|
|
She is leading in the polls at present and she will likely be leading in the polls by about the same margin after the debates.
|
|
"Even though we're doing pretty good in the polls, I don't believe the polls anymore," he said during Tuesday a rally in Colorado Springs, Colo.
|
|
Carson hopes organization makes up for drop in polls Though Ben Carson surged in the polls in late October, his numbers faded late in 2015.
|
|
However, other polls have offered different opinions; eight polls were released over the weekend, with the Conservative's lead varying from 1 point to 12 points.
|
|
The analysis for CNN's Poll of Polls is an average of the results of the three most recent Florida polls among likely Democratic primary voters.
|
|
While the state of the race and subsequent polls are bound to change as the election unfolds, our outlook on these polls likely will not.
|
|
While some polls such as CNN's do show Trump and congressional Republicans taking a bit of a hit, other polls like Quinnipiac University's do not.
|
|
Add it all up, and the result is that pre-election polls always show Democrats doing better among white voters than the exit polls do.
|
|
That inevitable development will come some time after the first polls close on the East Coast and the last polls close on the West Coast.
|
|
More recently, Rudy Giuliani, who was leading national polls but not polls in Iowa or New Hampshire, tried to rely on Florida as a backstop.
|
|
Polls showed Young crushing Hill; Democrats in Washington have passed around polls that show Bayh, who has won five statewide elections since 1986, leading Young.
|
|
Preconvention polls are often erratic, and political analysts and campaign managers put more stock in polls taken after both parties have formally nominated their candidates.
|
|
And that one thing — basically saying no more national polls and only polls in five or six or seven states — is really detrimental to democracy.
|
|
However, the League's leader, Matteo Salvini, whose party is soaring in the polls, said it favored a return to the polls as soon as possible.
|
|
The polling is in line with other polls, as the RealClearPolitics average of polls in the state shows Sanders surging to a 1.3 point lead.
|
|
Trump's pace in most polls before this weekend was well behind Mitt Romney, who captured 113 percent of Pennsylvania Republicans, according to 2012 exit polls.
|
|
Exit polls in New Hampshire showed that health care was the top single issue for Democratic primary voters, confirming what entrance polls in Iowa showed.
|
|
Two other polls this week also showed Sanders and Biden ahead, and other polls show Sanders in the top ranks in Iowa and New Hampshire.
|
|
Namely, Biden owes his strong positioning in the polls to older African American voters, a demographic group with which Pete polls somewhere around zero percent.
|
|
The standard is either four national polls at 5 percent or two early-state polls at 7 percent, and the article has been updated accordingly.
|
|
Han told reporters late on Thursday there were "many really strange polls" and even "fake polls" and people should refuse to answer calls from pollsters.
|
|
Three polls are just three polls, though Trump's approval rating has declined to its lowest level since April, according to the FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics trackers.
|
|
The standards are even higher to make December's stage: Candidates must reach 4 percent in four polls or 6 percent in two early-state polls.
|
|
The Democratic National Committee required that candidates hit 5 percent in any four party-approved polls, or 7 percent in two polls of early states.
|
|
Although Booker has exceeded the required number of donors, he would need to earn 5% in four polls, or 7% in two early state polls.
|
|
Other polls have found that more independents are opposed; even in those polls, though, there has been substantial support among independents for impeachment and removal.
|
|
The Upshot found that 2012 exit polls did not count millions of white working-class voters who had gone to the polls on Election Day.
|
|
While Democrats held a steady lead in generic polls for the early part of the year, several recent polls have shown Republicans closing the gap.
|
|
Two separate polls of the race released this month showed each Saccone and Lamb with a three-point edge, within both polls' margins of error.
|
|
Polls show Navalny had scant chance of beating Putin, but Navalny says the system is rigged against political opponents like himself which makes polls meaningless.
|
|
Recent polls have shown Buttigieg surging ahead in both Iowa and New Hampshire, while Biden remains at the top of national polls of Democratic voters.
|
|
Another reason to prefer the live-interview polls: They tend to be higher-quality surveys, while many of the public automated polls are surprisingly inaccurate.
|
|
Candidates need 3% support in at least four national or early state polls, or 5% support in two single-state polls, to take the stage.
|
|
These could be either national polls or polls of any of the first four primary or caucus states (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina).
|
|
It's bad for democracy to have people afraid to come to the polls, or to have them coming to the polls spoiling for a fight.
|
|
Donald Trump is riding high in the polls, surging past Hillary Clinton to leads in all six of the latest national polls released since Saturday.
|
|
Black churches used Sunday services to push people to the polls in what they called "souls to the polls" initiatives, University of Wisconsin's Burden recalls.
|
|
According to the debate guidelines, candidates "may qualify for the debate by registering at 1% or more support in three separate polls (either national polls or polls of the electorate in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and/or Nevada) publicly released between January 1, 2019, and 14 days prior to the date of the debate," with "qualifying polls" coming from a DNC-approved list.
|
|
Hours before polls closed on Friday, the PJD accused local officials under the control of the interior ministry of trying to influence voters at the polls.
|
|
Exit polls in Virginia showed that one-third of the voters went to the polls to oppose Trump, and only 17 percent went to support him.
|
|
New York exit polls "I couldn't disagree more with their mischaracterization of what's going on, and I'd point to exit polls from New York," Devine said.
|
|
Opinion polls taken before the vote indicated the outcome is too close to forecast, although two polls published late on Wednesday suggested a swing towards "Remain".
|
|
Opinion polls taken before the vote indicated the outcome is too close to forecast, although two polls published late on Wednesday suggested a swing towards remain.
|
|
The SPD, the junior partner in Merkel's ruling coalition, had lagged the conservatives for years in opinion polls, but several recent polls showed the SPD ahead.
|
|
To come up with their predictions, students analyzed national and statewide polls, and weighted them according to various factors, including how recently the polls were conducted.
|
|
Hillary Clinton was already having a bad week as polls show Donald Trump closing the gap between them and, in a few polls, even pulling ahead.
|
|
This was in line with the 22 percent the last pre-election polls, including polls from before the Champs-Elysées shooting, had suggested she would pull.
|
|
Trump has in the past touted the results of some Rasmussen polls, which generally show him with a higher approval rating than other polls and surveys.
|
|
The exit polls are a sufficient basis to make this determination, in the eyes of the conspiracists, because exit polls are used internationally to detect fraud.
|
|
Young voters are far likelier to complete the exit polls than older voters, according to data from Edison Research, the organization that conducts the exit polls.
|
|
"Time and again, our polls have proven accurate and we have been rated one of the least biased polls in America," he said in a statement.
|
|
The Hill took a look back at his remarkable rise through the polls over the last year, using RealClearPolitics tracking of the average of presidential polls.
|
|
Still internal polls in which pollsters were transparent about their data (as is the case with these polls) is better than internal anecdotes from the campaigns.
|
|
Exit polls are conducted only among those who have just voted, whereas SurveyMonkey polls include a combination of people who are and are not registered voters.
|
|
"The polls, the polls," one reporter responded when I questioned why he thought Trump would win Iowa, the GOP nomination and go on to become president.
|
|
About 30 minutes after the polls closed, and a few hours after the first exit polls went public, he was already busy shepherding blame Bannon's way.
|
|
Mitt Romney erased President Obama's four-point lead in national polls after the first debate, creating a virtual tie in national polls that lasted for weeks.
|
|
Trump's favorability ratings have generally stayed in the 40 percent range, according to recent polls, even as they have dipped below 40 in some polls nationally.
|
|
No major polls have been conducted in Colorado and North Carolina since the first debate; in Nevada, both major polls conducted since then show Clinton leading.
|
|
It's possible that the polls that name them will overestimate their support; it's possible that the polls that do not name them will underestimate their support.
|
|
Not only is he down in the polls right now, but he's been consistently down in the polls for virtually the entire breadth of the campaign.
|
|
And while polls show Trump has the support of GOP-leaning union households, polls do not show him with an advantage overall in the union vote.
|
|
Generic ballot polls show Democrats with about a 7-point lead, according to the RealClearPolitics average, although several polls show Democrats with a double-digit lead.
|
|
As soon as the polls closed on Sunday and exit polls indicated that there would be a runoff, the two leading candidates began bashing each other.
|
|
We felt like people didn't understand why the polls could be wrong, and they took polls to be a little bit more precise than we do.
|
|
Finally, check your watches: In much of upstate New York, except for near Buffalo, polls do not open until noon; downstate, polls open at 6 a.m.
|
|
Both the New Hampshire primary exit polls on Tuesday and the Iowa caucus entrance polls last week showed that health care has been a key priority.
