Traditional polling, online polling and IVR polling, and the big aggregators didn't see it coming either.
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One of them is polling -- one of them is polling at 210 -- one of them is polling at 2100%.
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Our model cares more about state polling than national polling.
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But polling — especially polling of progressives — has proven consistently unreliable.
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No current polling for the primary race meets CNN's polling standards.
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Trump certainly can't be talking about comparing his polling performance to Lincoln's polling performance when he was president, because polling didn't exist back then.
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Nevada: Biden is currently polling at 24% with Sanders polling at 22%.
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Polling officials empty ballot boxes at a Phnom Penh polling station Sunday.
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For example, local polling data can be compared with national polling data.
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It was unclear if those polling stations had webcams on polling day.
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Inslee is in the polling cellar right now, but he seems like a very plausible candidate for one of those attention-polling-attention-polling surges. Who?
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Still, the key takeaway here: National polling isn't overstating Biden's current polling advantage.
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New Hampshire: Biden is currently polling at 216% with Sanders polling at 28%.
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South Carolina: Biden is currently polling at 2500% with Sanders polling at 2500%.
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Polling place voting hours are available online through the Polling Place Search here.
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A polling boost would put him back to where he was polling previously.
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Indeed, many national primary polling frontrunners first started showing weakness in early state polling.
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By the numbers: Iowa: Biden is currently polling at 20163%; Sanders polling at 14%.
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Make no mistake, polling is hard, and good polling, these days, is even harder.
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" "We've seen that in polling on a lot of the polling on taxes recently.
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Beto O'Rourke polling at 1% but not Yang polling at 3%, off the air.
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Beto O'Rourke polling at 63% but not Yang polling at 3%, off the air.
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Our Democratic polling firm carried out the research jointly with a Republican polling firm.
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Moreover, Warren is actually polling lower than any recent polling leader at this point.
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According to a RealClearPolitics polling average, Biden is polling in second place behind Sen.
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FEWER POLLING PLACES The tradeoff is that there will be markedly fewer polling places.
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Democrats rely on polling to take the temperature; Republicans use polling to change it.
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POLITICO partners with Morning Consult, an online polling vendor, for its public-opinion polling.
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Additionally, there is limited public polling (or no polling in the case of the Ocasio-Cortez stunner), and the polling that is available is often not that accurate.
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Skepticism about polling is newer, if only because polling itself is a relatively recent invention.
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States like Florida, Georgia, and Michigan prohibit photography inside polling booths and in polling locations.
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In the RealClearPolitics polling average on Tuesday, he was polling at about twice Buttigieg's level.
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Polling guru Nate Silver built his career sorting through election polling data with remarkable accuracy.
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Delaney is currently polling at 0.4% in national Democratic polling, according to a RealClearPolitics average.
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Georgia: No photography in polling places + no cell phone use in polling places = no selfies.
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I think that the early polling, they should not be distracted by the early polling.
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Team Rising digs into the latest national polling and polling out of Missouri and Florida.
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A lack of polling means we need to be extra cautious in examining polling averages.
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For folks like me, little polling and close polling mean that patience is in order.
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Buttegieg is polling close to 28500 percent, according to the Real Clear Politics polling aggregate.
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Again, let's go to the Polling Report figures: Once again, the polling is remarkably consistent.
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The CNN polling average includes the five most recent publicly released polling results in the state.
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For instance, mobile phones and online polling haven't caught up with traditional landline polling, he said.
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Ping's supporters called on the electoral commission to publish the results polling station by polling station.
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Christie is currently polling at sixth in New Hampshire, according to RealClearPolitics's average of recent polling.
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There is no one reason why online polling differs so much from over types of polling.
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Importantly, Iowa polling looks a lot like New Hampshire polling right in terms of potential volatility.
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The story of the 2020 election polling so far is how little the polling has changed.
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Kasich was polling at 2% in Minnesota a month ago, when Rubio was polling in the lead.
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So Vox and our polling partner Morning Consult, a media and polling company, took a different approach.
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All the indication from public polling and our polling suggests that the NRA had a bad year.
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Polling aggregators create a false sense of security that averaging polling results together eliminates the underlying risk.
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Post-debate polling shows Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders both tied at the top, Emerson Polling reports.
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The highest-polling candidates have millions of dollars on hand, and even low-polling candidates like Sen.
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This is partly because caucuses rarely match polling and also because polling in Nevada is notoriously flawed.
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Does a polling miss in one state tell you much about a polling miss in other states?
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She is currently polling at less than 2 percent nationally, according to a polling average from RealClearPolitics.
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Voters can find their election day polling place with the state's voter lookup or polling place tools.
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Kasich is polling around 10 points and Carson around 7 points, according to the RealClearPolitics polling average.
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Average polling indications have both PD and M5S around 27 percent, while Northern League is polling 15 percent and Forza Italia, led by ex-Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, is polling around 14 percent.
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Openers Only the top two polling openers will make the subcontinent Test XI. Middle Order Only the top three polling middle order batsmen will make the subcontinent Test XI. Wicketkeeper Only the top polling wicketkeeper will make the subcontinent Test XI. All-rounder Only the top polling all-rounder will make the subcontinent Test XI. Spinners Only the top two polling spinners will make the subcontinent Test XI. Pacers Only the top two polling pacers will make the subcontinent Test XI.
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Election officials have moved the lone polling place outside city limits, citing construction at the previous polling site.
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Trump is currently polling between a 9 and 15 point lead in Utah, according to most recent polling.
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Steve Koczela is President of the MassINC Polling Group, which conducts extensive polling in Massachusetts and New Hampshire.
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CNN's recent polling has the President's job approval at 41%, no different than CNN's previous polling in March.
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Polling from Democratic group Fight Back CA PAC shows Baugh polling closely behind one of the leading Democrats.
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Toni In 2012, there was a debate about state polling versus national polling, and which was more accurate.
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Steyer has already hit the polling threshold in three polls, all of which came in early state polling.
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Sanders is currently polling ahead of Biden in Michigan, according to a FiveThirtyEight polling average of the state.
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Behind Sanders and Buttigieg, the polling picture is less clear: New Hampshire polling averages from RealClearPolitics show Sen.
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Trump, uniquely in the modern history of polling, has never been above 50 percent approval in Gallup polling.
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"The storm has had its effects on our polling schedule," Qunnipiac's assistant polling director, Peter A. Brown said.
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This current polling reminds me a lot of the polling surrounding former special counsel Robert Mueller's Russian investigation.
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The company combines its own pre-election polling with turnout results from sample polling places collected throughout the day.
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Instead of asking why Trump is polling so high, perhaps we should ask why Trump isn't polling yet lower.
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Polling and reporting by Kaori Kaneko; Additional polling by Khushboo Mittal in BENGALURU; Editing by Malcolm Foster & Shri Navaratnam
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Steve Koczela is president of the MassINC Polling Group, which conducts extensive polling in Massachusetts and around the country.
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That shows a sizable decline from December polling, which found Democrats leading by 2628 points on generic ballot polling.
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Rohrabacher has been polling well ahead of all the Democrats in the field there, even in their own polling.
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There is no gold standard polling from the state, though the polling that does it exist has Democratic Sen.
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The RealClearPolitics polling index has Warren trailing Biden in national polling by 7.3 points, 28.4 percent to 21.1 percent.
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They are assisted by about 143,000 polling officials, known as micro-observers, each assigned to monitor one polling station.
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The candidates would be divided into those polling at least 2 percent on average and those polling below that.
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Polling experts have criticized the Polling Company for its flawed procedures, and as Broadly reported last month, the Center for Security Policy considered last year's Polling Company poll about Muslim American views on Sharia law misleading.
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Other high polling candidates and maybe even a few low polling ones will have the chance to take down Biden.
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Recent polling has shown it slipping from her grasp: Mr Trump leads polling averages there by about two percentage points.
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No polling exists on the subject, although PAAIA polling suggests 77% of Iranian Americans are opposed to the travel ban.
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She is running at around 5 percent in national polling averages, and is polling even lower than that in Iowa.
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"Confidence in the election results can only be restored by a transparent verification polling station by polling station," she continued.
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It's worth reiterating that exit polling — much like polling in general — doesn't offer a definitive picture of exactly what's happening.
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Polling and reporting by Kaori Kaneko; Additional polling by Khushboo Mittal in BENGALURU; Editing by Chris Gallagher and Sam Holmes
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Her net favorability rating rose in Gallup's polling from -24 points in June to -10 points now in Gallup polling.
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No loitering is allowed in the polling place and the sheriff also checks outside the polling place for any irregularities.
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Democrats' June polling lead is a lot smaller than their December polling lead, but the June lead is more valuable.
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It's a case that highlights the challenge of polling in general, and the particular challenges of polling in some states.
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In the week ahead of the primary, Biden was polling 11 points ahead of Sanders in the RealClearPolitics polling average.
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Reporting and polling by Gabriel Burin; Additional polling by Indradip Ghosh in Bengaluru; Editing by Ross Finley and Bernadette Baum
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A fire at a factory near a polling place might mean city officials reroute voters to a different polling place.
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Heading into the caucuses, Biden is polling in second at 21 percent, according to FiveThirtyEight's averages of the Iowa polling.
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Candidates will stand on the stage based on their polling numbers, with the highest-polling contenders closer to the middle.
