Can Mr Trump, as he suggests, prove the pessimists wrong?
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Pessimists predict a "silver tsunami" that will bankrupt us all.
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Put crudely, the pessimists believe that markets drive the economy.
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Complacent people are pessimists and kind of useless and destructive.
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There are hints the pessimists may be correct (see Briefing).
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Pessimists note that Hugo Chávez initially posed as a moderate, too.
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Of course, pessimists usually just stay away from venture capital deals.
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Pessimists believe the final bill may pass in September of October.
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The pessimists tend to be economists, sociologists, statisticians and government officials.
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Were the pessimists right that 2628 percent sustained growth is impossible?
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In October, the pessimists who saw business conditions as likely to worsen outnumbered the optimists by seven percentage points; the latest survey from December shows that the optimists now outnumber the pessimists by 50 percentage points.
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Pessimists said Uber's ride-hailing business will struggle to make sustainable profits.
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Economic pessimists say these forces and others are causing a "secular stagnation".
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The researchers found optimists had a much stronger immune response than pessimists.
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If innovation pessimists need hope, there's a further category that needs correction.
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Pessimists have been calling the top of the bond market since 2011.
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There's plenty of grist in this scene for both pessimists and optimists.
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The pessimists have a still long list of reasons to be skeptical.
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Pessimists counter that never before have so many jobs been threatened at once.
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Long before this election, the French had earned a reputation as chronic pessimists.
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Pessimists think in terms of rear-guard actions to turn back the clock.
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Pessimists see Mr Rajan's departure as evidence of a further wilting of ambition.
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Numerous studies have shown that optimists are physically and psychologically healthier than pessimists.
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The researchers found that pessimists' health deteriorated far more rapidly as they aged.
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The Azzurri tried the old trick of coming to this event as pessimists.
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The company must promote a culture where pessimists can speak up without reprise.
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But intriguingly, he only distinguishes himself from the competitors among the true pessimists.
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The short answer, it seems, is not as fast as techno-pessimists fear.
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If we abandon the common-sense belief that deems only winnable fights worth fighting, we can adopt Unamuno's "moral courage" and become quixotic pessimists: pessimists because we recognize our odds of losing are quite high, and quixotic because we fight anyway.
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To pessimists, it is only a matter of time before it resumes its descent.
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If it is to thrive, liberalism must have an answer for the pessimists, too.
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Pessimists who were wrong about 2017 must be careful not to repeat the error.
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Pessimists can find a number of reasons to worry, some traditional, others more novel.
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Germany for pessimists Upgrade your inbox and get our Daily Dispatch and Editor's Picks.
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Nostalgia serves optimists and pessimists alike as an anchor in a world being transformed.
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That left the index at 99.6, just below the level where optimists match pessimists.
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We've been muddling through without them ever since, often confounding pessimists along the way.
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After all, Yiddish has always had a canny way of defying the pessimists. "Email"?
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GRAPHIC: Business sentiment index: here A reading above 50 means optimistic respondents outnumbered pessimists.
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And it is these pessimists who feel most attracted to Trump and Sanders, respectively.
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Thanks to people like Buffett, Bill and Melinda write, "the future will surprise the pessimists."
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THE most striking battle in modern business pits the techno-optimists against the techno-pessimists.
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RADIOLOGISTS, say the pessimists, will be first against the wall when the machines take over.
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So while I hear the pessimists, I also listen closely to the generals and diplomats.
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Pessimists fret that much of this progress will reverse now that Africa faces economic headwinds.
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Other Republicans insist that the picture for Trump is not as bleak as pessimists fear.
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Pessimists then cite their own scientific data to argue for a fraction closer to 0.
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This is the first time in the president's tenure when pessimists have clearly outnumbered optimists.
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Pessimists bathe their bodies in damaging stress hormones like cortisol and norepinephrine all day long.
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Pessimists will worry that Mr Flynn's departure is not enough to cure what ails this administration.
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When Mr Ghani took office in 2014, the optimists outnumbered the pessimists by 55% to 40%.
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You guessed it: Optimists were half as likely as pessimists to require re-hospitalization following surgery.
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He finds, as such sweeping looks tend to, that both optimists and pessimists have a case.
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"I think energy developments in Africa are going to surprise many of the pessimists," he said.
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In effect, Mr. Powell seems to be rejecting ideas recently put forward by various economic pessimists.
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In the 18th century, Voltaire mocked optimists for their naïveté and celebrated pessimists for their lucidity.
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Pessimists fretted about the disappearance of traditional jobs, with the benefits and legal protections they provided.
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None of the sectors had a reading below 50, the level which separates optimists from pessimists.
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The index was down 1.4% from a year earlier at 22.73, meaning optimists just outnumbered pessimists.