|
|
Candidates who underperform their polls in Iowa see their New Hampshire poll number deflate by 0.5 points for every point they undershoot their New Hampshire polls.
|
|
Polls have shown Biden leading consistently among African-American Democratic voters, including in South Carolina, where the former vice president is leading in the polls. Rep.
|
|
Given the state of polls in 28503, and following the ultimately incorrect forecasts of a win by Hillary Clinton, can we trust polls going into 22019?
|
|
Its criteria requires a top three finish in Iowa – or recent polls averaging as one of the top six candidates in New Hampshire or national polls.
|
|
Polls show him garnering between 13 and 19 percent support nationally; two polls released Friday of California, Super Tuesday's biggest prize, showed him at 12 percent.
|
|
They also need to reach at least 3 percent in four or more polls or 5 percent in two single-state polls in early primary states.
|
|
The Democratic National Committee counts the Fox News polls as qualifying surveys, giving Steyer two early-state polls in which he surpassed the 28503 percent mark.
|
|
Candidates need four national polls showing 10 percent or higher support or 12 percent or more in two single-state polls of Nevada and South Carolina.
|
|
Higher-quality polls make efforts to reach cellphone respondents, but many of the state polls this year have been mostly or entirely conducted via landline phone.
|
|
It's smaller than that in presidential polls (especially national polls), though it was still far wider than Clinton's lead in the final weeks of the campaign.
|
|
Polls of higher quality such as Quinnipiac's -- probability-based polls that are transparent about their data -- have consistently found Trump's approval rating to be much lower.
|
|
Polls in the state of Thuringia, which goes to the polls next month, show the AfD on 25%, just behind the Left, which includes former Communists.
|
|
" O'Rourke bristled at the term and suggested Buttigieg was beholden to polls and consultants, prompting the mayor to shoot back that "the problem isn't the polls.
|
|
Cruz leads in the polls in Iowa, while Trump holds a lead in national polls and in New Hampshire, which holds its primary on Feb. 9.
|
|
The Vermont senator took the second most delegates in Iowa but he is leading in polls as voters go to polls in Tuesday's New Hampshire primary.
|
|
Pioneering U.S. pollster Gallup last year abandoned head-to-head polls for the presidential race, saying it wanted to focus its resources on polls about issues.
|
|
Candidates need to receive 3% or more support in at least four polls approved by the Democratic National Committee (either national or single-state polls in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina or Nevada) or receive 5% or more in two of the accepted early-state polls.
|
|
"The DNC has been more than inclusive throughout this entire process with an expansive list of qualifying polls, including 2628 qualifying polls thus far for the January debate, 28503 [of] which are state polls," Adrienne Watson, a DNC spokeswoman, said in a statement to The Hill.
|
|
To make the November debate, candidates need to get 3 percent in four national or early state polls (the early state-only polling threshold went from requiring two polls at 5 percent in November to 6 percent in two polls for December) and to accrue 165,000 donors.
|
|
Nate Silver [of FiveThirtyEight] has actually found this cycle that our polls are leaning one to two points more Republican than the polls as a whole, so even though Trump supporters on the internet hate us, we've actually been giving Trump better polls than most companies have.
|
|
But Quebec polls show support for separation, especially among young adults, is in decline, while in Catalonia polls show pro-independence parties continue to command strong support.
|
|
"The reported results were contrary to most of the impartial, independent polls conducted prior to the Special Election and in contrast to exit polls," the complaint states.
|
|
Swalwell, who announced his candidacy in April, has struggled to break through the crowded field, qualifying for the debates with 1% support in three polls national polls.
|
|
Events like "Souls to the Polls" — in which black voters go directly from church to the polls — are the most reliable means of increasing black voter turnout.
|
|
Colombia's referendum polls were much further off base than widely criticized polls taken in the United Kingdom before its vote to leave the European Union in June.
|
|
National polls as well as polls in battleground states show Biden as the strongest candidate against Trump, and as impeachment talk ramps up, Biden's status only improves.
|
|
Exit polls have predicted a clear win for Prime Minister Modi in the election that ended on Sunday, but such polls in India have proved misleading before.
|
|
Throughout 2019 and into 2020, Biden led in 90 percent of the national polls against his Democratic opponents and in 99 percent of the polls against Trump.
|
|
Biden has maintained his lead in most national polls throughout the primary campaign, although Warren has gained an edge on the former vice president in recent polls.
|
|
NBC News election unit analysts will first examine exit polls, any absentee polls and estimates in a given race to determine if the race can be called.
|
|
The two polls come alongside tight national polls and neck-and-neck poll results in several other key battleground states including Ohio, Florida, Nevada and North Carolina.
|
|
CNN's Poll of Polls, which averages the results of the five most recently released national polls, shows Clinton leading Trump by 5 points, 47 to 42 percent.
|
|
After the debate, which most voters in scientific polls said Clinton fared better in than Trump, swing-state polls also showed a shift in the Democrat's favor.
|
|
These are the races that cannot be projected when the polls close from exit polls or even from actual votes collected at the sample precincts mentioned earlier.
|
|
With few public polls being conducted for House races, Democrats were able to show their wildly inaccurate polls to reporters to generate numerous stories to that effect.
|
|
Sanchez's Socialists are leading in polls, with estimates from the last few months averaging at 24 percent, according to a poll of polls by daily El Pais.
|
|
The analysis for CNN's Poll of Polls for Ohio's GOP primary comes from the results of the three most recent Ohio polls among likely Republican primary voters.
|
|
He has until August 29 to reach 2% in three more polls to qualify for the September 12 debate, according to Politico's tracker of Democratic primary polls.
|
|
Trump-backed DeSantis wins GOP gubernatorial nod in Florida Curbelo secures GOP nomination in FL-26 Polls close in Oklahoma First polls close in Florida 7 p.m.
|
|
The Reuters/Ipsos poll and the YouGov online polls were among the most accurate national polls leading up to the 2012 election, a Fordham University study found.
|
|
Their advantage in an average of the last five live interview polls is just under 7 percentage points, and it's even lower when you consider other polls.
|
|
While polls show that younger people are more likely to support candidates with strong environmental policies, they are also less likely to show up at the polls.
|
|
Her campaign has struggled to gain traction in the polls, with a RealClearPolitics average of polls showing her with less than 1 percentage point of the vote.
|
|
Recent polls have shown the Republicans slightly ahead, but the prediction markets seem to think the polls haven't yet caught up to the Republicans' Trump-inflicted wounds.
|
|
CLINTON FUNDRAISES OFF OF SLUMPING POLLS: The Hill's Jesse Byrnes reports: Hillary Clinton's campaign is fundraising off polls that show her lead over Donald Trump has evaporated.
|
|
Indeed, the district polls, district forecasts and national polls agree that the district that puts Democrats over the top will not be won by a large margin.
|
|
But Nate Silver pointed out on FiveThirtyEight that scientific post-debate polls like CNN's tend to correlate with the longer-term trend in broader polls after debates.
|
|
Gauger's ostensible side hustle in this case for Cohen apparently involved rigging online polls to show Trump was favored by respondents to CNBC and Drudge Report polls.
|
|
Ned Ryun, a veteran Republican activist, noted that the polls now closely mirror the polls in May 2014, when Democrats went on to lose 13 House seats.
|
|
There's a chance these polls are off — Sanders was down by a wide margin in pre-primary Michigan polls last time around, only to win the state.
|
|
In early December 2011, polls indicated that former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum, then seeking the Republican presidential nomination, was at 3 percent in polls anticipating the Jan.
|
|
The effect shrinks in polls weighted more heavily, including by party registration or past turnout, but there were virtually no public polls that were weighted this way.
|
|
This wasn't an issue for our polls — we adjusted our sample by party registration — but most public polls don't have a mechanism to correct for partisan nonresponse.
|
|
This year's theme -- "Power to the Polls" -- lay bare the organizers' focus: To get women to the polls to put other women and their allies in power.
|
|
Polls in key 2020 states show that support for impeaching President Trump is lower than in national impeachment polls, according to an analysis by the Washington Post.
|
|
TORONTO (Reuters) - As Canadians head to polls on Monday, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's Liberals are neck-and-neck with Andrew Scheer's Conservative Party in national opinion polls.
|
|
"I'm leading in the polls and they have no idea how to stop me," he told reporters, although in most polls he trails the leading Democratic candidates.
|
|
Candidates must receive at least 5 percent support in four qualifying polls, or 7 percent in two early-state polls, and amass at least 225,103 individual donors.