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The candidates who made the debate are : Polling hasn't changed much: Polling since the November debate has remained relatively consistent.
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Much higher ratings at Fox Like most other polling outlets, CNN's polling did not predict a Trump victory in November.
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Reuters reporters counted voters at a random sample of 11 polling stations across central and western Russia on polling day.
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Thousands of polling officials often walk for two or three days to reach polling stations, which might be otherwise inaccessible.
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"To understand public opinion, we do it all: online polling, state polling and what we consider the gold standard of national polling — the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll," said Mark Murray, NBC News' senior political editor.
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When Gizmodo started talking to polling researchers, we were curious about the influence that robocalls were having on the polling industry.
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Warren, who recent polling shows closing in on Sanders, will be by far the strongest polling candidate in the first night.
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The RealClearPolitics polling average for 22019 generic ballot polling remains in the double-digits for Democrats, with a 10.5-point lead.
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And he's gone from polling in third place in Iowa and New Hampshire to more often polling fourth or fifth lately.
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Insider's polling has found that hardly any Democrats thought de Blasio could defeat Trump, even compared to other low-polling candidates.
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Democrats continue to have a lead in House generic ballot polling for 2018, though the most recent polling shows it shrinking.
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By showing the full scope of polling results, the media can demonstrate to its audience that polling is an inexact science.
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An apparent drastic shift toward the Republican candidate highlights the challenges of polling generally, and of polling in certain states particularly.
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"It's not materially different than polling at zero," Patrick Murray, the director of polling at Monmouth University, said in an interview.
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The former Obama Cabinet member was polling at 1 percent shortly before ending his campaign, according to the RealClearPolitics polling index.
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Bloomberg is polling at about 5 percent nationally and Steyer is polling at about 1.5 percent, according to aggregation site RealClearPolitics.
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Polling has shown a tightening margin between the two senators, with Warren leapfrogging Sanders in the Real Clear Politics polling index.
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Combining the statewide polling and fundamentals: Polling is pretty good at this point, but the fundamentals will always carry some weight.
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And the polling ahead of the endorsement "felt more like a push poll than a real polling of membership," Heiserman said.
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The actual results on Monday night were: Cruz, 28 percent (4 percentage points higher than his polling average); Trump, 24 percent (4 points lower than his polling average); and Rubio, 23 percent (6 points higher than his polling average).
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A notice outside the polling place at La Cienega Park in Los AngelesI just voted at my polling place in Los Angeles.
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While Trump remains around 40% in national polling, Obama's approval rating was at 54% after the Democratic convention, according to CNN polling.
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The polling in France has proved much more accurate than the polling in either the British referendum or the US presidential election.
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Limitations on "signal" in polling data: Polling generally addresses a few issue positions and captures a handful of demographic and socioeconomic variables.
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But some people clearly view Clinton's persistent polling lead—Trump's inability to overtake her in polling averages—as a kind of liberation.
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In a May 2015 report, Pew Research analyzed the differences between results derived from telephone polling and those from online Internet polling.
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A survey from the left-leaning firm Public Policy Polling (PPP) released Friday shows O'Rourke polling just 28500 points behind incumbent Sen.
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But with polling as one-sided as most of the polling in the mainstream media today, no one can know for sure.
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Sheldon said Google does have to fight against the idea that online polling is somehow less reliable than traditional phone-based polling.
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Polling from RealClearPolitics' polling average gave Clinton a 7-point lead, and no poll found her ahead by fewer than four points.
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If we examine primary fields since 1980 (when we have polling), there have been 52 candidates polling below 743% at this point.
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Polling and reporting by Kaori Kaneko; Additional polling by Anisha Sheth and Shaloo Shrivastava in BENGALURU; Editing by Leika Kihara & Shri Navaratnam
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To meet the polling threshold for the debate, candidates needed to meet the four-poll threshold or the early state polling threshold.
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His polling is no longer quite as strong but he remains the frontrunner nationally, with a polling average of around 270 percent.
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The Fox News poll was conducted by two polling firms, Democratic firm Anderson Robbins Research and Republican polling group Shaw & Company Research.
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The talk of the room is a district judge who had apparently gone from polling place to polling place, yelling at signature-gatherers.
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As the only serious Democrat with a chance, Ossoff is polling just about where you'd expect him to be polling at 40 percent.
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A Public Policy Polling (PPP) survey released Tuesday, for example, had Deez Nuts polling ahead of Green Party nominee Jill Stein in Texas.
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Recent internal polling from Morrisey and Jenkins place him in second place — with first place varying based on the candidate releasing the polling.
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The survey was commissioned by Florida Democratic consultant Christian Ulvert and conducted by the Democratic polling firm Public Policy Polling (PPP) from Aug.
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Statewide polling also had a strong year, although it should be noted that Senate and governors' polling did pick fewer winners than usual.
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The candidates with polling averages of at least 2 percent were split between the two nights along with candidates with lower polling averages.
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The Public Policy Polling survey pegged his current job approval at 41 percent, narrowly higher than the RealClearPolitics polling average of 40.3 percent.
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Mr. Macron did little to help himself in that regard, said Jérôme Fourquet, the head of opinion polling at IFOP, a polling firm.
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"There is certainly evidence that moving polling places, or the distance you live to your polling place, can affect voter turnout," Sides said.
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Militants also threw a grenade and a petrol bomb at polling stations, and the wall of one polling station was damaged, police said.
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That poll was a Democratic PAC-funded survey of 632 likely voters and done by Public Policy Polling, a left-leaning polling firm.
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All the polling organizations approved by the DNC are either independent media outlets or universities that dictate their own polling and release schedules.
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Polling and reporting by Kaori Kaneko; Additional polling by Khushboo Mittal and Anisha Sheth in BENGALURU; Editing by Leika Kihara and Jacqueline Wong
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The NRCC did not release the full polling data, but The Hill obtained a one-page summary authored by polling director Caitlin Reed.
|
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While contingencies can vary by jurisdiction, some may have "mobile polling places" at the ready to transport to a polling place if necessary.
|
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That is the single largest gulf in support in the field between a candidate's overall polling and their polling among a specific demographic.
|
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There's been limited polling in those Super Tuesday (and beyond) states to date and limited national polling since Bloomberg got into the race.
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Polling puts him at 13 percent, behind his competitors, Kelli Ward, polling at 27 percent, and Martha McSally, the frontrunner, at 47 percent.
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All four states had imposed some precautions to help protect voters and polling workers: They've shifted hundreds of polling stations away from senior living facilities to other community locations like school and libraries, extended polling hours and committed to rigorously sanitizing machines.
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One polling firm that showed Mr. Trump narrowly leading in some of the most inaccurately polled states — Michigan, Pennsylvania and Florida, all of which he won — was Trafalgar Group, a Republican polling and consulting firm that uses a variety of nontraditional polling methodologies.
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Clinton 2000 percent to 219 percent, according to polling released on Friday by the MassINC Polling Group for WBUR, an NPR station in Boston.
|
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Recent polling has often shown Trump with a double-digit lead nationally, and NBC's own polling last month showed him ahead by 13 points.
|
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"The pink polling stations got 13% to 21% percent more voters than in the other regular polling booths," Chief Electoral Officer Kunal, told CNN.
|
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Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) is polling second nationally behind front runner and former vice president Joe Biden, according to a polling average from RealClearPolitics.
|
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NowThis, the millennial social video outlet that's part of Group Nine Media, has launched a polling site in partnership with progressive polling firm PredictWise.
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But polling experts warn that state surveys in general are still a weak spot, and other aspects of election polling are still a challenge.
|
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You can't really blame AAAS for contracting a polling company, even The Polling Company back in 2015, before the presidential race really heated up.
|
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For polling data, we used the polling averages published by RealClearPolitics, both nationally and in the early-voting states of Iowa and New Hampshire.
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Clinton's campaign has stumbled over that same period and her post-convention polling bounce finally crumbled, which is what post-convention polling bounces do.
|
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The first survey, released last week by the Democratic polling firm Public Policy Polling, found that Gillum had a 5-point lead over DeSantis.
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Both candidates are polling at just 1% in Morning Consult, and Insider's polling has consistently found that most Democrats haven't heard of either candidate.
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Mr. Ryan said the polling site coordinator failed to show up at Ms. Desai's polling place, the Atlantic Terminal Senior Citizens Center in Brooklyn.
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Public polling early in the year had Hanabusa lapping Ige (one from Mason-Dixon Polling in March had her up 113 in the primary).
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Journalist Adrien Sénécat writing for Le Monde voiced a similar distrust of polling in November, though the newspaper will continue polling throughout the election.
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Insider's polling has found that hardly any Democrats had confidence in de Blasio to win against Trump, even compared with other low-polling candidates.
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In FiveThirtyEight's broader polling average, he's at 210 percent, which is literally worse than any other president on record in the history of polling.
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"The number of undecided and third-party voters has a strong historical correlation with both polling volatility and polling error," he wrote in September.
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He has a polling lead in North Carolina and could replicate that kind of performance elsewhere in the South, where polling has been sparse.
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He is not accepting contributions, which closes off the polling and donor route to him, even though he has already cleared the polling threshold.
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Arizona, for example, saw more than 2900 in 220006 polling locations shut down, while in Georgia, seven counties now only have one polling location.
|
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For the polling requirement, candidates had to either meet the four-poll threshold or the early state polling threshold, as described by the DNC.