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That left the index 1.1 percent down on April last year at 95.1, meaning pessimists outnumbered optimists.
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"If pessimists should worry about anything, though, it's that they may have an undiagnosed — and treatable — depression."
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Japan was the only economy with a sentiment subindex below 50 - the level separating optimists from pessimists.
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That left the index 0.8 percent higher versus May last year at 103.2, meaning optimists outnumbered pessimists.
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The Pessimists Archive has a collection of some of the best reactions to new inventions and gadgets.
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Pessimists also point out that China has wielded enormous influence in Hong Kong since long before 1997.
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Pessimists understand this too, but are prematurely embittered even as they plug in their credit card numbers.
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The pessimists meanwhile, had no financial way to back a belief that the bitcoin price would collapse.
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Facial recognition, which techno-pessimists see as the advent of the Orwellian state, is not far behind.
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There are plenty of optimists as well as pessimists when it comes to technology and growth forecasts.
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The index was up 9.8 percent on July last year at 106.1, meaning optimists clearly outnumbered pessimists.
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The index was down 8.6% from a year earlier, and at 92.8 indicated pessimists far outnumbered optimists.
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And a surprising number are cultural pessimists who despise the Enlightenment ideals of reason, science, humanism, and progress.
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Forging a public policy response represents an opportunity for the optimists and pessimists to collaborate rather than debate.
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But if history is your best hope, you should probably think again: The pessimists have a strong case.
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Pessimists recall that the tulip-futures innovation of 1636 did not stop the tulip-bulb crash of 1637.
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"India is a country that disappoints both optimists and pessimists," notes Ruchir Sharma of Morgan Stanley, a bank.
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"Knickers to the pessimists and to the merchants of gloom," said Mr. Johnson to the audience, who cheered.
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The index was still up 3.4 percent on March last year at 102.4, meaning optimists just outnumbered pessimists.
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The pessimists: Trump supporters (81 worse, 11 better), Republicans (72-17) and whites without college degrees (60-28).
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In addition, in 2015 optimists had a 52% probability of surviving another year, while pessimists were at 48%.
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It might seem like there are two competing schools of thought: the AI pessimists and the AI optimists.
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It is the first time the reading fell below 100 since October 2019, meaning pessimists slightly outnumber optimists.
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Optimists are people who expect good things to happen to them, while pessimists expect bad things to happen.
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One faction of these perma-pessimists argues that the world is doomed to suffocate under an ocean of debt.
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The pessimists retort that this is froth: a few firms may be doing wonderfully but the economy is stuck.
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The outbreaks are also a sign that polio's grand finale may be more drawn out than even pessimists expected.
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The pessimists argue that new technology, even if it does not cause mass unemployment, will create a "digital divide".
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Pessimists like to fret, without much evidence, that the one-child policy has wrought a generation of pampered softies.
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But not even the pessimists thought that what would happen is a U.S. realignment of policy along Iranian lines.
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In particular, pessimists doubt North Korea's claim that it wants nuclear weapons that can hit America for self-defence.
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To use the same logic used by today's WNBA pessimists, did people simply not like watching men play sports?
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The index was still down 7.0% from a year earlier, and at 97.0 indicated pessimists continued to outnumber optimists.
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Construction and engineering firms ranked lowest in sentiment with a subindex of 64 - the level separating optimists from pessimists.
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Once again, however, with only one example to draw from, it's back to a battle between pessimists and optimists.
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This can mean that economic optimists ignore inconvenient stock market plunges and that pessimists self-servingly dismiss the rallies.
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Optimists may portray current shifts as just a midcourse correction, while pessimists see it as a long-term trend.
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Yet even the pessimists of that generation could not have imagined how totally Eastern European Jewry would be destroyed.
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"Many pessimists think that manufacturing is now passe, that the robots are coming, 3D printing is coming," said Panagariya.
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The index was still down 8.0% from a year earlier, and at 95.5 indicated pessimists continued to outnumber optimists.
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Those factors mean market pessimists are getting it wrong, according to Michael Jones, chairman at RiverFront Investment Group LLC.
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When it comes to campaigning for president, pessimists says things are so terrible that they can't get any worse.
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Some pessimists worry that these returnees constitute a fifth column, outwardly rehabilitated but secretly ready to attack on command.
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The slight dip still left the index 7.2 percent higher on June last year at 102.2, with optimists outnumbering pessimists.
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Democratic pessimists point out that the party holds fewer federal and statewide offices than at any time since the 1920s.
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The country does not invest enough—threatening its competitiveness and contributing to international economic imbalances—but pessimists do not invest.
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The AI pessimists and optimists may seem locked into their own worldviews, with little apparent overlap between their projected futures.