|
|
Democratic candidates needed to receive 4% in at least four national or early state polls that met the DNC's criteria, or 6% in two early state polls.
|
|
There have been too many electoral surprises and misleading polls — including the polls predicting Brexit would be rejected in last year's referendum — to take anything for granted.
|
|
More than 85033 million people had turned out to the polls as of Sunday evening three hours ahead of the polls closing, a 63 percent turnout rate.
|
|
Sanders and Warren are also registering double digits in the polls and they've increasingly seen their strength come in state polls in Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada.
|
|
Warren and Sanders have been edging up behind Biden in national polls, but the former vice president has held on to the lead in most polls. Sen.
|
|
But exit polls tend to undercount the number of less educated voters, and the national exit polls obscured Mr. Obama's strength among white voters in the North.
|
|
To qualify for the South Carolina stage, candidates must reach 10 percent in four polls approved by the DNC or 12 percent in South Carolina-specific polls.
|
|
In recent polls that included Trump, Clinton, Stein and Trump, the two third-party candidates have both struggled to get above 10 percentage points in the polls.
|
|
She was the obvious frontrunner when she entered the race 18 months ago, and she remains ahead in most national polls as well as swing state polls.
|
|
When I saw CNN's exit polls, I didn't see Black women donning capes and rushing to the polls to save the state of Alabama from Roy Moore.
|
|
If polls had moved toward Clinton instead of Trump in the last few weeks, Silver's trend line adjustment would have given older polls a pro-Clinton bump.
|
|
Polls suggest that support for independence is not far off 50% (and nationalists point out that in the ultimately unsuccessful campaign of 2014 they substantially outperformed early polls).
|
|
Similar to the polls themselves, these outcomes are also narrowly within the realm of what analysts should have considered plausible based on a fair reading of the polls.
|
|
" Earlier in the day, the president alerted his 24 million followers that "any negative polls are fake news, just like the CNN, ABC, NBC polls in the election.
|
|
He then went on about the fake news polls (the same polls that Kellyanne Conway admitted were real yesterday) showing that the president's support among Republicans is dwindling.
|
|
Trump feeling good about internal polls Recent polls show the President losing in a general election to most of the top-tier Democrats vying to run against him.
|
|
He's currently leading the polls in New Hampshire, has pulled within striking distance of Joe Biden in national polls, and is edging up in Nevada and South Carolina.
|
|
Following the debate, Biden dropped into the low 20s (from about 30%) in a number of polls, while Harris climbed into a close second place in numerous polls.
|
|
With nearly five months until the September primary, polls have shown Mr. Cuomo, who is seeking his third term, with a commanding, but narrowing, lead in the polls.
|
|
Let's take a brief tour: MISSISSIPPI: Voters head to the polls next week to choose a new governor, and public polls show a tight race between Lt. Gov.
|
|
Factoring the Pew results into CNN's Poll of Polls, Clinton averages 22.7% support over the five most recent publicly released nationwide telephone polls, while Trump stands at 40%.
|
|
There has been a lot of chatter about how polls may not matter that much, but political science research tells us two important things about polls and predictiveness.
|
|
Clinton still leads Trump in the CNN Poll of Polls, an average of the five most recent national phone polls, including Tuesday's ABC/WaPo tracking survey, 46%-42%.
|
|
The last CNN Poll of Polls, analyzing the results of five national, live-interviewer telephone polls conducted before the GOP convention began, found Clinton ahead 45% to 41%.
|
|
"Polls of voter expectations consistently yield more accurate forecasts than polls of voter intentions," reads the conclusion of a 2013 study by economists Justin Wolfers and David Rothschild.
|
|
Opinion polls suggest British voters have been relatively resistant so far to warnings about the economic costs of Brexit, with voting intentions in many polls roughly evenly split.
|
|
The Poll of Polls averages the results of the five most recent nationwide telephone polls of presidential preference among likely voters and finds her ahead, 43% to 40%.
|
|
Israeli TV exit polls produced differing results about who will emerge as the leader of the largest single party, and the polls have been wrong in the past.
|
|
Swing state presidential polls: In Florida, the largest of the swing states, the average of the final three polls had Trump ahead by three-tenths of a point.
|
|
So far, the polls for Super Tuesday show Clinton leading in seven of the nine states that have conducted polls — Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia.
|
|
My point is not to say the model was wrong — it mainly reflects what the polls were showing, and most polls did show Clinton ahead in these states.
|
|
Polls show that Gillibrand, a well-liked political newcomer in the mold of Barack Obama, is up 15 points in the polls and a heavy favorite for election.
|
|
The analysis for Florida's Republican primary Poll of Polls comes from an average of the results of the six most recent Florida polls among likely Republican primary voters.
|
|
The new polls indicate a swing toward Khan's party compared to similar nationwide polls in 2017, which put the PML-N 8-9 percentage points ahead of PTI.
|
|
For the December debate, he would need 200,000 unique donors and four polls showing him at 4 percent or higher, or two early-state polls at 6 percent.
|
|
Tuesday's poll tracks with other recent polls and is similar to a RealClearPolitics average of polls in the race that shows Gillum with a 3.8 percentage point lead.
|
|
An average of recent polls puts the movement less than a percentage point behind the PD. In a run-off between the two, polls find, M5S would win.
|
|
Twenty-nine percent of respondents said they don't believe most polls but do trust a few while 19 percent said they "almost never" believe that polls are accurate.
|
|
"I believe in polls — only the ones that have us up…Other than that, they're the fake news polls," he said at a Pennsylvania campaign stop in October.
|
|
"I believe in polls — only the ones that have us up…Other than that, they're the fake news polls," he said at a campaign rally in Erie, Pennsylvania.
|
|
My view is that the pre-election polls were probably right, and that Mr. Obama won black voters by an even greater margin than the exit polls found.
|
|
Though Hillary Clinton dominated Obama in most early polls, he consistently stayed behind her until eventually taking the lead in more than a few polls in February 2008.
|
|
"All the kids, we just need to go out, hit these polls, attack these polls," Scott reportedly said while speaking to a crowd of supporters alongside the lawmaker.
|
|
After a string of polls showing a sizable lead for "leave," polls released in the last few days effectively show a tie, or a small lead for remaining.
|
|
Christie, who is known for notifying the press before voting, surprised reporters when he arrived at polls before sunrise, just several minutes after polls opened at 6 a.m.
|
|
Many times, polls get slammed on social media for being "too white" in comparison with the exit polls, even though they're near the consensus of more reliable measures.
|
|
Joe Biden has a leg up over Bernie Sanders in the state, according to recent polls (though it's worth noting Michigan polls before the 133 primary were inaccurate).
|
|
Once the polls move, a cycle starts that results in more news coverage of a candidate's gains at the polls, which can then result in even more gains.
|
|
At November's debate, candidates will need at least 5 percent support in two polls in early-nominating states, or 3 percent in four early-state or national polls.
|
|
For this debate, candidates had to get at least 214 percent support in four DNC-approved national polls or 12 percent support in two South Carolina state polls.
|
|
Both are currently required, with December's thresholds set at 200,000 individual donors and 4% support in four qualifying national polls, or 6% support in two early-state polls.
|
|
All of the polls approved by the DNC are conducted either by independent media outlets or universities, who decide on their own when to conduct and release polls.
|
|
Sanders was neck-and-neck with former VP Joe Biden in North Carolina polls while Biden and former Mayor Mike Bloomberg led the few recent polls of Oklahoma.
|
|
An average of the last three CNN polls also puts him at a net approval rating of -17 percentage points among voters, which is similar to other polls.
|
|
Polls done by telephone suggest the "in" camp is ahead by a double-digit margin, while online polls show a tight race that the "out" camp could win.
|
|
Consider that Cory Booker and Kamala Harris were doing as well as Amy Klobuchar in early polls of more diverse states; they led Pete Buttigieg in some polls.
|
|
These district polls, however, tend to paint a better picture for Republicans than other indicators such as the national generic ballot polls and the fundamentals such as fundraising.
|
|
In 2014, the district polls -- like all the national and state polling -- underestimated the Republicans (though the underestimation was 2 points fewer than the polls two months out).
|
|
Several polls predicted a Dewey win and a printer's strike forced the Tribune to go to press hours before the polls closed and all the votes were in.
|
|
Prior to this week's polls, in the period between June 10 and June 16, "Out" led in seven of nine polls, rattling investors in markets around the world.
|
|
While Trump has double-digit leads in most national polls, he is ahead of Cruz by just 2.6 percent in Iowa, according to a RealClearPolitics average of polls.