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Mr. Yang wants the D.N.C. to conduct its own polling, given the dearth of surveys from D.N.C.-approved news organizations and other polling firms.
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Abortion polling looked about as dismal as gay marriage polling does now, especially with the huge generation gap in support for liberal abortion policies.
|
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How does the commission move 12 million polling staff members and an enormous amount of polling material across such a massive and diverse landscape?
|
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While much of the attention in post-debate polling has focused on the drop of former Vice President Joe Biden, Sanders' polling looks far worse.
|
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The polling that shows Sanders beating Republican candidates by wider margins than Clinton is just as suspect as polling that suggests a socialist is unelectable.
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It controls for where a candidate is polling and where the leader is polling, allowing us to make some rough assessments of what to expect.
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Those polling at about 21979%, with a polling leader in the mid 21980s, should be expected to win the caucuses about 210% of the time.
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NBC divided the 20 qualifying candidates into two groups: those with polling averages at 2% or higher and those whose polling averages are under 2%.
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So will six campus polling places at colleges in Fort Worth, two in Brownsville, on the Mexico border, and other polling places at schools statewide.
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The reality, however, is that campaign polling and media polling methodologies are increasingly diverging, and private polls increasingly have an edge in terms of accuracy.
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Polling slowdown The impressive Sanders fundraising total comes on the heels of polling that suggests his campaign is stuck in neutral, as progressive rival Sen.
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The best assessments as of right now are that the polling was not that inaccurate, but it was predominantly national polling, and I won nationally.
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In late October internal GOP polling, more Trump voters approved of Kander than they did of Blunt, according to a review of the polling memo.
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Macon-Bibb County now has 31 polling places for nearly 100,000 registered voters, about 2200 percent more voters per polling place than the national average.
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The polling franchise will be called "PollerCoaster 2020," and will feature some reaction polls to events like debates, as well as long-term trend polling.
|
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Biden, for now at least, is doing very well in Democratic Party primary polling and very well in head-to-head polling matchups against Trump.
|
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The Harvard-Harris Poll results are even better than Rasmussen, the conservative polling outlet that has historically given Trump higher marks than their polling peers.
|
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In the Huffington Post's polling composite, which aggregates all public polling, Bernie Sanders gets 85033 percent of Democrats, while Trump gets 37 percent of Republicans.
|
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The survey, conducted by Democratic polling firm Public Policy Polling, showed 52 percent of respondents said they trust Democrats more on health care than Trump.
|
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Biden currently holds a Real Clear Politics polling average of 27.2%, Warren's average has steadily increased up to 23%, and Sanders' polling average is 17%.
|
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Polling stations closed Wafula Chebukati, the chairman of Kenya's electoral board, said Friday that 5,319 polling stations out of more than 40,000 had not opened.
|
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But a polling error that results in an unexpected landslide is a lot more likely than a polling error that results in a Trump win.
|
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"I will be very surprised if anyone who is not on track with the polling already gets the polling to make the debate," Dietrich said.
|
|
According to a RealClearPolitics polling average for the critical first race of the 2020 Democratic nomination, Buttigieg is polling third among Iowa voters behind Sen.
|
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He's polling in the single digits nationally, and there isn't a single state, based on the RealClearPolitics polling average, where he breaks the top three.
|
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One America National News/Gravis Marketing, which does not meet CNN's polling standards because it uses automated polling versus live telephone interviews, conducted the survey Thursday.
|
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This is playing out in the context of public polling that shows Clinton with a healthy lead and private polling that shows an even healthier one.
|
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Rapidly growing states like Arizona and Georgia closed around 150 polling places each, while a few states, including Virginia and South Carolina, opened additional polling places.
|
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And we know when we fight we win because Prairie got their polling places and Indiana got some polling places, but they're not going to stop.
|
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Clinton leads Sanders by just 3 percentage points in the RealClearPolitics Iowa polling average and trails Sanders by 13 points in the New Hampshire polling average.
|
|
Harris joins Warren, 70, in a polling bump, putting them both about even with Sanders, 77, in second place behind Biden, according to the polling average.
|
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"The polling director informed us that the batteries had died in the polling machines and someone was going to get power cords," Nick Alexander told NBC.
|
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Melenchon, a self-proclaimed fan of late Venezuelan dictator Hugo Chavez, was polling at just 10.5 percent on March 17, according to French polling firm Ifop.
|
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Plus, the polling is typically funded by operations with smaller budgets than the national interests that swoop in to fund public polling during presidential election years.
|
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Closing polling places: Georgia shut down 214 polling places across the state, mainly in areas with higher poverty rates and significant populations of people of color.
|
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Combine that polling lead with a larger advertising budget and get-out-the-vote apparatus that should help her perform well in reference to the polling.
|
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A poll released on Tuesday by Virginia Commonwealth University showed Northam polling at 42 percent among the state's likely voters, and Gillespie polling at 37 percent.
|
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"That's probably some of my toughest competition is that mindset that traditional polling is traditional polling, and that's the way it's always been done," Sheldon said.
|
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As I've mentioned before, through all of the campaign's ups and downs, Clinton has never trailed, whether you look at state polling or national polling averages.
|
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The Times is polling voters in 50 races and posting the results in real time, helping readers understand how polling works — and why it sometimes doesn't.
|
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This national polling reflects state polling as well — while some of Tuesday's contests are expected to be close, pollsters found Biden leading in all of them.
|
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This is what the polling said ahead of the Arizona primary:FiveThirtyEight's average of the latest polling data has Biden ahead with 55.2%, and Sanders taking 31.8%.
|
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But Biden still leads Sanders in national polling, and he is running about even with him in Iowa, according to the Real Clear Politics polling average.
|
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Yang has easily surpassed the fundraising threshold for the January debate, but a dearth of holiday polling has him at risk of missing the polling requirement.
|
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One survey conducted in February by Democratic polling firm Public Policy Polling found Lipinski had a 2-percentage-point advantage, within the survey's margin of error.
|
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Others huddled around radios in the dimly lit streets of Accra on Wednesday night, listening as election officials hoarsely read results polling station by polling station.
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Reporting and polling by Gabriel Burin; additional polling by Miguel Ángel Gutiérrez in Mexico City, Sujith Pai in Bengaluru; Editing by Ross Finley and Nick Zieminski
|
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In this simulator, you're allowed to adjust the polling and fundraising number of five candidates, and our polling trend line only measures the top five candidates.
|
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Klobuchar has struggled to break through the sprawling 2020 Democratic presidential primary field, averaging just over 1 percent in national polling, according to RealClearPolitics' polling average.
|
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Reporting and polling by Gabriel Burin in Buenos Aires; Additional polling by Khushboo Mittal and Sumanto Mondal in Bengaluru; Editing by Ross Finley and Matthew Lewis
|
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In a detailed analysis of phone versus online polling in Republican primaries, Kyle A. Dropp, the executive director of polling and data science at Morning Consult, writes: Trump's advantage in online polls compared with live telephone polling is eight or nine percentage points among likely voters.
|
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Chicago election officials on Sunday said 168 Election Day polling places across the city (roughly 8%) would be changing as coronavirus cases in Illinois continue to rise and polling place precinct owners informed the Board that they no longer wanted a polling place at their location.
|
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Sabato's nonpartisan Crystal Ball, which relies on things such as private polling, public polling and social media analysis, is predicting Democrats will pick up 34 House seats.
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Klobuchar exceeded expectations in New Hampshire, over-performing her recent polling and earning delegates when higher-polling rivals may move on to the Nevada primary empty-handed.
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John Delaney's campaign announced he would remain in the race until at least the Iowa caucuses in February, despite currently polling at 0.4% in national Democratic polling.
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Here's another difference: Clinton had a 63% approval rating in Gallup polling at the beginning of his impeachment proceedings, and national polling showed clear opposition to impeachment.
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Like many polling companies, many colleges and universities are also now using political polling as a loss-leader, trading information for public exposure and better name recognition.
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Activists allege that decreasing the number of polling locations from 200 to 60 left some residents completely lacking any or only one polling location in their neighborhood.
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Clinton led Nevada by more than 5 points in a polling average last week, but Trump now has a half-point edge in the RealClearPolitics polling average.
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Trump has overtaken Clinton in the RealClearPolitics polling index, the first time the businessman has led the former secretary of State in the polling index since May.
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And the polling after the TV debate somewhat calmed the market, as Ifop-Fiducial's polling released on Thursday showed Macron beating Le Pen by 61% to 39%.
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Polling scientists must contend with bias, such as when some individuals in a polling sample are more difficult to reach, or more willing to respond, than others.
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The most recent public polling by JMC Analytics and Polling shows Moore with 30 percent support, followed by Strange at 85033 percent and Brooks at 19 percent.
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Partisan district level polling Once September and October roll around, we'll be able to check in more frequently on individual districts because we'll have district-level polling.
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Use Current Polling Data A straightforward strategy for predicting the winner of each state would be to use the latest aggregate polling data from a reputable source.
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That all showed up in Cruz's brief polling lead over Trump in late December/early January, but it apparently wasn't fully captured by the most recent polling.
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Almost every Arizona county closed polling places before last year's election, for instance, a statewide reduction of 212 polling places, the Leadership Conference Education Fund has reported.