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The projected results vary: the extermination of the human species by godlike artificial intelligences is a favourite of the pessimists.
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The index was down a hefty 6.2% from a year earlier, and at 93.4 indicated pessimists continued to outnumber optimists.
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The index was down a hefty 6.2% from a year earlier, and at 93.4 indicated pessimists continued to outnumber optimists.
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Author Matt Ridley makes the case in his book for increased prosperity this century, in spite of what pessimists say.
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Optimists speculatively grabbed him as high as the second or third pick in the draft, while pessimists cautiously steered clear.
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The index was down a hefty 8.9% from a year earlier, and at 1.13 indicated pessimists continued to outnumber optimists.
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One school of pessimists asserts that the central banks' policies used to stimulate slowing economies since the crisis are losing effectiveness.
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The index was down 3.5% from a year earlier, and at 100.00 indicated there were now as many optimists as pessimists.
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This reality has prompted disparate reactions among his opponents, who can divided between pessimists (or realists, some might say) and optimists.
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Cramer said the "permanent pessimists" keep "missing the mark," recalling action in and Walgreens, among other public companies, for reasons why.
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"The saying goes that optimists tend to be successful and pessimists tend to be right" Zuckerberg explained at the November forum.
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It's not surprising that policy pessimists are worried about a recession given their views of the impact of the president's policies.
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Whether the optimists or pessimists prove more prescient about the economy's trajectory, Mr. Summers said, the split in perceptions will persist.
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Pinker portrays Enlightenment scholars who criticize Enlightenment Now as "cultural pessimists" averse to "Western civilization," but this is hyperbolic and mostly wrong.
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Inevitably, a new set of pessimists now voice a fresh worry: that bond yields might go on rising for less welcome reasons.
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It seemed as if the same pessimists on Wall Street have now turned into cockeyed optimists that think things have really changed.
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When we look into the future, whether we're optimists or pessimists, the one thing we don't see is more of the same.
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For pessimists, however, the snatching of Mr Lee is just the most outrageous instance of the mainland's increasing interference in Hong Kong.
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Separately, a survey of Australian consumers showed sentiment remained below average despite three interest rate cuts since June, with pessimists outnumbering optimists.
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Pessimists in the BOJ warn that if market turbulence persists, the bank's baseline expectation of moderate economic recovery could come under threat.
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Right now, relatively few homeowners are selling in response to this worry — "pessimists are selling to optimists," as one source tells Flavelle.
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"For the first time in 28 years there are more optimists than pessimists in Poland," proclaimed Mateusz Morawiecki, the economy and finance minister.
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"(China) optimists focused on corporate growth; pessimists fear liquidity trap ... note warning signs for big Q1'19 slowdown & further CNY depreciation," the report said.
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Pessimists in the BOJ warn that if market turbulence persists, the bank's baseline expectation of a moderate economic recovery could come under threat.
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The fake news pessimists believe that technology just moves too fast for humans to catch up with bad actors, according to the findings.
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Pessimists reckon it shows just how difficult it is to do business here—because if it were easy, somebody would have done it.
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Researchers from the University of Kentucky went so far as to inject optimists and pessimists with a virus to measure their immune response.
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Optimistic salespeople sold 37% more policies than pessimists, who were twice as likely to leave the company during their first year of employment.
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Cramer said the "permanent pessimists" keep "missing the mark," recalling action in Hewlett Packard and Walgreens, among other public companies, for reasons why.
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But the outbreaks of vaccine-derived cases are a sign that polio's grand finale may be more drawn out than even pessimists expected.
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"With falling prices, pessimists started to make money on their bets, fueling further short selling and further downward pressure on prices," they wrote.
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Their ascension to power in many corners of the globe is seen by liberal pessimists as the beginning of a new dark age.
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Even if the pessimists are correct in their estimates so far, the coronavirus recession would not approach the devastation of the Great Depression.
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It&aposs not just the FedLet&aposs break down the sources that pessimists say are driving the market, starting with the Federal Reserve.
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So I think Smil and other clean energy pessimists are, at the very least, wrong to be quite so confident in their pessimism.
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The index, compiled from a survey of 1,200 people, was down 4 percent from a year earlier at 98.8, meaning pessimists now outnumbered optimists.
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But the truth is that even pessimists expected the tax cut to do more good, and the trade war less harm, than they did.
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Pessimists fear that any change to the constitution will usher in a broader assault on property rights and perhaps even Zimbabwe-style land seizures.
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On the pessimists' side the strongest argument relies not on closely watching corporate and investor behaviour but rather on macro-level statistics on productivity.
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Both optimists and pessimists have been scrutinising the current session of the NPC, which began on March 5th, for clues about Mr Xi's intentions.