|
|
Among the top three polls cited recently by Politico as proof that Americans have finally come around on gun control, there are serious issues with all three polls.
|
|
However, general-election polls did less well, and so did I. State polls underestimated the Republican-versus-Democrat margin by four percentage points, the largest error in decades.
|
|
Last week's murder of pro-EU lawmaker Jo Cox appears to have tipped some polls toward the "Remain" camp, though earlier polls showed the electorate is narrowly divided.
|
|
"The number of qualifying polls and breathless media coverage of those polls in Iowa and New Hampshire is not lost on us," the letter from Steyer supporters continued.
|
|
Working so well that polls show Sanders steadily narrowing the gap with Clinton in national polls, while pulling even with her in Iowa and ahead in New Hampshire.
|
|
So when computing poll averages, it would be silly to simply throw 3-week-old polls into the mix as though they're as relevant as the latest polls.
|
|
Most national polls don't include a large enough sample of Hispanic voters to report it separately, and there have been few polls of states with a large Hispanic population.
|
|
Recent opinion polls, often unreliable in India, put the BJP in second place or as the front-runner in Uttar Pradesh, one of five states headed to the polls.
|
|
Sanchez's Socialists are leading in opinion polls ahead of the election but the polls forecast the party will fall well short of a majority in the 350-seat parliament.
|
|
But not all of those polls deserve to be taken as seriously as polls conducted by researchers doing surveys to contribute to the public's understanding of the American people.
|
|
The latest online polls show the "Leave" and "Remain" vote neck and neck, but phone polls give the "Remain" camp a strong lead of as much as 18 points.
|
|
The fact is that bookie odds will always be affected by public opinion polls: Bettors place calculated bets based on all of the information at their disposal, including polls.
|
|
One of those errant polls had the "Remain" in the EU option winning by 53 points, though most of the polls that erred did so by more modest margins.
|
|
"Crazy Nancy Pelosi's Impeachment Hoax has lifted Republican Congressional Polls (she lost the House once before!), and my Polls, WAY UP, which was expected," he tweeted, without citing examples.
|
|
That means he'll likely be relying on national polls to make the debate, and he's now at about his low point in the national polls for the entire campaign.
|
|
Statewide polls in both Iowa and New Hampshire have also shown a tightening race between the two Democrats, while polls in South Carolina show Biden with a sizable lead.
|
|
On Sunday, Trump also called Rasmussen "one of the most accurate polls" of the 2016 election, but they inaccurately predicted a Clinton electoral college victory — as many polls did.
|
|
The national polls have been all over the place -- a Quinnipiac University polls has Warren up 6900, while a Survey USA poll has Biden with a double-digit lead.
|
|
He did not cite polls that put him in the lead here, which he did frequently during the buildup to the caucuses, polls that turned out to be wrong.
|
|
This is well in line with other polls; as Vox's Dylan Scott reported, most polls show around 40 percent of voters saying they are backing the former vice president.
|
|
While polls give the Democratic nominee Clinton a narrow lead nationally, Fordham said she's "more cautious, than consensus," questioning whether the polls can capture the views of marginalized voters.
|
|
Some dispatches are overt in their reliance on polls, others less so, using polls as the prompts or context for discussions of stalled campaign momentum or new campaign strategies.
|
|
Back then, though Hillary Clinton's lead in California primary polls was an imposing 10 percent, her head-to-head lead in general election polls over Donald Trump had vanished.
|
|
Forecasting errors in polls tend to decrease as elections draw closer—conventional wisdom holds that polls tend to be unreliable until Labour Day, around two months before the election.
|
|
Turnbull has consistently led opinion polls since he came to power last year and his ruling Liberal-National coalition is leading the opposition Labor party comfortably in recent polls.
|
|
The numbers do account for a post-convention bump, and FiveThirtyEight still has Clinton winning in its long-term "polls-plus" forecast, which considers current polls and historic information.
|
|
Elections come and go, and yesterday's losers at the polls and in the ideas market are often tomorrow's victors at the polls, who lead the way with policy ideas.
|
|
Most national polls show Americans preferring Democrats over Republicans in the mid-term congressional elections by 21-18 percentage points, though the margin has narrowed in some recent polls.
|
|
We have plenty of recent polls consistent with a national Clinton advantage, whether it's the other national surveys (like Thursday's CBS/NYT poll), or some high-quality state polls.
|
|
A respected "poll of polls," averaging voting intentions in the previous six major polls, now shows the "leave" campaign with a lead of two percentage points, 51 to 49.
|
|
Though recent polls have shown a slight tightening in the race, Heitkamp is behind in the polls by an average of more than 11 percentage points, according to RealClearPolitics.
|
|
Public polls suggest Trump would lose badly to Clinton, with the former secretary of State leading by about 10 percentage points in the RealClearPolitics average of general election polls.
|
|
Recent polls show Sanders is closing the gap in Iowa polls, and he continues to edge out the former secretary of State in New Hampshire, according to RealClearPolitics averages.
|
|
Not all of these polls are the highest quality, but polls not conducted on behalf of the parties or its candidates tell a pretty similar story across the races.
|
|
Warren is second to former Vice President Joe Biden in the RealClearPolitics average of national polls, while she narrowly leads the teeming field in an average of Iowa polls.
|
|
John Delaney, who according to the RealClearPolitics average of polls is garnering under 1% support in national polls is making a wild bet to raise his profile in Iowa.
|
|
New analysis by The Upshot shows that millions more white, older working-class voters went to the polls in 473 than was found by exit polls on Election Day.
|
|
He's called these polls "rigged," insisted that "any negative polls are fake news," and also highlighted one poll that found a majority of Americans approved his controversial travel ban.
|
|
A good place to start is that all the buzz about methodological disputes and polls narrowing seems to have confused at least some people about where the polls stand.
|
|
While Hillary Clinton still maintains a lead in the polls and a built-in advantage on the electoral map, recent polls suggest that Donald Trump is closing the gap.
|
|
But while those polls had not accounted for the young voters who make up much of Sanders's enthusiastic base, the 2020 polls were adjusted to account for young voters.
|
|
Since then, the former vice president has surged in both national polls and polls of the March 24 states, suggesting he has an opportunity to dramatically expand that advantage.
|
|
Four of those polls show Sanders in second place and Warren in third — however, one of the national polls, from Quinnipiac, showed Warren ahead of Sanders in second place.
|
|
Sanders has been leading Warren in the polls, but his support remains flat, while her numbers have been rising, even besting his in a few polls in mid-June.
|
|
Black churches used Sunday services to push people to the polls in what they called "souls to the polls" initiatives, University of Wisconsin Madison political scientist Barry Burden recalls.
|
|
Today, Nate Cohn and the Upshot team highlighted a few polls happening right now: If We Had More Time: We've run out of time to add new House polls.
|
|
With so many polls being conducted of the Democratic race nationally, we should see a decent amount of polls that fall outside the margin of error of the average.
|
|
In fact, support for the A.H.C.A. was even lower in the three YouGov polls after the House made its changes than in the two YouGov polls conducted before it.
|
|
The big picture: Warren's move to the top among college students matches her recent trend in national polls, as well as state polls in New Hampshire, California and Iowa.
|
|
Correction: This article originally stated that the DNC polling qualification for the January debate was two national polls at 5 percent or four early-state polls at 7 percent.
|
|
Other national polls have shown Bloomberg climbing while Biden's support wanes, but most statewide polls -- including in New Hampshire -- don't include Bloomberg since he won't be on the ballot.
|
|
Polls put support for PNL at over 45%, while the PSD support is about 20%, roughly half of what it was when they won parliamentary polls in late 2016.
|
|
That was a big problem in 2016, when the final polls actually showed a race that could easily tilt toward Trump given how predictive the polls have been historically.
|
|
If pollsters were lying to live interviewers, we'd see the average Trump net approval rating in live interview polls be lower on average than the probability based internet polls.
|
|
Interestingly, Pew's seven telephone polls over the course of Trump's presidency featured a net approval rating that averaged 3 points below other live interview polls during the same period.
|
|
So even if live operator polls have Trump consistently higher or lower, when he goes down he usually goes down in all the live operator polls and online surveys.
|
|
He continues to lead in national polls among Democrats, while state polls indicate he is in for a tough battle during the first nominating contests of the 2020 season.
|
|
And although his rivals have bested him in some state polls, Biden nevertheless is at the top of most national polls, averaging around 28 percent support according to RealClearPolitics.
|
|
Over the five last polls of 2019, Bloomberg's awareness among Democrats averaged 65%, but following an unprecedented advertising campaign, has over the most recent three polls surged to 75%.