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Biden is far and away the leader in national polling — his RealClearPolitics polling average puts his national support at 56.4 percent, and Sanders's at 33.2 percent. Rep.
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Polling has shown the tax plan remains unpopular, with Americans disapproving of it by a 85033 percentage-point margin, according to the RealClearPolitics polling average of surveys.
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"We have very high standards for polling and are proud of the work that we did during the last election," said Scott Clement, the Post's polling director.
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But his polling here cratered from a close second behind Sanders in late January to fourth place (where he's tied with Warren and Klobuchar in polling averages).
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The only other announced candidate who is polling above 2% is Cory Booker at 4% (although polling has almost all been conducted before he declared his candidacy).
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"We ask for a recount of the votes from all candidates, polling station by polling station," one of his lawyers said in a series of impassioned speeches.
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By comparison, a poll conducted shortly after the June primary by Public Policy Polling, a left-leaning polling firm, found Nunes with a wider, 8-point lead.
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There has also been polling suggesting that Steyer was polling particularly well in the early states of Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina as an aggregate.
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The DCCC polling team is proud to have conducted accurate polling and provided critical data sets to inform the important work being done internally at the DCCC.
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But his specific claim about "inaccurate" 22016 polling is simply false, and there's good reason to believe he's also not telling the truth about his internal polling.
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Our officials actively identify individuals who have a history of misconduct, threatening or intimidating voters, polling officials or representatives of other political parties on the polling day.
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In the southernmost Andaman and Nicobar Islands in the Indian Ocean, polling officials set up polling stations for nine voters after traveling through swamps infested with crocodiles.
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But early voting numbers are confirming early polling, and polling is indicating that Clinton is winning overall — and is in a dead heat against Trump in Florida.
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They're typically somewhat mild, and polling on banning large categories of weapons like semiautomatic rifles is more mixed (though some recent polling still shows majorities support that).
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Reporting and polling by Gabriel Burin; Additional reporting by Jamie McGeever in Brasilia; Additional polling by Khushboo Mittal in Bengaluru; Editing by Ross Finley and Steve Orlofsky
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Michael Ramlet, CEO and co-founder, and Kyle Dropp, executive director of polling and data scientist, both of polling firm Morning Consult The tightening of the race wasn't a big surprise for the polling firm Morning Consult, which has had Trump within striking distance of Clinton for several months.
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CNN's new polling standards means readers and viewers can be confident that polling covered on CNN has been done by pollsters who are willing to show their work.
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Prior to joining Change Research, she was the Director of Polling and Modeling for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and Managing Director of the polling nonprofit, Democracy Corps.
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While the polling from Illinois had gotten closer over the last few days, Clinton's win may shore up faith that her polling leads in other states are meaningful.
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While other polling data is certainly useful in understanding the general broad outlines of where these races stand, they are less precise on average than gold standard polling.
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We heard stories from voters who took time off work to vote, only to be turned away at their assigned polling precinct and every polling place they visited.
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A source familiar with the special counsel's interest said Fabrizio's interview included questions about his polling work for Manafort in Ukraine rather than his internal Trump campaign polling.
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There have been nine congressional (House and Senate) and governor elections with polling in 2017 and 1.53, and the polling from them has been pretty good, historically speaking.
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Quinnipiac's polling showed a sharp downshift in Trump's approval ratings in the last month among whites without college degrees, but other polling is showing a more gradual change.
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I've also never seen a significant line in a non-American polling station — the number of polling stations needed are calculated based on population and are allocated accordingly.
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First, polling locations bring in voters only from a local community; if a virus is not circulating in that community, it cannot be spread at a polling location.
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A Public Policy Polling survey conducted last spring found Collins with an 18-point lead, at 51 percent compared with Gideon's 33 percent, according to the polling firm.
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Northam's internal polling is fairly consistent with public polling, which shows him in the low to middle single digits, according to a Virginia Democrat familiar with the campaign.
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The data was released by the Raleigh, N.C.-based polling group, Public Policy Polling, which surveyed 836 registered voters by phone and online between July 14 and 17.
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Polling cellphones can costs 30 to 50 percent more than polling land lines due to requirements that the numbers be dialed manually, according to Pew Research Center estimates.
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Silver's polling model currently gives Hillary Clinton only a 65 percent chance of winning the White House, which makes it the most pessimistic of the major polling models.
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Voters with disabilities, for example, have the right to accessible polling places and voting booths; to bring a service animal into the polling place; to seek assistance from polling place workers; and to bring someone with them to vote, as long as that person is not an employer or union representative.
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Around the time of Mr. Kilimnik's trip to the United States in spring 2016, Mr. Manafort directed Mr. Gates to transfer some polling data to Mr. Kilimnik, including public polling and some developed by a private polling company working for the campaign, according to a person with knowledge of the arrangement.
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The top Democrats (particularly Joe Biden) are beating Trump in early 2020 polling, just like Democrats were leading Republicans in early generic congressional ballot polling in the 2018 cycle.
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For instance, an attacker could spread a fake news story claiming that polling places are closing early, or threaten violence against voters who show up to specific polling places.
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Polling website RealClearPolitics was reporting no clear trend in polling in key House and Senate races on Monday, with Republicans up in some swing states and Democrats in others.
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But he agreed polling is a serious business in Germany, where a high degree of accuracy is expected and deep-pocketed public broadcasting networks invest enormous sums in polling.
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The Real Clear Politics polling average has Northam leading Gillespie by 3 points in Virginia; in New Jersey, the polling average has Murphy ahead of Guadagno by 15 points.
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Ironically, many of the trends in the digital revolution — like the the unplugging of landlines and the growing reliance on online polling — have made sampling bias in polling worse.
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Voters were not allowed to join queues at polling stations after 1700 GMT, but some polling stations stayed open to allow those already in line to cast their ballots.
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Both are polling relatively low, though O'Rourke is significantly ahead of Castro — according to a RealClearPolitics average, O'Rourke is polling at 134 percent nationally and Castro at 0.8 percent.
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According to the latest California polling, however, she's still got some ground to make up: Biden and Sanders currently come in ahead of her, per the RealClearPolitics polling average.
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One of the first signs that Sanders was going to perform better in 2016 than early national polling indicated was that he was beating Clinton in 2014 Vermont polling.
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According to Gallup's polling this year, the highest number of Americans have unfavorable views of Russia since it began polling in 22018, two years before the Soviet Union fell.
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New polling conducted by Public Policy Polling for End Citizens United (ECU), a political action committee that backs candidates who push for campaign finance limits, shows Republican state Rep.
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Hillary Clinton's average general election polling has generally been between 45 percent and 49 percent, and Donald Trump's average general election polling has generally been 39 and 43 percent.
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Some of Gillibrand's low name recognition may have to do with the issues she has focused on, according to Patrick Murray, director of polling at Monmouth University Polling Institute.
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"Everyone was heading for polling stations and I myself waited for 40 minutes at the polling site before my turn came," said Haji Jumma Khan, an elder from Spinboldak.
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There hasn't been too much polling since Harris got in the race, though what little polling we do have suggests that Harris has seen a significant bump in support.
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He looks strong in New Hampshire too and in the polling we have for Nevada, sitting in first place and a close second respectively, according to FiveThirtyEight's polling averages.
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Biden holds only a 3.6 percent lead over Sanders in the FiveThirtyEight polling average for Iowa, and Buttigieg and Warren are polling much closer to both Biden and Sanders.
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Cynthia Nixon This is, of course, the big one, even if the most recent polling -- indeed, all of the available public polling -- suggests Cuomo will cruise to the nomination.
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Put simply: when fundraising tells one story and early polling tells another about who is most likely to win the nomination, early polling is more likely to be predictive.
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Before Democrats dismiss the poll as biased, it's important to point out that Rasmussen Polling was one of only three polling organizations to accurately predict the 2016 Presidential election.
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Paul's campaign's argument centers on a poll released on Wednesday -- well after the network's polling deadline-- contending that it should count because the polling took place before that deadline.
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Brexit may have been a surprise, but perhaps a more objective view of polling would have shown it wasn't quite the surprise that people thought based on the polling.
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Cut to five months later, and she's about to enter the next Democratic debate polling in the single digits, coming in at 4.3 percent, according to RealClearPolitics polling averages.
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The polling shows a lot of room for improvement: In their most recent polling sets, Pew put black approval of the president at 7%, while Gallup put it at 6%.
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"Republicans are doing everything they can using gerrymandering, using voter suppression, voter ID laws, changing polling places, closing polling places, to try to block access to the ballot," Rodenbush said.
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The murder of Cox in the days leading up to the vote, triggered new challenges in polling, even though it was difficult to determine how the tragedy would influence polling.
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She is polling at 1.3% in the Real Clear Politics average of all the polling conducted in the 2020 primary and is nearly certain to miss the coming November debate.
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Polling steadily in the middle of the pack, according to the RealClearPolitics polling average, Buttigieg needed a strong performance in Tuesday's debate to further carve out a niche for himself.
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Polling experts say there are likely a few factors at play, including the heightened volatility of polling in primary elections, when it can be more challenging to identify likely voters.
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After one Twitter user criticized Public Policy Polling for its "giant meteor" answer – "What's next, Deez Nutz?" he asked – the political polling company set the record straight with a tweet.