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"The perpetual pessimists have been calling for the next recession since the last one ended, and at some point they'll be right," said McCarthy.
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The December reading, compiled from a survey of 1,200 people, was up 1.1 percent on a year earlier at 104.4, meaning optimists outnumbered pessimists.
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Surely, said pessimists, no sporting spectacular could distract Brazilians from the country's record recession, its gargantuan corruption scandal and the impeachment of its president.
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But pessimists still should answer two questions: If the goal is to make America great again, what era should we aspire to return to?
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The index, compiled from a survey of 1,200 people, was up 1 percent from a year earlier at 103.8, meaning optimists now outnumbered pessimists.
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The pessimists point to Swiss watch exports, which fell 3.3 percent in 2015 to $22.1 billion, the industry's first full-year decline since 2009.
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Pessimists describe that massive debt as a "mountain," a "horror movie," a "bomb" and a "treadmill to hell," all in the same Bloomberg article.
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Stock-market pessimists have raised the concern that the recent strength of equities comes down to transitory factors like Federal Reserve easing and buybacks.
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The optimists were those who thought Mr. Trump would not have the energy to actually implement his agenda; the pessimists' thoughts veered toward disaster.
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Ross Douthat Opinion Columnist In the United States in the years after the Great Recession, pessimists had a lot of material to work with.
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Democrats are nothing if not pessimists, after all — and they can come up with a whole lot more reasons to be worried this fall.
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A new study published in the Journal of Personality this week reveals that optimists and pessimists alike brace themselves for the worst when anticipating news.
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A poll of fund managers in December by Bank of America-Merrill Lynch found that pessimists on emerging markets outnumbered optimists by 27 percentage points.
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But the innovation pessimists are missing the dynamism that comes from the internalization of negative externalities, and they're underestimating the strength of the American market.
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"Infinite Resignation" is also a timely reminder, especially after reading Scranton's hopes for a global takeover, that pessimists have always had a tough go organizing.
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In an interview, Dr. Lee said that optimists are better able than pessimists to reframe challenging circumstances and react to them in less stressful ways.
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A lot of Sanders' pessimists would use this as an opportunity to point out that Iowa and New Hampshire aren't representative of the nation racially.
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Pessimists worry that the knock-on effect from this capital-spending stumble could be far-reaching and more painful than the likes of Goldman expect.
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I should caution upfront that this fear is at least somewhat misguided and probably unlikely to come to pass exactly as industry pessimists worry it might.
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At times when so many pessimists in the industry think that American fashion is dying, this group of winners prove the best is yet to come.
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The host said he doesn't believe that all earnings reports will be strong this season, but weak earnings may not automatically turn the bulls into pessimists.
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The waxing crescent moon encourages positivity and faith, so even the most steadfast pessimists may be more likely to leap without a net during this phase.
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"Proving pessimists wrong, India has seen growth in hiring trend under the leadership of Shri Narendra Modi," cabinet minister Harsh Vardhan said on social network Twitter.
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As with every previous freak-out, the economic pessimists are mostly focusing on a single data point while missing the bigger picture of continued economic growth.
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He can, at times, sound like one of Thomas Bernhard's pessimists, but Faldbakken deploys a mild, noncaustic humor that was not prominent in Bernhard's chemistry kit.
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Still, the government's monthly roundup contained enough conflicting data that optimists and pessimists around the country and in Washington could find evidence to support their outlook.
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Pessimists fear that the cycle of runaway degradation may kick in when another 3-8% of the forest vanishes—which, under Mr Bolsonaro, could happen soon.
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Despite the liberal critics, naysaying pundits, and the pessimists in Reagan's own party, he quickly found a way to work with a Democratic House of Representatives.
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Back in December, a poll of fund managers by Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BAML) found that pessimists on global bonds outnumbered optimists by 214 percentage points.
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What is interesting is that the bout is being contested at junior lightweight (or super featherweight, for the pessimists) which has a cut off of 130 lbs.
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Pessimists recall that nanotechnology is a field that has been puffed up repeatedly by both researchers and investors, only to deflate in the face of practical difficulties.
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" Then came hawks and pessimists, stuck in the past, who saw China stubbornly remaining "the world's last great communist dragon and a threat to stability in Asia.
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Pessimists predicted that the 230 percent, single-day stock market crash on October 215, 220, would be the start of a big recession and a bear market.
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Pessimists on the right, of course, see radical change already well along, unmooring the country from its original virtues and moving it toward the European social model.
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After all the talk about Bitcoin using up energy, the first scientific paper calculating how much electricity the cryptocurrency needs is here, and it supports the pessimists.
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Pinker compiles a mountain of statistics as a rebuttal to pessimists and declinists on both the right and the left, from Dinesh D'Souza to Ta-Nehisi Coates.