|
|
Neither is the CNN "poll of polls," which combines data from a series of credible polls, that showed 46% support the impeachment and removal of Trump while 49% don't.
|
|
And voters -- not polls and pundits -- decide elections.
|
|
So Republicans must fail — badly — at the polls.
|
|
Sterling has dropped when opinion polls have tended toward Brexit but has strengthened to 3-1/2 month highs as Remain's lead has firmed in polls which are still uncertain.
|
|
Though opinion polls suggested that Le Pen will not win the second round of the presidential election in May, such polls have been wrong before, Rabobank analysts said on Tuesday.
|
|
Now, there have been more national polls recently than state polls — so it's possible that the swing state data is a bit outdated, and doesn't fully reflect the national tightening.
|
|
Although pre-election polls showed Mr Trump with a 21990-percentage-point advantage among whites without a college degree, exit polls revealed he actually won them by almost 40 points.
|
|
National presidential primary polls - that is, polls that measure support for one party's candidates - this early in the election cycle have been a mixed bag in predicting the eventual winner.
|
|
The state of play: His internal polls show it, national polls show it and even a poll in reliably conservative Texas shows it — all as Trump should be crushing it.
|
|
CNN's Poll of Polls -- an average of results for the five most recent publicly released national polls that meet CNN's standards for publication -- has Clinton leading Trump 46% to 40%.
|
|
Current polls suggest that incumbent Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte is ahead in the polls, indicating that voters may seek to retain the status quo with regards to economic policies.
|
|
The last two elections have been close, but there are no reliable independent electoral polls for Ghana this time and both sides say their own polls put them narrowly ahead.
|
|
While both polls weren't intended to enact legislation, the Florida Keys Mosquito Control District planned to use the polls as a measuring stick when deciding whether to release the mosquitoes.
|
|
But because there were no "Oops, I forgot" level gaffes, there's little reason to believe the polls will change much before the voters of Michigan head to the polls Tuesday.
|
|
These approval numbers are on the high end compared with other recent polls; online surveys like Harvard-Harris have consistently recorded higher approval ratings for Trump than traditional phone polls.
|
|
He also likes to say that he didn't believe the polls when he was in the 70s and he doesn't believe he's as disliked as all the latest polls suggest.
|
|
Other polls of small business owners indicate that 70 polls are comfortable with things continuing just as they are at the federal level and are optimistic about their local economies.
|
|
A new update to the Poll of Polls in New Hampshire covers just five days, yet includes seven polls, and those are only the ones that meet CNN's polling standards.
|
|
Donald Trump has railed against polls throughout this campaign, repeatedly and falsely claiming they are "rigged" against him—while also touting unscientific online polls when they reflect favorably on him.
|
|
In Arizona, one of the U.S. states that borders Mexico, Trump's hardline immigration message is popular and he leads in polls, while in Utah Trump lags in polls behind Cruz.
|
|
If he's trailing into the fall, I could imagine an attempt by his side to say the polls are inaccurate — like the "unskewed polls" movement from many Republicans in 2012.
|
|
Polls show the two are tied in the contest — though Bevin, an unpopular figure in the state, has seen his support in polls rise since September, The Washington Post reported.
|
|
Polls before the shutdown started indicated that Americans would blame Republicans for a shutdown by about a 15 to 20 point margin, which is about where the polls are now.
|
|
Clinton leads Mr. Trump in national polls by a three-percentage-point margin, 45.4 percent to 19463 percent, according to the average of recent polls compiled by Real Clear Politics.
|
|
As in our recent Senate polls, Times/Siena House polls show Democrats struggling in rural, conservative districts like those in northern Minnesota, South Texas, southern North Carolina and western Pennsylvania.
|
|
But while those polls had not accounted for the young voters who make up much of Sanders's enthusiastic base, the 2020 polls have been adjusted to account for young voters.
|
|
One way to avoid the issue: retire the use of the exit polls in post-election analysis, and make apples-to-apples comparisons between current and older pre-election polls.
|
|
But polls suggest the odds are against Cruz: Trump is leading by 11 points in RealClearPolitics' polling average, and he's led in all but one of the past eight polls.
|
|
Polls closed at midday local time, and the final results showed that almost 214 percent voted in favor of tighter gun controls, in line with what opinion polls had predicted.
|
|
So if the polls we've taken to this point were exactly right (they're not, and no one should expect polls to be), Democrats would take control by a modest margin.
|
|
To qualify, candidates need to hit 4 percent in four polls approved by the DNC (or 219 percent in two early-state polls) and have contributions from 24,24 unique donors.
|
|
Mr. Bloomberg has shown more strength in recent state polls in the South, where he has been tied or ahead in recent polls of North Carolina, Virginia, Oklahoma and Arkansas.
|
|
Which means by Thursday, they need more than 20203,000 unique donors and either 4% in at least four national or early state polls or 6% in two early state polls.
|
|
The White House hopefuls have until midnight to hit 5 percent support in four national polls or 7 percent support in two early-state polls to qualify for the Jan.
|
|
Though Trump's approval ratings have improved, to the low 40% range in some recent polls, he remains in a position that historically has been perilous for presidents in midterm polls.
|
|
For the December debate, candidates needed to receive 4% in at least four national or early state polls that met the DNC's criteria or 6% in two early state polls.
|
|
To qualify, candidates had to bring in donations from at least 200,000 individuals and hit at least 4 percent in four polls or 15 percent in two early-state polls.
|
|
To qualify this time around, the candidates needed to hit at least a 4 percent polling threshold in four DNC-approved polls, or 6 percent in two early-state polls.
|
|
Candidates need to hit 4 percent in four polls approved by the Democratic National Committee (or 6 percent in two early-state polls) and have donations from 200,000 unique contributors.
|
|
Bernie Sanders, the person who is leading in polls for this week's Nevada caucus, as well as some national polls, was only occasionally at the center of the evening's drama.
|
|
Even in the well-educated districts where Democrats lead in recent polls, like Virginia's 10th or California's 48th and 49th, the polls show Democrats merely running even with Mrs. Clinton.
|
|
It seems, for instance, that Mr. Jones has fared better in the live-interview telephone polls, while Mr. Moore has fared best in the automated polls without a live interviewer.
|
|
Paul Tsongas, who would win the New Hampshire primary in 1992, didn't reach 21.7 percent in any early polls in 20.5, though there were far fewer qualifying polls that year.
|
|
What we do know, though, is that we're right around the time previous polls have started to become predictive — and this year's polls are saying Donald Trump is a loser.
|
|
You can read a lot about the relative merits of these and other polls, and listen to a lot of smart people debate which polls are more or less accurate.
|
|
And if the frontrunner loses support in the polls—a virtual certainty given the artificial boost that comes from high name recognition in the earliest polls—the narrative tilts negative.
|
|
Here is a run-down of some of those national stakes after polls closed on Sunday and exit polls and early results came in: FRANCE: Emmanuel Macron's allies put on a brave face as exit polls showed a narrow defeat at the hands of Marine Le Pen's far-right Rassemblement National party.
|
|
However after a boost in the polls late last year, he now trails badly in polls in the state with less than two weeks to go until the New Hampshire primary.
|
|
Several other polls have found a double-digit lead for Democrats in the so-called generic ballot question, but the average for polls tallied by Real Clear Politics is just 7.3.
|
|
Yet even if a key problem with the polls was the failure to accurately predict voter turnout, there were many other reasons to treat the polls with caution, and visualize accordingly.
|
|
A series of recent polls ahead of Election Day show the trend toward favoring legalization has only grown since the last time millions of Americans went to the polls in 2014.
|
|
Throughout the build-up to the referendum, telephone polls have consistently shown Remain in the lead, while online polls have suggested the race was much tighter, with some finding Leave ahead.
|
|
Both parties fear Salvini, whose anti-EU and anti-immigration stance has won him support in opinion polls at their expense, could score a major victory if polls were held now.
|
|
The three surveys bring Trump to his best showing since the primaries in the CNN Poll of Polls, which calculates the average of the five most recent publicly released national polls.
|
|
CNN's Poll of Polls for North Carolina, which averages the results for the five most recent publicly released North Carolina polls that meet CNN's standards, has Clinton leading Trump 46%-42%.
|
|
The tracking poll improves Trump's standing by 1 percentage point in CNN's Poll of Polls, which averages the five most recent publicly released national polls that meet CNN's standards for publication.
|
|
According to the most recent CNN Poll of Polls, which averages the results from the four most recent publicly released national polls, Clinton leads Trump by 8-points among likely voters.