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The slew of polling has left Trump -- the real estate mogul who frequently boasted of his polling lead during the Republican primaries -- largely silent when it comes to discussing polls.
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Crooked Media, a progressive political media company known primarily for its "Pod Save America" podcast series, is launching a polling partnership with progressive polling firm Change Research, Axios has learned.
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As he spoke, cadets, in their green uniforms, were familiarized with mock polling booths, where they will be expected to assist voters, particularly the elderly and disabled, on polling day.
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Since we are collecting data 365 days a year, Ipsos' stock-in-trade in the polling world is to identify how election events, developments, and 'surprises' may affect the polling.
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Trump said he was encouraged by "fantastic" polling data from the RNC, which he said showed him flying high in swing states (public approval polling shows Trump hitting new lows).
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Public Policy Polling, a left-leaning polling firm, found in a survey released last week that 49 percent of Wisconsin voters backed Evers, compared to 44 percent who supported Walker.
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I should point out that the accuracy of polling this year does not mean we're undergoing some sort of polling renaissance, where the polls will be awesome from now on.
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Mike Huckabee (R) and a frequent media spokeswoman for the Trump campaign, reportedly said the Trump team's internal polling was as wrong as the rest of the polling community's work.
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Toni We're seeing a slight tightening in the polling, and Clinton still hasn't clinched the deal with young voters, especially when you include Gary Johnson and Jill Stein in polling.
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Thousands of teachers across the country have been trained to work as polling officers and more than 5,000 polling stations will be set up in schools, mosques and medical centers.
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Polling by JMC Analytics, a group that's spent months polling the Alabama race, shows Moore with 2628 percent of the vote compared to Jones's 28503 percent, with 22019 percent undecided.
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He has enjoyed a consistent lead in national polling averages, though rivals have cut into his polling edge in two of the first four nominating states, Iowa and New Hampshire.
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Unofficial "quick counts", based on vote samples from polling stations, will be released hours after polling ends and the winning presidential candidate is expected to be apparent by late Wednesday.
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They also advised poll workers over 65 to stay home and not work polling locations on election day, which could cause major logistical problems at some heavily-trafficked polling places.
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Polling had previously reflected his advantage: According to the RealClearPolitics average, he was polling ahead of Biden, the next-closest candidate, by 12 points on the day of the primary.
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When you examine polling since 2006, Nelson's 5 point lead in the early Senate polling (January to June) of an election year translates into winning about 953% of the time.
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"Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are doing a lot better in New Hampshire than they are in national polling," Dean Debnam, president of Public Policy Polling, said in a release.
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He never topped 1 percent in FiveThirtyEight's national polling average, and in South Carolina, according to FiveThirtyEight, he was polling at one-tenth of a percent before ending his campaign.
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Biden is the only candidate polling above water with Black voters besides Tom Steyer, and that's currently the only component of the former vice president's polling that doesn't look terrible.
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Polling by Huffington Post, NBC News/Wall Street Journal, the polling company/ WomanTrend, and others have found that most Americans, especially women and millennials, support prohibiting abortions after five months.
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On the first night, lower-polling candidates — many of whom did not make subsequent debates — went after the liberal policies of higher-polling candidates, calling them impossible or not pragmatic.
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The polling These two charts — the top with Gallup's polling and the bottom with Pew's — show that public opinion on abortion has stayed within a narrow range over recent decades.
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Voters were no longer allowed to join queues at polling stations from 1700 GMT, but some polling stations stayed open to allow those already in line to cast their ballots.
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Polling day was marked by stormy weather that knocked out power to a handful of polling stations near Scranton, delaying the counting of paper ballots, while a storm-related gas leak temporarily closed a polling place in the tiny borough of Delaware Water Gap, in the Poconos, according to the Pocono Record .
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When CNN's Chris Cuomo asked whether Manafort sharing polling data is considered collusion, Giuliani replied that "polling data is given to everybody" before attempting to discount the accuracy of such statistics.
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Saturday at 1,113 polling stations throughout Kandahar, but early reports said scores of polling stations were late opening because staff did not show up or election materials were not readily available.
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When you add an "I voted" sticker to your Story, it will also link out to polling locations (via Get to the Polls) so your follower can find local polling stations.
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When one candidate is polling at about 30% and another is polling at about 25% in contests with no incumbent running, together they have about 75% chance of winning the nomination.
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A candidate must be polling at 10 percent or higher to earn a spot for their podium and, according to the CPD, Libertarian Gary Johnson is polling at only 8.4 percent.
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According to polling firm IPSOS, Kenyatta and Odinga are likely to take about 90 percent of the vote, while none of the six independent presidential candidates is polling above 1 percent.
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Elections officials in the county cut polling locations by 85 percent from the 2008 presidential election in order to save money, resulting in overwhelmed polling locations on election night last month.
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"The best of online polling is as good as the best phone polling has ever been," said Jon Cohen, the veteran pollster who joined SurveyMonkey in 2014 as head of research.
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Any judgments we have of races with no public data relies on internal polling, the partisan leanings of the state or data (such as approval ratings) from mostly untested polling techniques.
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In a new blog post on Tuesday, Princeton University professor and polling expert Samuel Wang argued that he and other major polling analysts have likely underestimated Trump's strength as a candidate.
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Based on its analysis of polling in competitive states like North Carolina, Virginia, and Texas, the survey finds that current support for Trump falls short of the exit polling in 2016.
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This is what the polling said ahead of the Michigan primary:According to FiveThirtyEight's average of the latest polling data, Biden had a considerable lead over Sanders in Michigan: 53.6% to 32.3%.
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Most of the polling stations in Monrovia reported few problems, but in Bong County, hundreds of voters at one polling station, many of whom had stood in line since 5 a.m.
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Estrada's original polling place was in an area hit hard by the tornado, so it took some researching before she found the location where officials consolidated several polling stations, including hers.
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Tabatabai tried one more polling location before deciding to return home and fill out his absentee ballot instead, which he planned to drop off at a designated polling station after work.
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Sander is leading in the RealClearPolitics national polling average by almost 8 points, and he has a 14-point lead in the Nevada average (albeit with limited polling in the state).
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I have seen no polling that supports his prediction, and at this early stage, responsible polling analysts are extremely wary of predicting which party will benefit more from impeachment in 2020.
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The lack of high-quality state polling will also be tough to fix, especially if the cost of polling rises further or if local newspaper budgets continue to shrink or vanish.
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Klobuchar exceeded expectations by coming in third place, with almost 20% of the vote, overperforming her polling and earning six delegates when higher-polling rivals went on to Nevada empty-handed.
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He came in third place in the Nevada caucuses on Saturday, and he's polling in fourth place — behind Biden, Sanders and billionaire Tom Steyer — in South Carolina, according to recent polling.
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Since entering the race in mid-November, Bloomberg's polling numbers have slowly climbed: in Monday's Quinnipiac University national poll, he had his best showing yet, polling in fifth place at 7%.
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There were ZERO indicators -- national polling, swing state polling, fundraising, ad spending, message, get out the vote -- in the run-up to the 2016 vote that suggested Trump would beat Clinton.
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Modern polling faces challenges, including the decreasing use of landlines and the increasing difficulty in finding people willing to participate, but we can expect the polling industry to work to adapt.
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A fresh round of polling on Monday showed Clinton with a lead of at least 3 points, a margin of victory that had not been overcome in the modern polling era.
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Polling by Indradip Ghosh, Khushboo Mittal and Anisha Sheth; Additional polling and reporting by Vivek Mishra in BENGALURU and Gabriel Burin in BUENOS AIRES; Editing by Jonathan Cable and Andrew Cawthorne
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Online polling — done right — has a good track record.
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" Enten added that Fox's polling is "consistently quite accurate.
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MANCHESTER, N.H. — Michael Bennet is polling in 10th place.
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Trump's polling increase from last month is within the poll's margin of error, and, as Monmouth University Polling Institute director Patrick Murray has noted, does not reflect the stark polling boosts presidents usually see amid crises, like President George W. Bush's 30 percentage point approval rating boost as he worked to respond to 9/11.
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Reports of 23 dead and 3 injured in shooting near L.A. polling places Reports of 1 dead and 3 injured in shooting near L.A. polling places Multiple people were shot — including one fatally — near two polling stations about 25 miles east of Los Angeles on Tuesday afternoon, according to police and local news reports.
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"It requires a lot of resources to ensure [election officials] are, in fact, making appropriate decisions about where to have polling places, to educate the public about where those polling places are located, and to make sure there are sufficient resources at those polling locations for the number of voters that have been assigned."
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Assigning an exact chance to how polling this early translates to the eventual results is difficult because of the high number of candidates running and the traditional volatility of Iowa caucuses' polling.
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Kennedy and other polling experts said the costliness of phone polling is driving some firms to embrace cheaper methods—namely, online polls and automated calling, also known as interactive voice response (IVR).
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Iowa, which has tilted Trump in most polling so far, leads the way, with more than 77,229 votes cast, Wisconsin, more of a Clinton stronghold based on polling there, follows with 22012,23.
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The first is that polling for Senate races is especially unreliable: The Economist's review of historic polling for such races from 1998 to 2014 suggests an average error of six percentage points.
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While polling says Brexit was about "sovereignty", the polling may reflect something akin to the "Bradley Effect", where voters lie to pollsters to hide their racial prejudice, but as applied to immigrants.