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Among Republicans, Trump seems to gain the clearest advantage among the 30- to 44-year-old pessimists, and enjoys the widest advantages generally among senior citizen Republicans.
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It is tempting to assume the pessimists are wrong; after all, the stockmarket is up and it would suffer if economic growth were thought to be at risk.
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Though AI may, in the pessimists' view, may eventually make every kind of job, from carpenter to consultant, obsolete, it's the working-class jobs that will go first.
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We can expect the British stock market and the value of the British pound to open sharply lower, and some pessimists even expect Britain to fall into recession.
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The pessimists in those early days of TV — the ones who thought this new invention would become its crassest self, despite all its promise — were eventually proved right.
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So the pornified, permissive post-sexual revolution order today seems much more stable than conservative pessimists expected 30 years ago, with no social collapse looming on the horizon.
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But the picture Adam painted was even darker than Al Gore's, because the planet is heating up so much faster than even the pessimists expected ten years ago.
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If investors only paid attention to the aggregate data released by the government, CNBC's Jim Cramer would imagine they'd be huge pessimists about the state of the economy.
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Brooklyn Nets (333-23) The drop-off from the East's top five to teams trying to secure the last three playoff stops is as steep as pessimists feared.
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Rather than machines eliminating human labour downstream in the warehouse, as techno-pessimists fear, he sees a future in which ML replaces human judgment upstream in prediction and planning.
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George Orwell, the most brilliant of the pessimists, wrote "Animal Farm" and began work on "21946", which saw the future as "a boot stamping on a human face—forever".
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The sentiment index for big non-manufacturers slipped to plus 28 in March from plus 230, according to the poll, though a positive number means optimists still outnumber pessimists.
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Pessimists add the teams' shutout to a list that also includes growing concerns among parents about concussions in hockey as well as children's increasing participation in soccer and basketball.
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If SaaS and cloud companies dip under the 10x mark it will be a new, and unwelcome era for the category (or for the pessimists, a return to normalcy).
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An alarming number of these "long-term pessimists," as one adviser labeled them, had gravitated in the '68 and '72 presidential elections to George Wallace, an avowedly racist candidate.
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Pessimists would go for the canary metaphor: the New Year dive that began in Shanghai serves as an early warning of how local events can have repercussions across the world.
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Automation optimists and pessimists have begun arguing over how the world will change, and whether a mix of artificial intelligence and industrial robotics might accelerate automation in an unprecedented fashion.
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The big danger is that, while optimists and pessimists battle it out, the world becomes ever more divided between islands of high productivity surrounded by a vast ocean of stagnation.
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The pessimists' camp was much smaller, and was dominated by old-school security hawks and hard-to-impress trade union leaders, sniffing a plot by bosses to lower American wages.
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And in recent months a growing array of new studies have indicated that the relationship between technological advances and job displacement is more complex and nuanced than pessimists have suggested.
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But what those skeptics — and perhaps the climate pessimists also — overlook is just how much progress has already been made, and how inevitable the end of the oil era now appears.
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But at the same time, the pessimists need to do better too, by realizing that there is plenty of room for hope and optimism in any reasonable imagination of the future.
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Pessimists fear that Mr Erdogan, who once boasted of being able to flood Greece and Bulgaria with refugees, may use his leverage over the EU to press for still more concessions.
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The pessimists, led by Robert Gordon, argue that modern technology, like the iPhone, is nothing like as transformative as late 19th and 20th century innovations such as electrification or the car.
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Addressing it requires a coordinated global response, and innovation pessimists are right to doubt the ability of the United Nations and the ability of the regulatory state to solve the problem.
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"Pessimists will find abundant support for despair this morning," John Sterman, a professor of system dynamics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, wrote in a Climate Interactive analysis on Wednesday morning.
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We can similarly transform ourselves into quixotic pessimists — the kind who are called dreamers, idealists or lunatics — by reading more, rejecting common sense and reinterpreting what constitutes a waste of time.
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"For the most part, this is the average of what the pessimists and the optimists have priced in," said Guy LeBas, chief fixed income strategist, at Janney Montgomery Scott in Philadelphia.
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"For the most part, this is the average of what the pessimists and the optimists have priced in," said Guy LeBas, chief fixed income strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott in Philadelphia.
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The deepest economic pessimists have turned out to be wrong, for now at least, about how fast the 21st-century American economy can grow and how many jobs it can create.
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Pessimists point to the likelihood of continued trade tensions even if an agreement is concluded, which is part of a more unsettled landscape for businesses and consumers worldwide, depressing consumption and investment.
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Ultimately, they found that none of the studies yielded a significant statistical difference between optimists and pessimists when it comes to the tendency to brace for the worst while waiting for news.