|
|
I know there&aposs polls out there that want to say otherwise, but we all know polls don&apost matter, what really matters is who shows up at the ballot box.
|
|
Mr. Trump was to stand in the middle because he leads in polls nationally and in New Hampshire, and he is battling for the lead in Iowa polls against Mr. Cruz.
|
|
Mr. Trump was to stand in the middle because he leads in polls nationally and in New Hampshire, and he is battling for the lead in Iowa polls against Mr. Cruz.
|
|
Washington (CNN)As voters go to the polls in Super Tuesday states, about 20% of Republicans say they made up their minds in the last few days, according to exit polls.
|
|
Last week's Poll of Polls found Trump at 353% to Cruz's 20%, suggesting the addition of two post-debate polls here did not have as meaningful an impact as in Iowa.
|
|
"Your model may be doing a better job of synthesizing polls," Chait tweeted at Silver, "but if those polls missed the Latino vote, people might be making an outcome-based judgment."
|
|
While polls last week showed Trump had been closing the gap, at least five major polls on Monday showed Clinton still had the lead in the race for the White House.
|
|
Trump entered election day with a double-digit lead in the polls, but Cruz's ground strength and evangelical support has the Texas senator poised to outperform his standing in the polls.
|
|
And while polls show mixed evidence of a Democratic turnout advantage in November, in practice, party voters have stampeded to the polls in the actual elections held since Trump took office.
|
|
Large majorities of voters in both states like their governors personally, and approve of their job performance, according to state polls as well as national polls comparing them to other governors.
|
|
Take a look at these polls or average of polls that were taken by the gold standard Kaiser Family Foundation or Pew Research Center in the aftermath of previous powerful hurricanes.
|
|
The good news for Trump is that the pre-election polls among adults that had his approval rating in the low 40s did not come to fruition in the exit polls.
|
|
Several other polls recently have suggested a tight race in Ohio, where 66 delegates are up for grabs, while multiple polls have shown a double-digit lead for Trump in Florida.
|
|
Even with an FBI investigation hanging over her for months, Clinton bests Trump by double digits in many recent polls and by 5 to 10 points in an aggregate of polls.
|
|
The adjustment ranges from three to four points at its peak in the FiveThirtyEight "polls plus" model; the regular FiveThirtyEight polls model shown in an accompanying chart has no convention adjustment.
|
|
She has struggled to gain traction in the polls, with the RealClearPolitics average of polls listing her in the bottom half of the field, polling at an average of 0.4 percent.
|
|
Candidates must both secure 200,000 individual donors and earn 20203% in four DNC-approved national or early-state polls, or 6% in two early-state polls to qualify for the debate.
|
|
None of the pre-election polls suggest that black voters will represent 23 percent of the electorate, so there is no reason to assume that the polls are biased toward Mrs.
|
|
" When news stories are critical of him, he calls them "fake news"; when public opinion polls produce numbers that violate his rosy image of himself, they are described as "fake polls.
|
|
The volatility of the gold standard polls may be because more Republicans are answering polls than in December for some reason, which is a good reason to weight by party identification.
|
|
Arthur: But to your point about subverting the polls, some of our A.E.I. scholars think we may be seeing the end-times for traditional polls as a remotely useful predictive tool.
|
|
Most people remember how the presidential polls were "wrong" in 25.6, but many have forgotten that national polls really did show a dramatic tightening in those final three weeks before it.
|
|
That tracks with what some exit polls have shown (though exit polls are generally unreliable and especially hard to compare to prior years because the methodology has been adjusted since then).
|
|
The South Bend mayor has continued to rise in the polls, hitting 14 percent in a one of the most recent Iowa polls, from Monmouth, that put Buttigieg at 14 percent.
|
|
Monday morning brought bad news for Clinton, who, while still ahead in the polls, could be seeing a slip in her Electoral College lead as Trump passed her in Colorado polls.
|
|
The problem for her is that only two of those polls were from the organizations the DNC listed above — meaning she needed two more approved polls to qualify for the debate.
|
|
The RealClearPolitics average from the Democratic primary's California polls shows Sanders with a nearly 17 point lead over his rivals, but Biden's support has ticked up in a few recent polls.
|
|
Early Tuesday morning — shortly before polls were originally set to open — a panel of four Ohio Supreme Court judges voted unanimously to effectively back the state's efforts to close its polls.
|
|
In Michigan, exit polls showed that replacing private health insurance with a government program had the support of nearly 60 percent of the people who went to the polls on Tuesday.
|
|
Ending the war in Yemen polls at 46-28, and an aggressive anti-corruption package that would bar members of Congress from owning stock in individual companies polls at 51-26.
|
|
Unlike previous debates, polls from Iowa won't count toward qualifying: The only polls that will count are national, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina surveys from a list of preapproved pollsters.
|
|
Former vice president Joe Biden, who has consistently led national polls and polls near the front in the early primary states including Iowa, would certainly be happy to come in first.
|
|
To qualify, candidates must have hit either 4% in four national or early-state polls or 6% in two early-state polls, while also receiving contributions from at least 200,000 donors.
|
|
In general, modest disagreements between polls ought to be expected, and it is no surprise that polls would frequently show different winners in a close four-way race like this one.
|
|
There's no mistaking the closeness of Ohio, where five significant polls have been conducted this month; four of those polls put the race for the Buckeye State in an exact tie.
|
|
The polls are also good signs for Bloomberg, who has thrust himself into the primary field's top tier in most Super Tuesday polls with the help of a nationwide advertising blitz.
|
|
Other recent polls show DeSantis could be headed for a blowout win, with a survey by St. Pete Polls last week putting him ahead of Putnam by more than 21625 points.
|
|
I got the sense that was repeating in Pennsylvania 18 when the two final polls of the campaign had Lamb ahead by the most he had been in any public polls.
|
|
Bernie Sanders lead most polls, Bloomberg's standing is rising, and recent national polls show him pulling even or slightly ahead of former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Minnesota's Sen.
|
|
Curtice has been overseeing a "poll of polls", a rolling average of the six most recent phone and web polls, which provides a summary of the overall referendum polling picture. bit.
|
|
Polls show Gabbard with single-digit support in New Hampshire, but those same polls find that the congresswoman is garnering more support from independents and conservatives than Democrats and liberal voters.
|
|
The criteria for Fox News's debate main stage includes candidates polling within the top six in national polls or the top five in polls from early-voting Iowa or New Hampshire.
|
|
The parents of the newly minted voters were more likely to show up at the polls — likely because they wanted to take their child to the polls or model civic engagement.
|
|
Well, Mr. Trump, since you and your supporters grant so much importance to the polls, allow me to point out RealClearPolitics' aggregation of your head-to-head polls with the Democrats.
|
|
After a lackluster beginning, Warren has risen steadily in the polls throughout the summer and into the fall overtaking Sanders for second place in most polls and surpassing Biden in others.
|
|
Opinion polls show Buttigieg taking the lead in Iowa, with former Vice President Joe Biden, U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Warren fighting for the top spot in national polls.
|
|
They'll also have to register at least 3 percent in four or more qualifying polls or 5 percent in two single-state polls in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina or Nevada.
|
|
Of course, polls can vary a lot between now and Election Day, and Democrats may not be able to sustain the hefty margins they're currently receiving from seniors in several polls.
|
|
ET -- a mere one hour after polls had closed.
|
|
Clinton — with outright fraud at the polls in California.
|
|
Final debate polls are in - and the MOVEMENT wins!
|
|
" I said, "You're at 2 percent in the polls.
|
|
Its polls — along with Vermont's — close at 7 p.m.
|
|
TORONTO (Reuters) - Canadians head to the polls on Oct.
|
|
" He added: "Don't believe the Fake News Suppression Polls!
|
|
The issue with Brexit wasn't the polls showed a blowout, it was that the polls showed a close race, yet everyone thought Remain would win 2/ The moral here, to the extent that there is one, is the same as the moral of Trump's primary victories — it pays to take the polls at face value.
|
|
Most polls got the Tories' share nearly spot-on, but the Labour Party's vote was significantly underestimated and the UK Independent Party's demise was even more striking than the polls had suggested.
|
|
Internet polls and automated phone polls, however, have tended to show somewhat smaller leads for for Clinton — she's up by an average of just 2.4 points in those, according to HuffPost Pollster.
|
|
But sometimes, if the race is changing quickly and there haven't been many polls lately, the averages can be slow to catch up (some state averages incorporate polls conducted back in July).
|
|
If you are running for policies that most Americans agree with according to the polls, you&aposre probably going to get more people to the polls and you&aposre going to win.