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This is the biggest number Melania Trump has experienced in any CNN polling, and higher than any favorability rating earned by President Donald Trump in CNN polling history going back to 1999.
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This is the biggest number Melania Trump has experienced in any CNN polling, and higher than any favorability rating earned by President Donald Trump in CNN polling history going back to 232.
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Who will be on stage:Here's how the candidates will be lined up on stage, organized from left to right based on their polling numbers, with the highest-polling candidates in the middle.Rep.
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Our model will take the post-debate polling at face value, but there is perhaps an argument to be made that applying a post-debate correction to the polling numbers is worthwhile.
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The actual results of all March polling posted on RealClearPolitics are: Note that the lowest margin for the Sanders lead in polling for the month of March was a whopping 14 points.
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A survey conducted last month by the Democratic polling firm Public Policy Polling found that only 46 percent of voters in Ryan's district say they would cast their ballot to reelect Ryan.
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If the average of polling since June holds through November, 4 will have the largest gender gap on record for a midterm election since at 226 (when we first have polling available).
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As part of that, he's begun encouraging his fans to monitor polling stations in places like Philadelphia — a sign his supporters are interpreting to mean that they should racially profile polling stations.
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The polling average, they said, will be calculated using the top three polling results for each candidate, as opposed to, say, an average of all qualifying polls, or the most recent ones.
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But new polling is still coming in every day, and right now this new polling is tending to show a shrinking national lead for Clinton, and a mixed picture in swing states.
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"Supreme Court Strikes Down Law Banning Political Apparel at Polling Sites" by Adam Liptak (June 14, 2018) Policy Question: Should voters be able to wear whatever they want to the polling booth?
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He dismissed a moderator's question about polling that found Americans deeply wary of socialism as a political label, noting that the same polling found him leading Mr. Trump in a general election.
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The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee late last week presented polling data to its members, conducted by two Democratic polling firms, that showed a majority of likely voters backed the party's latest move.
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Todd Saine tells TMZ he was checking in to his polling place at Columbus Technical College Tuesday morning when the polling staff told him he already voted, and couldn't cast another vote.
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Those are fighting words in the polling world, since these adjustments turned out to be totally wrong — President Obama ultimately won re-election by an even wider margin than polling had predicted.
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Trump is getting a post-primary bump, and Clinton probably will too: Jim Williams, analyst at the Democratic-leaning polling firm Public Policy Polling Here's the silver lining for Clinton from Trump's polling rise: At least some of it is due to Sanders's fans growing less likely to say they'll support her in one-on-one matchups against Trump.
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NBC will divide the 20 Democrats vying to take on President Donald Trump into two groups: those with a polling average at 2% or higher and those whose polling average is under 2%.
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" Carlos Julio Lemoine, president of the Centro Nacional de Consultoría polling firm, which had projected a 65 percent to 29 percent win for Sí, attributed the polling failure to "the spiral of silence.
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Amy Klobuchar exceeded expectations in the New Hampshire primary, over performing her recent polling and, if current results hold, earning her delegates when higher-polling rivals may go on to Nevada empty-handed.
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The polling establishment — including the 40-year-old New York Times/CBS News Poll — has viewed online polling with skepticism because it is difficult to achieve a random national sample using online interviews.
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"There seems to be an inverse relationship between the preponderance of polling and the reliability of polling," Reed said, nailing one of the most illogical, paradoxical dynamics of the 2016 election so far.
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Reuters reporters who monitored voting at 11 polling stations observed, among other irregularities, an election official bringing ballot papers into a polling station hidden under a coat, and people voting more than once.
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What to watch: Polling has already taken place for 483 of the 543 parliamentary seats up for grabs in the massive elections, which feature 900 million eligible voters and 1 million polling stations.
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Public Policy Polling, a Democratic polling firm, conducted polls in three states where a Republican Senator will have a key swing vote on the GOP health care plan: Nevada, West Virginia and Alaska.
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According to polling firm IPSOS, the ruling party and NASA are likely to take about 90 percent of the vote, while none of the six independent presidential candidates is polling above 1 percent.
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"Our polling in Pennsylvania and nationally has found that Hillary Clinton improved her image more with the conventions than Donald Trump did," said Dean Debnam, president of the liberal-leaning Public Policy Polling.
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Campaign manager points to 'undercover Trump vote' in polling gap North Carolina could be critical to Trump's campaign, given recent polling suggesting Clinton holds a wide lead in neighboring Virginia and in Pennsylvania.
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It just so happened that the race was tight and the polling error was enough to tilt the winner from Democrat Andrew Gillum in the polling to Republican Ron DeSantis in the results.
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Turnout among young voters is modelled differently by each polling firm, which helped account for the wide range of different estimates on the Conservatives' polling lead - currently between 3 and 12 percentage points.
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Barron said that the county was sending five more voting machines to the polling site and added that he hopes voters who left the polling site due to the long wait time return.
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That means based on the overall data, a candidate polling at 0%, like Tom Steyer, would be expected to talk about 9 minutes, while a candidate polling in the 33% neighborhood, like Sen.
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Lower-polling candidates including De Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Inslee — who are not guaranteed spots in the fall debates — took shots at the higher polling candidates in an effort to boost their profiles.
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FiveThirtyEight's prediction models include a "lite" model that considers only state and national polling and a "classic" model that considers both polling and other factors, such as fundraising, past voting and historical trends.
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KINSHASA (Reuters) - Polling stations in Democratic Republic of Congo are ill-prepared for Sunday's presidential election, diplomats and an observer mission said, as new polling showed opposition candidate Martin Fayulu favored to win.
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But the alternatives to traditional polling are not fully mature, and the absence of a clear set of standards for online polling research has opened the floodgates to unproven surveys of uncertain quality.
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She was at a different polling location where the wait was projected to be two hours when she checked the Harris County Clerk's website for information on wait times at other polling places.
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After the state scrambled to move polling places away from nursing homes and other vulnerable populations, some voters said they were unable to vote because their new polling places lacked basic voting supplies.
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If something is more profoundly wrong with public polling than weighting by education alone can address, it's hard to see how many public polling firms will be able to do anything about it.
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Unita said that the electoral commission had denied thousands of voters access to polling places in some provincial areas and that other voters were directed to polling places miles from their assigned sites.
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A polling station in the city center was stormed, forcing a temporary suspension of the vote, and unrest was reported around polling stations in the mountainous Kabylie region, traditionally hostile to the authorities.
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The latest polling shows Nunes ahead by 5 percentage points against Janz, according to a poll conducted in late July of 400 likely voters in the district by Democratic polling company Tulchin Research.
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Between the lines: Trump's approval rating has also remained steady in national polling throughout the impeachment inquiry hearings, swaying between 39% and 43% from mid-September to mid-November, according to Gallup polling.
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Civiqs — which conducted an online poll, opposed to the telephone polling Monmouth did — completed its polling during the same time period as Monmouth (January 23 to 27), but found a slightly different result.
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Aggregated polling by 538 suggests 53.5% of the country currently disapproves of the president&aposs performance versus 41.8% that approves, figures that are in line with the RealClear Politics polling average as well.
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And while polling in the race has been sparse, a survey released by the left-leaning firm Public Policy Polling in October showed Collins trailing a generic Democratic candidate by only 2202 points.
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She's polling at 10% on average in South Carolina in FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker, below the 15% minimum threshold she'll need to earn delegates, and 10% among Super Tuesday voters in Morning Consult polling.
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The polling was done across a wide swath of industries, and the respondents were selected from the nearly 3 million people who take polls on SurveyMonkey's platform daily using it's online polling methodology.
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Sanders trails Clinton by between 6 and 22 points in the state, according to recent polling, but Weaver said that the campaign's own polls show them performing much better than any public polling.
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In a poll conducted by Alco polling agency for newsit.
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Much will depend on turnout at the 10,228 polling stations.
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The hunch was that a polling app would do well.
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Johnson also called for inclusion in more national polling surveys.
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Polling suggests Mr. Sanders may have an edge in excitement.
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But polling doesn't stand in for principle or political pressure.
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Buttigieg has nonetheless quickly received surprising early fundraising and polling.
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This cycle starts off with bad polling news for Trump.
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The early state polling is not much kinder to Sanders.
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This story has been updated with additional polling Wednesday morning.
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What's the point: Polling can sometimes make your head spin.
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Polling 963 Facebook users aged 18 and up between Sept.
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Americans from across the political spectrum agree, recent polling suggests.
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In New Hampshire, she hopes to overcome his polling lead.
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Early polling from several outlets shows Biden easily besting Trump.
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Then the NYT reported on his anger *about* the polling.
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Of course, all of this polling is based on conjecture.
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The polling so far looks good for Smith and Housley.
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So you started doing polling, and then moved to consulting.
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And according to recent polling by Echelon Insights, it doesn't.
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Candidates had to reach polling and donor thresholds to qualify.
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Opinion polling suggests the two parties are neck and neck.
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Some of that punditry includes relying on obviously faulty polling.
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Traditional polling methods aren't working the way they used to.
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So are polling firms concerned about the plague of robocalls?
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Those results match other recent polling on the president's approval.
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But unlike polling surges, an overperformance in Iowa actually matters.
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Meanwhile, the former Delaware lawmaker is surging in early polling.
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Rock the Vote also has a polling place locator feature.
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But no one bothers to attack the guy polling 19th.