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That would provide the best defence in the event that the pessimists are right and the impact of artificial intelligence proves to be more rapid and more dramatic than the optimists expect.
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Pessimists might counter that the $3 trillion hedge-fund industry is now crowded and much copied, and that a lot of information is far more easily available than it used to be.
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For those who argue that the economy is hurtling toward overheating caused by a tax-cut-induced sugar high, the Fed's message is that rapid growth is more sustainable than pessimists suggest.
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Pessimists might counter that the $3 trillion hedge fund industry is now crowded and much copied, and that a lot of information is far more easily available than it used to be.
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One problem is that Mr. Clooney seems to believe in happy endings, however hard-earned, while the Coens — whose presence hovers throughout — are the kind of pessimists who laugh in the dark.
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"But pessimists, both in Japan and abroad, argue that Putin will demand too much of Japan...and that Abe is guided by illusions likely to be exposed before long," the Brookings report continued.
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The social network supremo had some strong words for AI pessimists (realists?) who believe and argue that care and regulation is needed to safeguard the future of our race before AI becomes mainstream.
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While pessimists see robots as "bad for jobs" in agriculture, robots could be a critical means of increasing food production while keeping costs, and the environmental impacts of farming, as low as possible.
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PARIS (Reuters) - The French have become more optimistic about the future that at any time in the past eight years, a survey showed on Tuesday, belying their reputation as a nation of pessimists.
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Phillips doesn't come down firmly on either side — though you do get the impression that he's basically O.K. with having been born — but rather takes the pessimists to task for being insufficiently ambivalent.
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Finally, the pessimists point out that Netflix makes very little profit: In the first quarter of this year, for instance, Netflix had nearly $2 billion in revenue but only $153 million in profit.
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Economic growth since the 1970s has disappointed relative to what many optimists imagined in 1965; at the same time it has been stronger than what many Carter-era pessimists feared we could expect.
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A recent meta-analysis of studies found that compared to pessimists, an optimist had about a 35% lower risk of major heart complications, such as a cardiac death, stroke or a heart attack.
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"There are four fundamental problems that make shorting stocks especially dangerous, problems that are bedeviling these professional pessimists as they confront perhaps the greatest short-buster in modern memory, ... Elon Musk," Cramer said.
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Optimists see the fruits of reform in both episodes; pessimists fulminate that promises to protect taxpayers are broken after the Italian deal, and that hopes of moving towards a true banking union are dead.
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LONDON (Reuters) - The Brent crude oil options market is showing a definite split between the optimists and the pessimists this week, but it would seem the bulls are starting to gain the upper hand.
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Pessimists can also point to the existence of positive feedback mechanisms in the economy, which tend to fuel booms, but can also accelerate the descent into a recession once the economy starts to falter.
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Market pessimists love to rally around overseas market drops and squawk about how they'll take down U.S. stocks, but often times, the other side of the trade ends up winning out, Cramer said Wednesday.
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Why it matters: If there is not to be the mass unemployment feared by robot pessimists in the coming decades, the economy is going to have to churn out new entrepreneurs and their businesses.
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Wall Street pessimists who focus on overcapacity and business cycle gyrations in the cruise industry are missing the bigger picture, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings President and CEO Frank Del Rio told Cramer on Thursday.
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Pessimists outnumbered optimists in February for the first time since late 2014, according to the survey of business managers by the Ifo Institute in Munich, which is considered a reliable predictor of the growth.
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The introduction of the contracts on CME, one week after a much thinner trade on began rival Chicago Board Options Exchange, gave bitcoin pessimists an easy way to bet on a drop in value.
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Market pessimists love to rally around overseas market drops and squawk about how they'll take down U.S. stocks, but often times, the other side of the trade ends up winning out, CNBC's said Wednesday.
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Yet even pessimists predict a much smaller impact of Brexit on British trade than the huge declines I've been suggesting from a Trump-created trade war, which I have just decided to call Trumpit.
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Pessimists fear this will hollow out middle-income, middle-class jobs on an unprecedented scale, with the WEF itself predicting that more than 5 million jobs could be lost in 15 major economies by 2020.
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That will necessitate a new wave of pessimists and cynics as product managers in order to predict and thwart ways to abuse software instead of allowing idealists to blindly build tools that can be weaponized.
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Johnson promised to take Britain out of the EU on October 31, with or without a deal, and attacked the "pessimists" who predict that he will be forced to seek another delay to Britain's exit.
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Pessimists say all it takes to prick the tourism bubble is a sudden drop in visitors, triggered by something like a financial crisis overseas or the adverse effects of Britain's exit from the European Union.