|
|
Unlike many of his opponents who launched campaigns while barely registering in public opinion polls, O'Rourke begins in sixth place in the RealClearPolitics average of polls, receiving an average of 5 percent.
|
|
MEGYN KELLY: Seven candidates are on that stage tonight, their position on the stage determined by their standing in the latest national polls, as well as polls in Iowa and New Hampshire.
|
|
While there won't be traditional exit polls from U.K. national broadcasters in the manner of a general election, the results of some alternative exit polls, including one by YouGov, may be available.
|
|
We may spend a lot of time talking about the polls in the media, but the candidates who appeared on last week's debate stage would be wise to remember: Polls don't vote.
|
|
"Historically, the New Hampshire polls are less accurate than the Iowa polls because of the high turnout and high percentage of those who make up their minds very late," Smith told me.
|
|
But let's look at some other polls for a second, because there is absolutely no diversity when it comes to what the polls are telling us about the direction of the country.
|
|
Washington (CNN)Hillary Clinton's lead in the national horserace has held steady despite some flashes of tightening in state polls over the last week, according to CNN's most recent Poll of Polls.
|
|
Ascribing all of the movement in polls during the debates to the debates themselves would of course be erroneous—polls have a tendency to bounce around even in the absence of debates.
|
|
In the dark ages of, say, 2004, the convention was that New York Times articles would exclusively mention New York Times polls while the Washington Post would exclusively mention Washington Post polls.
|
|
The new Poll of Polls on the Republican side shows Trump moving ahead of Ted Cruz, with the New York businessman averaging 250% across the last four polls compared with Cruz's 22016%.
|
|
The deadline is just six days away, and he would need 165,000 unique donors and four polls showing him at 3 percent or higher (or two early-state polls at 5 percent).
|
|
After polls this weekend showed Trump ahead in the state by double digits, Cruz walked back that rhetoric even as he tried to blanket the state before voters go to the polls.
|
|
This led to an increase in state-level polls, and that increased focus coincided with a decline in response rates in traditional polls and an explosion of new, less expensive polling methodologies.
|
|
The polls, they said, were either asking the wrong questions or were being manipulated by the news media — the polls themselves were part of the system these people were trying to overthrow.
|
|
Ms. Warren remained solidly in the top tier, finishing third in all three polls; Mr. Sanders, who led several polls before Mr. Biden entered the race, finished fourth in each of them.
|
|
Gabbard has done well in a number of recent polls but the Democratic Party does not recognize those polls, and may use that to keep her off the debate stage next month.
|
|
Clinton up by seven points in earlier polls of North Carolina and Pennsylvania, taken soon after the third debate, when she still had a wide lead in national and battleground state polls.
|
|
In order to qualify for Wednesday's debate, a candidate either needed 10% in four qualifying national, Nevada or South Carolina polls, or 12% in two qualifying polls from Nevada or South Carolina.
|
|
They will also have to register at least 3 percent in four or more qualifying polls or 5 percent in two single-state polls in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina or Nevada.
|
|
Under the new rules, a candidate must reach 215% in at least 212 accepted polls, or reach 22020% in 2 single-state polls in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and/or Nevada.
|
|
What's very clear is that several typical sources of polling error, in addition to the education issue in lower-quality state polls, contributed to a pro-Clinton bias in pre-election polls.
|
|
After a modest but steady rise in the polls, Mr. Yang has struggled to get beyond the mid-single digits in both national surveys and polls of the critical early voting states.
|
|
Opinion polls for Taiwan elections are traditionally seen as being unreliable, due to the highly partisan nature of Taiwan's media and politics, though most of the recent polls have Han behind Tsai.
|
|
And even if voter enthusiasm this year is as strong as the polls show, there's still a good chance that less than half of eligible voters will show up at the polls.
|
|
"I'll tell you what, we're doing well in the polls, but you know, I really think those polls are very inaccurate," Trump said, flanked by women waving pink "Women for Trump" signs.
|
|
Candidates were required to have received 5% in at least four DNC-approved national or early-voting-state (Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Nevada) polls, or 7% in two early state polls.
|
|
To meet the latest polling threshold, candidates must earn 10 percent in four qualifying national polls or 12 percent in two polls taken in Nevada or South Carolina by a qualifying pollster.
|
|
To meet the latest polling threshold, candidates must earn 10 percent in four qualifying national polls or 12 percent in two polls taken in Nevada or South Carolina by a qualifying pollster.
|
|
" And it isn't clear Trump is referencing numbers from any actual polls, like the data he cited Monday that he said shows support is "down into the 20's in some Polls.
|
|
Candidates will either need to receive 5% in at least four DNC-approved national or early state (Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Nevada) polls, or receive 7% in two early state polls.
|
|
Bush averages 6.5 percent in those two polls, compared to Paul's 3 percent, while the Kentucky senator averages 3.7 percent in the three more recent polls, well ahead of Bush's 85033 percent.
|
|
For the December debate, candidates had to get at least 4 percent support in at least four national polls or 6 percent support in two single-state polls in early voting states.
|
|
So what is really fueling this shift in the polls (and at the polls) — is it the pull of socialism or the push, more like a shove, by the failures of capitalism?
|
|
A candidate must reach 3% in at least 4 accepted polls or reach 5% in 2 single-state polls in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and/or Nevada in order to qualify.
|
|
In order to qualify, Democratic presidential candidates needed to receive 4% in at least four national or early state polls that met the DNC's criteria or 6% in two early state polls.
|
|
Black churches used Sunday services to push people to the polls in what they called "souls to the polls" initiatives, Barry Burden, a political scientist with the University of Wisconsin Madison, recalls.
|
|
Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, who is second in most polls here, found himself under furious assault from two sides, with Mr. Rubio and Mr. Trump, who leads in the South Carolina polls, accusing Mr. Cruz of running a dishonest campaign and of deploying sleazy last-minute tricks, like push polls and Facebook posts to deceive voters.
|
|
It also plays out with age, where the exit polls imply that youth turnout was higher than turnout among seniors; with education, where the exit polls show that more college graduates voted than actually live in America; or Hispanics, where the exit polls show that white and Hispanic turnout was nearly equal, despite decades of evidence to the contrary.
|
|
As the world's largest democracy heads to polls next year for its general elections, Facebook announced Thursday that the new transparency measures were aimed at defending any possible foreign interference in the polls.
|
|
They've also proven to be highly inaccurate when used for state polls, according to FiveThirtyEight, which said in May it was contemplating whether or not to include those types of polls in forecasts.
|
|
Exit polls coming out of Iowa last week confirmed what nationwide polls have been saying for months: Democrats' top priority is selecting a nominee who gives them confidence in beating Trump in November.
|
|
According to multiple polls taken in recent days, Biden polls fourth or even fifth, with allies starting to question his chances in Nevada and even winning his so-called firewall in South Carolina.
|
|
Sanders has repeatedly told supporters at packed rallies that most opinion polls indicate he would beat Trump in a general election match-up by a larger margin than polls show Clinton defeating Trump.
|
|
Candidates also have to receive at least 3% of voter support in early nominating states or national polls, or they have to receive at least 5% of support in two qualifying state polls.
|
|
Recent polls show that the two candidates are neck and neck in the polls ahead of the November election, making the televised debates a key opportunity for the candidates to persuade undecided voters.
|
|
August opinion polls showed the centre-left opposition taking a narrow lead over the government for the first time in more than a year, a compilation by Norway's poll of polls website showed.
|
|
"Guys like Kirk who are behind in the polls can't figure out why guys like me are ahead in the polls," Trump told the crowd, according to two attendees who relayed the remarks.
|
|
Facts First: Trump did not win every Republican debate according to scientific opinion polls with random sampling -- and he did not win any of the three debates with Clinton according to scientific polls.
|
|
While national polls of November's U.S. presidential election were largely accurate — Trump's opponent Hillary Clinton won the popular vote — Trump outperformed pre-election polls in crucial states that put him over the top.
|
|
Those polls have helped Warren establish herself as the front-runner in Iowa, while Buttigieg has gained about 10 points in the RealClearPolitics average of Iowa polls to overtake Sanders in recent weeks.
|
|
Trump's numbers in the Real Clear Politics list of all polls have surged so strongly that Hillary Clinton's overall lead in the average of all those polls is down to just 1.1 percent.
|
|
This got me thinking that if one side fields a lot of polls that end up favorable to their side, then maybe they're more likely to release more internal polls than other side.
|
|
In order to qualify for the November debate, candidates need both 165,000 individual donors and to earn either 3% in four DNC-approved national polls or 5% in two approved early-state polls.