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Scant polling in Nevada, which holds its caucuses on Feb.
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The polling numbers seem to be moving his way continually.
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That's a new high in CNN polling on the topic.
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Renamed simply Lega, it is now polling close to 15%.
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The polling on abortion has always been interesting to me.
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Team Rising discusses the latest CNN polling in New Hampshire.
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The RealClearPolitics polling average shows Harris with just 28503% support.
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And it's something that could impact sports, news — even polling.
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The polling average from RealClearPolitics shows Trump's approval at 44.7%.
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Buttigieg is polling in second in New Hampshire, behind Sen.
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Considering recent polling out of context can also be misleading.
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If 85033 taught America anything, it's that polling predicts nothing.
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North Carolina polling numbers back then told the same story.
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But British polling firms ought to be exempt from sympathy.
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To be sure, polling of union voters shows that Mrs.
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He is polling at 1% in Iowa, which surprises many.
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This polling data are having a big impact of markets.
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The preliminary polling shows the race within low single digits.
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A recent batch of polling suggests that could soon change.
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Clinton's polling began to drop, but he controlled the damage.
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Insider's polling method, conducted on SurveyMonkey, lets us do that.
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It is state actors that are closing these polling places.
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Polling hasn't really supported that, but we'll see what happens.
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But the preponderance of polling data still points toward weakness.
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Clinton's slip in the polling was not all Trump's gain.
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Both Sanders and Buttigieg held even with previous polling results.
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This will give them control over proceedings in polling stations.
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Russ Feingold holds a polling lead against incumbent Republican Sen.
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Still, Ho, says that exit polling is a complicated art.
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So far, both are polling at less than 10 percent.
|
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This Morning Consult post rounds up some of the polling.
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But polling in the state has shown Clinton's lead shrinking.
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The polling was conducted between March 13 and March 28.
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Is the polling industry as inaccurate as we perceive it?
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Tinder today is launching a new application for social polling.
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The projections, issued as polling stations closing at 8 p.m.
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"Nobody [went] there," Bennett said of the closed polling places.
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You can see this in the polling for the primary.
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Law enforcement is on alert for violence at polling locations.
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Trump has repeatedly invited his followers to watch polling areas.
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Activists had occupied schools where polling was to take place.
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At issue is why Manafort passed along the polling data.
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Smaller polling places might open as late as 12 pm.
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German voters will cast votes at some 88,000 polling stations.
|
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Sloterbeck will begin polling tree farmers and sellers after Thanksgiving.
|
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Earlier this year, numerous polling data had wrongly predicted the .
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|
Politico's polling found American voters overall were even more divided.
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|
Contrary to popular belief, election polling worldwide is fairly accurate.
|
|
"Find your polling place and get there," he tells parishioners.
|
|
None of Britain's major polling firms have shown Labour ahead.
|
|
Biden's strong polling indicates that so far, not much has.
|
|
But even surveying an unbiased population cannot guarantee polling accuracy.
|
|
The latest polling indicates Sí will win big on Sunday.
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|
Polling by Mumal Rathore and Sujith PaiEditing by Chizu Nomiyama
|
|
Why did Manafort turn over polling data to Konstantin Kilimink?
|
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KURTZ: Well, I think the polling numbers are going down.
|
|
Long lines of voters are waiting outside some polling stations.
|
|
Polling shows that she is a tempting adversary for Trump.
|
|
Quinnipiac's polling has leaned toward Republicans, according to Nate Silver.
|
|
Health care was voters' top issue throughout midterm cycle polling.
|
|
The same majority polling shows the Republicans holding the Senate.
|
|
All Above All's polling, conducted by Hart Research, is striking.
|
|
There's no question that Lamb's polling numbers have spooked Republicans.
|
|
Clinton and Trump are tied in the RealClearPolitics polling average.
|
|
Polling by Sarmista Sen in Bengaluru; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama
|
|
Trump touted recent polling there at his Sterling Hills, Mich.
|
|
The Quinnipiac University Polling Institute was formally launched in 1994.
|
|
Other polling that asks different questions reached broadly similar conclusions.
|
|
Clinton has a slim lead nationally, according to polling averages.
|
|
Trump has been polling ahead, with Cruz trailing in second.
|
|
Furthermore, polling is not the only indicator of gun ownership.
|
|
A RealClearPolitics polling average has Rubio ahead by 6 points.
|
|
John Kasich (Trump's share was about in line with polling).
|
|
John Kasich (Trump's share was about in line with polling).
|
|
In Florida, the latest polling shows Rubio much farther behind.
|
|
The party was polling at only 2 percent in September.
|
|
Other recent polling shows Trump's approval in the same ballpark.
|
|
The details, and the polling, are almost beside the point.
|
|
This latest result is in line with other recent polling.
|
|
Her national lead is 6.5 points in RealClearPolitics's polling average.
|
|
Why was Manafort funneling campaign polling data through Konstantin Kilimnik?
|
|
The bill has already proven unpopular in public opinion polling.
|
|
The polling is sky high with Republicans and Democrats alike.
|
|
CAIRO (Reuters) - Polling stations opened on Saturday at 8 a.m.
|
|
Iraqi officials have said polling stations will be well protected.
|
|
It took place near a polling location in Azusa, Calif.
|
|
Trump's lowest point ever in Gallup polling was 35 percent.
|
|
Team Rising dives into Quinnipiac's latest 2020 polling results. Rep.
|
|
Biden allies are quick to point out those polling figures.
|
|
The public polling has been, to put it mildly, sparse.
|
|
Paul said polling "shows we should be" in the debate.
|
|
"I've seen the polling, and it's pretty darn impressive," Sen.
|
|
That awakening is already underway, if polling is any indication.
|
|
But current polling suggests it's not out of the question.
|
|
However, he has consistently trailed in polling in the race.
|
|
In the survey from Public Policy Polling, Trump trails Sen.
|
|
There's been scant public polling on the GOP Senate primary.
|
|
When dissecting polling accuracy, it's essential to remember three things.
|
|
The survey was conducted online, polling 2,85033 Americans from Oct.
|
|
Obama's approval rating never went below 40% in Gallup's polling.
|
|
The most recent public polling has Nicholson in the lead.
|
|
Polling and reporting by Yousef Saba; Editing by Toby Chopra
|
|
Fact: Trump is being slaughtered by Hispanics in all polling.
|
|
Part of the problem stems from the polling process itself.
|
|
Trump said Conway is especially adept at polling female voters.
|
|
More polling: Reuters: Anger may help Democrats on Nov. 6.
|
|
The survey was conducted by the HarrisX polling firm Dec.
|
|
Emily Ekins, polling director at the Cato Institute, told Hill.
|
|
You can find your polling place and its hours here.
|
|
TV's web show about public opinion and the polling industry.
|
|
A RealClearPolitics polling average has him ahead by 4.4 points.
|
|
Repeated patterns of bias in the polling is somewhat worrying.
|
|
The online polling firm YouGov conducted the poll for CBS.
|
|
He's polling at or over 10 percent in 42 states.
|
|
Democrats' debates showed, and primary polling quantifies, their establishment's decline.
|
|
Recent polling shows Democrats making significant gains in suburban districts.
|
|
Much of the polling released is done by partisan groups.
|
|
An earlier version of this article included outdated polling information.
|
|
Recent polling shows the vote is too close to call.
|
|
Clinton led by around eight percentage points in national polling.
|
|
The RealClearPolitics polling average has Nelson leading by 3.5 points.
|
|
Clinton's advantage in the four states, recent polling remains noisy.
|
|
Indeed, Rasmussen looks to be mostly satisfied by their polling.
|
|
Polling Day, when citizens get to vote, falls on Wednesday.
|
|
The RealClearPolitics polling average has Tester ahead by 3 points.
|
|
Curtis had been polling strongly in the general election race.
|
|
Mark SanfordI don't know that competitiveness is a polling issue.
|
|
The latest Senate polling improves this figure to 60 percent.
|
|
They continue to lie with polling to fit their narrative.
|
|
The polling matches the pattern seen in the 2018 primaries.
|
|
In recent days, Democrats have had some good polling news.
|
|
The biggest polling failures were in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.
|
|
According to a survey by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy Inc.
|
|
There is no good polling in China on sensitive issues.
|
|
No candidate has overtaken Biden in the RealClearPolitics polling average.
|
|
That is if polling data can be believed at all.
|
|
We've been polling overlaps in support among the Democratic field.
|
|
Polling has consistently showed that most Americans oppose ANWR drilling.
|
|
That disapproval was up by 10 points from November polling.
|
|
Polling by Aara Ramesh, Vartika Sahu, Sujith Pai, Kailash Bathija
|
|
The demographics and polling are both tough for Mr. Trump.
|
|
But even the polling of Iowa caucus voters is inexact.
|
|
Polling suggests that the public isn't yet sold on impeachment.
|
|
Recent polling, however, has shown voters warming to the law.
|
|
Recent polling has shown O'Rourke trailing his Republican opponent, Sen.
|
|
General election polling has been limited in the Sunflower state.
|
|
Bernie Sanders won the primary, according to recent Insider polling.
|
|
The Libertarian candidate is now polling at around 8 percent.
|
|
Donald Trump probably won't be elected president (as polling suggests).
|
|
Early polling indicates a tight race between Brown and Mandel.