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Pessimists in the BOJ, however, fret that weak global auto demand and the drag on consumption from October's sales tax hike to 10% from 8% may mean only a modest rebound in January-March growth.
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"There are four fundamental problems that make shorting stocks especially dangerous, problems that are bedeviling these professional pessimists as they confront perhaps the greatest short-buster in modern memory, ... Elon Musk," the "Mad Money " host said.
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To quote Jonathan Ruffer, a fund manager The pessimists sit like crows on a wet telegraph pole, waiting for the markets to break—but a crow can sit only for so long on the pole without indigestion.
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"Pessimists have enough to fret about without worrying that their own temperament will doom them to a short life," Richard A. Friedman, a director at the Weill Cornell Medical Center, wrote in a New York Times article.
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Pessimists about education interventions have pointed out that the recent studies, which found no effects from early childhood education interventions, are randomized control trials (RCTs), which are considered the gold standard for research into policies like these.
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So while Cramer is still a firm believer of having a diversified portfolio that mixes these high-growth tech names in with more stable investments, he noted that the "eternal pessimists of technology" can often be wrong.
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Advertise on Hyperallergic with Nectar Ads You will not get gallery representation this month, Capricorn, and not because your work isn't strong; in fact, your work is too strong — pessimists call it unsalable, idealists call it uncommodifiable.
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In the wide-ranging interview, the two discussed Cook's optimism about U.S.-China relations, his response to Wall Street's Apple pessimists, the company's new initiatives for 2019, the success of its wearable products, and the Apple-Qualcomm dispute.
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This is the argument of the techno-pessimists, exemplified by the projections of Carl-Benedikt Frey and Michael Osborne, of Oxford University, who in 2013 famously calculated that 47% of existing jobs in America are susceptible to automation.
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Even pessimists say this moment has the potential to change not only the type and the number of sexual assault cases prosecutors bring, but the number of women who report to police, and how cops investigate their claims.
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The field's pessimists argue that programs still need an extraordinary pool of structured data to learn from, require carefully chosen parameters, or work only in environments designed to avoid the problems we don't yet know how to solve.
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Obsessed with the debt problem and devoid of policy prescriptions, Das comes down so firmly on the side of the pessimists (the book's title gives away its conclusion) that by its end readers may want to slit their wrists.
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Commentators who pound the table can be criticized for their bullishness if the market does not go their way, so the pessimists control the dialogue, even if they have been mostly incorrect for thousands of basis points, Cramer said.
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" In contrast, she said, "Pessimists tend not to be open to the possibility of favorable outcomes, and the fight-or-flight response they experience amps up bodily systems that over a long period of time wear the body down.
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But optimist-pessimist is a useful enough binary of character, and Johnson must read differently to pessimists, who might fight the intoxicating "Wonderland," arguing that "fun" is a tool of the surveillance state, petrochemical dealers or something equally sinister.
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A reading above 50 means optimistic respondents outnumbered pessimists, but worries about the threat of a prolonged trade war drove the index to its lowest since the June quarter of 2009, when the first edition of the survey was released.
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More interesting is his tendency to group people like me, a specialist in the relationship between literature and science during the Enlightenment, together with what he imagines is a sweeping "Second Culture" of anti-Enlightenment, anti-reason, anti-science pessimists.
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Over the years, criticism and commentary regarding AI development has come from a wide-ranging group, from pessimists on the subject like Tesla and SpaceX founder Elon Musk to more reasonable voices in the industry like Facebook scientist Yann LeCun.
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"The current economic expansion has been the most hated one of all time, as the pessimists claimed that it has been associated with the most inequality in both incomes and wealth," Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, said in a note.
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Daniel Russel, former assistant secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific affairs during the Obama era, shares the pessimists' belief that North Korea does not need nuclear weapons for deterrence, securing its safety with its ability to bombard Seoul.
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The truth probably lies somewhere between the visions of the realists and pessimists, with the bottom line being an all but certain return to the populist legacy that has time and time again undermined Argentina's efforts to fully realize its potential.
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SYDNEY, Jan 18 (Reuters) - A measure of Australia's consumer sentiment barely budged in January as pessimists continued to outnumber optimists even as people thought it was a good time to splash out on big-ticket items, a survey showed on Wednesday.
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Although the evidence indicates that a person's outlook on life tends to stay stable over time, given the potential health benefits of optimism, I asked Dr. Rozanski if there might be a way to foster greater optimism in chronic pessimists.
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"There may come a time when the U.S. and China will become involved in some irreconcilable conflict, as many pessimists believe, but it doesn't have to happen if we work for the best and both plan for our security," he said.
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"It is a company where there is no middle ground, with the optimists believing that there is no limit to its potential and the pessimists convinced that it is a time bomb, destined to implode," he wrote in a recent blog post.