|
|
Standard theory says the average of this many polls should be within about half a percentage point of the true answer, and that this difference shrinks to zero as more polls are conducted.
|
|
In one sense, most polls were relatively accurate: The Real Clear Politics average of polls, for example, had Clinton leading by about 3.3 points, little more than two points above the actual outcome.
|
|
" The officials spent several minutes discrediting Marist and Quinnipiac polls that have shown that Americans view this tax measure as a benefiting the rich as "polls that are trying to manipulate public opinion.
|
|
Then there are the polls that show ObamaCare's approval above 50 percent, and exit polls suggesting health care played a role in bringing out Democratic voters in Virginia's off-year election in November.
|
|
Sanders won the state's caucuses by huge margins in 2016, though the polls have him running much closer to former Vice President Joe Biden as voters head to the polls this March 10.
|
|
But if you look at the possible scenarios — and at the entrance and exit polls' record with Latinos — the most plausible conclusion is that the entrance polls didn't correctly predict Nevada's Latino vote.
|
|
Though Bullock has emphasized his ability to win Trump voters in a cycle in which polls show Democratic voters are putting a premium on electability, he has struggled to break through in polls.
|
|
The results — which in many cases spectacularly contradict the PRI dominance or tight finishes predicted by opinion polls and even exit polls — give potential opposition candidates hope ahead of the 2018 presidential elections.
|
|
These polls are asked on Jasmin's Instagram story, and her feed — the actual posts on her account — is a mix of memes, screenshots of the results from these polls, and a few TikToks.
|
|
She has hit 22018 percent support in only two qualifying polls, including one of Iowa voters released Monday morning; she needs to reach that mark in two more national or early state polls.
|
|
Now, presidential hopefuls need only to reach 10% in four polls, hit 0003% in two polls in South Carolina and Nevada, or receive at least one delegate in either Iowa or New Hampshire.
|
|
Candidates have to amass support from at least 200,85033 unique donors and register 4 percent support in four approved polls or 6 percent in two approved polls in early primary and caucus states.
|
|
To qualify for the debate, in addition to accumulating donors, candidates need to hit 4 percent in four polls approved by the DNC (or 6 percent in two DNC-approved early state polls).
|
|
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party trails the center-left Blue and White party in 211 of 323 exit polls, which continue to be updated after polls closed with real vote counts.
|
|
Fox News's criteria stipulates that candidates must poll within the top six in national polls or the top five in polls from early-voting Iowa or New Hampshire to make the main stage.
|
|
Of all the polls in CNN's Poll of Polls -- released between Sunday and Tuesday -- Monmouth University poll found the lowest support for impeachment and removal (43%) while Fox News found the highest (50%).
|
|
Trump's aides will typically only show the president polls that focus on his base or public polls with good numbers for Trump, such as those from the polling firm Rasmussen, the report said.
|
|
He leads in recent polls, and his team is confident.
|
|
Polls suggest that it could have a shot at success.
|
|
The polls in the U.K. still indicate a tight race.
|
|
But exactly why the polls err often remains a mystery.
|
|
Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump topped polls in New Hampshire.
|
|
Yet some national polls show him leading among evangelical voters.
|
|
PERPETRATORS OF COUPS tend to do badly at the polls.
|
|
The Greens have been edging up slightly in recent polls.
|
|
Mr. Trump led in many Iowa polls before the Feb.
|
|
And it's left Trump behind -- sometimes badly -- in the polls.
|
|
Exit polls don't account for racial differences among Latinx voters.
|
|
Polls in most of Florida will close at 203 p.m.
|
|
A huge wave of state polls close at 8 p.m.
|
|
Another large wave of states closes polls at 9 p.m.
|
|
India went to the polls just over two months later.
|
|
The bond market reacted quickly and decisively to the polls.
|
|
I feel confident this year not because of the polls.
|
|
Success in business doesn't necessarily guarantee success at the polls. .
|
|
In the polls the populists extreme right is actually leading.
|
|
Biden has fared strongly in recent polls among black voters.
|
|
It serves up a series of "polls" about your friends.
|
|
Don't take my word for it; let's go to polls.
|
|
The hotelier responded that most polls have shown him leading
|
|
And the polls are showing us in a dead heat.
|
|
Kenyans are due to go to the polls on Aug.
|
|
The people of Alabama hit the polls on Dec. 12.
|
|
Clinton by half in polls of Georgia, Tennessee, and Texas.
|
|
The polls were evidence that his foreign policy was right.
|
|
She had been at the polls all day shaking hands.
|
|
Mistress Tara has not been included in any reliable polls.
|
|
The reason: People have simply stopped responding to phone polls.
|
|
Democracy doesn't just happen on Election Day at the polls.
|
|
Don't worry, Donald, Hillary is still ahead in the polls.
|
|
Hopefully, you'll make it to the polls without a hitch.
|
|
Polls show that many more Americans worry about global warming.
|
|
Still, recent polls have showed a slight lead for Menendez.
|
|
Trailing Democrat Hillary Clinton in opinion polls for the Nov.
|
|
" He is the co-host of the podcast "Politics & Polls.
|
|
But polls suggest otherwise; we dive into this "happiness paradox".
|
|
The polls are closed and the votes have been counted!
|
|
His party is trailing conservative New Democracy in opinion polls.
|
|
After his convention Trump got a boost in opinion polls.
|
|
Rasmussen was the m-- one of the most accurate polls.
|
|
Once the frontrunner, opinion polls show Fillon losing the election.
|
|
Quinnipiac University tweaked their polls to pit Trump against Winfrey.
|
|
You can cite polls where his numbers are going up.
|
|
Rubio did much better than the polls predicted he would.
|
|
He said Puigdemont's party was already sliding in opinion polls.
|
|
Phil Bredesen, and he had been leading in the polls.
|
|
The polls, if true, would mark something of a surprise.
|
|
Recent polls show a majority of Californians favor legalizing marijuana.
|
|
Lock yourself in a spa until the polls close tonight?
|
|
Polls suggest up to 45 percent of voters remain undecided.
|
|
"The polls are rigged," she added — parroting Trump's own jargon.
|
|
But it was to no avail — the polls barely budged.
|
|
Could the polls be similarly underestimating his strength in Wisconsin?
|
|
Opinion polls show the public is divided on Abe's proposal.
|
|
Since December opinion polls show a sharp dip in optimism.
|
|
But since then she's steadily gained momentum in the polls.
|
|
Recent polls have shown sentiment on the debate is divided.
|
|
He entered, of course, and won despite the initial polls.
|
|
Opinion polls published have the race too close to call.
|
|
But Klobuchar pulled into third place in two opinion polls.
|
|
The findings likely reflect Trump's abysmal performance in the polls.
|
|
And amidst it all, he's simply risen in the polls.
|
|
Recent polls have shown momentum swinging to the leave camp.
|
|
Both polls were carried out before the killing of Cox.
|
|
In the same polls, Sanders holds 15% and 22%, respectively.
|
|
Opinion polls put her Democratic opponent, Kyrsten Sinema, comfortably ahead.
|
|
Recent statewide polls show her trailing top rivals Buttigieg, Sen.
|
|
He is leading national opinion polls ahead of the Feb.
|
|
With Biden increasingly struggling — recent polls showed him trailing Sen.
|
|
Vote, show up, and bring a friend to the polls.
|
|
Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls.
|
|
Since then, it has slumped to 12% in opinion polls.
|
|
The result: Fine Gael has sagged badly in the polls.
|
|
The outfits alone might nudge some fans to the polls.
|
|
In other towns, the polls open at either 8 a.m.
|
|
Today it is down to about 15 percent in polls.
|
|
But that also prohibited integrating some newer features like Polls.
|
|
Reuters polls show slight improvements are expected across all releases.
|
|
Polls have shown the two candidates in a virtual tie.
|
|
Kenyans will head back to the polls on Oct. 217.
|
|
And in all three contests, polls show a tied race.
|
|
Polls suggest that some 85% of Mexicans abhor Mr Trump.
|
|
Polls predict a comfortable majority of voters will choose "no".
|
|
Capuano had been leading by double digits in the polls.
|
|
Then come the opinion polls which show his father losing.
|
|
Why does it tweet bizarre Twitter polls and endless emojis?
|
|
Meanwhile, polls show Biden jockeying for position with Warren, Sen.
|
|
Opinion polls show that most French people support the measure.
|
|
Bitter experience shows that opinion polls have often proved unreliable.
|
|
"Remember this in November when we march to the polls."
|
|
Lula was leading the opinion polls when he was jailed.
|
|