|
|
His polling in Iowa puts him in a clear fourth.
|
|
Lies about polling data and lies about hush money payments.
|
|
The country had nearly 41,000 polling stations and 290 constituencies.
|
|
The polling suggests, however, it's not anywhere close to analogous.
|
|
Polling and reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by Bill Trott
|
|
New Hampshire and national polling tells a very similar story.
|
|
Teachout, a progressive, wasn't far behind, polling at 21625 percent.
|
|
Polling by Vivek Mishra in Bengaluru; Editing by Peter Graff
|
|
That trend carried over into polling of the 28503 race.
|
|
But recent national polling has shown Republicans have the momentum.
|
|
There is no public polling on the topic in Nebraska.
|
|
The campaign's internal polling and focus groups showed that Mrs.
|
|
At some polling locations, the stickers were gone before noon.
|
|
One factor to consider in polling is margin of error.
|
|
And it's also untrue when compared to numerous other polling.
|
|
But the disruption to polling could complicate any such move.
|
|
But finally, this polling drought is coming to an end.
|
|
National polling shows that Republicans, Democrats, Independents support net neutrality.
|
|
He famously laughed off the polling conducted by rival campaigns.
|
|
Trump's approval sits at 43%, per the RCP polling average.
|
|
Online polls have canvassed voters more often than telephone polling.
|
|
Public Policy Polling surveyed 85033 likely Republican caucusgoers from Jan.
|
|
In another RealClearPolitics polling average, for example, Sanders leads Sen.
|
|
Forget checking the polling averages; just check the black population.
|
|
Public polling in the Nevada race has also been scarce.
|
|
A GOP source said their polling shows the race tied.
|
|
But polling shows there is still some work to do.
|
|
But there were some big individual polling winners and losers.
|
|
When I took the position, we were polling at zero.
|
|
Sometimes local bodies refuse to put polling stations near colleges.
|
|
Online tools can help voters find polling locations and hours.
|
|
Clinton, though, had lost her polling lead after Super Tuesday.
|
|
Most Republicans are not unhappy with legal immigration, polling shows.
|
|
Polling shows the issue rising in importance among Democratic voters.
|
|
Polling shows that most former Sanders supporters now back Clinton.
|
|
Bernie Sanders, according to a Real Clear Politics polling average.
|
|
This is why his disregard of polling is so unnerving.
|
|
Above, ballots were prepared at a polling site in Rome.
|
|
The polling above suggests his supporters are getting the message.
|
|
It's no simple task, but the polling suggests it's possible.
|
|
Hardliners are drawn to the AfD, currently polling 14 percent.
|
|
Voters who went to a polling place in Chandler, Ariz.
|
|
Here's a look at the votes ahead and recent polling.
|
|
This time around, polling places could present the biggest challenge.
|
|
Polling shows that his ideas are unpopular; remind people why.
|
|
Exit polling data showed that Biden was blowing away Sen.
|
|
Nationwide, nearly 3,20183 polling places closed between 2012 and 2016.
|
|
Polling numbers over the decades back up this national narrative.
|
|
There has seen no reputable recent polling from the state.
|
|
Actually, it was a pretty good election night for polling.
|
|
And the national polling picture is no better for Booker.
|
|
If his polling falls, Biden's chance of winning drops precipitously.
|
|
So far, she's regularly been polling below 10% with them.
|
|
Team Rising discusses the latest 2020 polling among Utah voters.
|
|
The state has actually added 45 polling locations since 0003.
|
|
In the following days, her fundraising and polling numbers surged.
|
|
To find your polling station and legislative district, click here.
|
|
All polling was conducted from March 15 to March 17.
|
|
These charts from the Economist's polling aggregator tell the tale.
|
|
Just after polling stations closed across Israel at 10 p.m.
|
|
Polling suggests Biden has a good shot of doing so.
|
|
In total, there are about 7,355 polling stations in Afghanistan.
|
|
Recent polling has shown Strange leading Brooks but trailing Moore.
|
|
He also noted polling that shows independents opposed to impeachment.
|
|
He remains the national front runner in polling and fundraising.
|
|
Sanders's RCP polling average in NH on caucus night: 26.5%.
|
|
The polling for the 2008 Republican caucuses was particularly bad.
|
|
He is polling at around 7.4% nationally, according to RealClearPolitics.
|
|
Current polling shows the nation evenly divided over Trump's fate.
|
|
Polling has shown support for impeaching Trump slowly ticking upward.
|
|
Here are some other major standouts from our extensive polling.
|
|
Led by Elizabeth May, the party is polling at 9.5%.
|
|
Again that makes sense given that they're polling so close.
|
|
But what available polling there is seems good for Biden.
|
|
Amy Klobuchar (who is polling just above 5%) a winner.
|
|
Polling by Shaloo Shrivastava and Khushboo MittalEditing by Shri Navaratnam
|
|
Mr. Zitzewitz thinks what happened is analogous to polling error.
|
|
The Hill has also partnered with Penn on political polling.
|
|
Tim Pawlenty may get in the race, despite polling poorly.
|
|
Polling, popular opinion, unabated mass shootings — none of it matters.
|
|
For many of those heading to polling stations on Dec.
|
|
Democrats say polling shows the public is behind their bill.
|
|
Strangely enough, there's no firm polling, yet, on the conversation.
|
|
The board said polling places would use only paper ballots.
|
|
On social media, voters said polling places were without power.
|
|
According to FiveThirtyEight's' average of the latest polling data, Sen.
|
|
According to FiveThirtyEight's averages of the latest polling data, Sen.
|
|
Meanwhile, the top-polling Democratic candidates have plans — good plans!
|
|
Jake Gaba shares the latest polling of college students. Sen.
|
|
Such attitudes seem to be reflected in recent polling data.
|
|
For another, more and more polling shows he's competitive nationally.
|
|
Buttigieg was polling in the single digits nationally before Iowa.
|
|
The campaign also spent $22020,000 on polling in that period.
|
|
Modern polling usually tells us how public opinion hasn't moved.
|
|
Overall, Emerson Polling contacted 85033 registered Ohio voters between Sept.
|
|
Polling also puts Kelly, who is married to former Rep.
|
|
Polling has consistently found wealth taxes to have majority support.
|
|
The initial polling predictions of a landslide win for Mrs.
|
|
I think people sometimes don't tell the truth in polling.
|
|
The DNC still requires candidates to meet a polling threshold.
|
|
The polling bears out Mr. Heye's prediction of a backlash.
|
|
The polling bears out Mr. Heye's prediction of a backlash.
|
|
She is a distant fourth in the RealClearPolitics polling average.
|
|
Little polling has been conducted among New York Democratic voters.
|
|
Perhaps the most significant challenge for phone polling is language.
|
|
That's because Kentucky closes its polling places at 6 p.m.
|
|
They also camped out in polling stations as amateur observers.
|
|
Polling in New Hampshire this cycle has been quite volatile.
|
|
Team Rising looks at the latest National CNN polling. Hill.
|
|
He has consistently led the field in national polling averages.
|
|
Warren's polling in her home state has been shockingly weak.
|
|
He is, according to Gallup polling of Democrats in 2018.
|
|
There's very limited polling of any recent vintage on Kerry.
|
|
The 2018 polling work took place after he was indicted.
|
|
Other Iowa polling shows Buttigieg moving up in Iowa, too.
|
|
Similarly, polling among Republicans has not made any major shifts.
|
|
Heidi Heitkamp has consistently trailed her Republican opponent in polling.
|
|
Silver has a nice chart on adjusted polling averages here.
|
|
This Poll of Polls includes national polling conducted between Dec.
|
|
No wonder he is polling in the low single digits.
|
|
There is no opinion polling on the popularity of candidates.
|
|
Four sets of additional polling numbers help us dig deeper.
|
|
The new polling comes after a strong week for Warren.
|
|
Recent polling further underscored the trouble Van Drew was facing.
|
|
Booker also dismissed his low polling across the early states.
|
|
When you combined the public and private polling, as Pollster.
|
|
Low polling candidates must elbow themselves into the top tier.
|
|
Update: Third paragraph corrected to account for new polling data.
|
|
Their analysis is borne out by recent polling on policy.
|
|
Impeachment is killing her freshman members and polling proves it.
|
|
Trump frequently touts his polling successes on the campaign trail.
|
|
Polling in Iowa, though, has been sparse in recent months.
|
|
Normal polling sites will not be open, according to Hanlon.
|
|
Polling also shows that this group is supporting Biden strongly.
|
|
That is in line with national polling on the issue.
|
|
Polling shows the public overwhelmingly feels the same way, too.
|
|
Gabbard has halfway met the polling requirements for the Dec.
|
|
In states with more polling, the fundamentals receive less weight.
|
|
Lopez Obrador is polling at 22015 percent as of Feb.
|
|
By any historical measure, Trump's polling numbers are not strong.
|
|
Team Rising discusses the latest democratic primary polling from California.
|
|
This can be seen in the most recent polling data.
|
|
At that moment, you can shred all the polling results.
|
|
Gallup polling shows 39 percent of Americans identify as independents.
|
|
Polling shows that white people's thoughts about race aren't accurate.
|
|
And this polling question is a perfect example of it.
|
|
Polling shows McSally within the margin of error against Kelly.
|
|
Officials at the three polling stations denied there were violations.
|
|