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Evoking what he called the "can do" spirit of the 1960s when the United States put a man on the moon, Johnson criticised those he called "technological pessimists" for doubting there were solutions to have checks on goods away from the border.
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Evoking what he called the "can do" spirit of the 1960s when the United States put a man on the moon, Johnson criticized those he called "technological pessimists" for doubting there were solutions to have checks on goods away from the border.
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Pessimists might see this as another day, another rapper with a clothing line, but despite its prohibitive pricing (items range from $285 to $1,245), this particular collaboration of graphic T-shirts, outerwear, hoodies, and shorts is already selling out fast on Saks.com.
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FINANCIALS: SURVEY'S ONLY PESSIMISTS WITH INDEX AT 47 VS 50 Of 15 financial institutions, including PT Bank Rakyak Indonesia (Persero) Tbk and China Pacific Insurance Group Co Ltd, three rated their six-month outlook as negative while two were positive and the remainder were neutral.
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Social pessimists looked at the disarray in working-class culture, the retreat from marriage and child rearing and civic and religious life, the spread of loneliness and depression and addiction, and saw a society where ordinary forms of flourishing were slipping out of reach.
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So who is right: the pessimists (many of them techie types), who say this time is different and machines really will take all the jobs, or the optimists (mostly economists and historians), who insist that in the end technology always creates more jobs than it destroys?
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Like most things, there is some truth in all of these opinions, but the view from here is that the pessimists have it right, and that, in fact, the mainstream media have been to the conservative media what Arabian horses are to thoroughbreds: the very bloodstock.
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" These movements of mind present a palpable version of a mental state familiar to all pessimists — the hopeful, and also dismal, impulse to act slowly and with great restraint, an insurance policy against tragedy: "I got up and went into the office, picked up the phone.
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With a great receiver like Watkins who's missed eight weeks, that's the wisest policy: grab him, don't listen to what any of the optimists or pessimists in the media echo chamber say, leave him on your bench for a game, and recalibrate after he runs around out there.
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Of course, pundits and pessimists will argue that President TrumpDonald John TrumpWhistleblower complaint declassified on eve of high-stakes testimony Ocasio-Cortez on impeachment: 'I think the ground has shifted' Democrats ask Pentagon to probe delayed Ukraine aid MORE and Congress are powerless to guard against a downturn.
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Aneeta Rattan, an assistant professor of organizational behavior at the London Business School and Carol Dweck of Stanford found in a recent study that people who are optimistic and believe that others can change — that a bigot, with time, can change stripes — are more likely than the pessimists to say something.
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For the second question in particular, there are some interesting findings: Optimists: Nigeria (72%), Chile (69%), Ghana (63%), Philippines (61%), Brazil (56%) Pessimists: France (9%), Japan (19%), Greece (21%), Australia, Canada, U.K (24%) The U.S. perspective: 58% say things are currently good, 37% say things will be better for the next generation.
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But the Trump phenomenon has exposed an important dividing line within what you might call the pessimism-based community: Pessimists all look at the governance of the West and think, well, this is pretty bad, but we don't all agree on how and whether and how easily it could get much, much worse.
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Even as some readings show a wide gap between the bulls and bears — the biggest gap between market optimists and pessimists since Black Monday — the bullish mood is most pronounced among older million-dollar investors, who have been around for more than a few ups and downs in Dows and portfolio values.
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But a survey by the Institute of Directors found a remarkable negative swing of 34 percentage points in business confidence in the wake of the election result (pessimists outnumber optimists by 37 points) while the head of the Confederation of British Industry said there was a risk that business could cut back on investment.
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So the left-wing pessimists were too pessimistic, we thought … but at the same time there were real problems facing the working class, a social crisis that had some link to stagnating incomes and the decline of industrial jobs, and the tax-cuts-as-panacea style of conservatism had passed its sell-by date.
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Pessimists—and after this year, there should be a lot of them around—point to the way in which support for the populist right is generally moving in an upward trajectory, and how even in the United States, which has experienced rapid diversity in recent years, a candidate like Trump can cross the line.
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But in spite of all her efforts, it has become clear that there are pessimists at home and abroad who think that after three years of indecision that this country has become a prisoner to the old arguments of 2016 and that in this home of democracy we are incapable of honouring a basic democratic mandate.
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But in spite of all her efforts, it has become clear that there are pessimists at home and abroad who think that after three years of indecision that this country has become a prisoner to the old arguments of 2016 and that in this home of democracy we are incapable of honoring a basic democratic mandate.
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"We observed that an optimist had about a 35% lower risk of major heart complications, such as a cardiac death, stroke or a heart attack, compared to the pessimists in each of these studies," said cardiologist Dr. Alan Rozanski, a professor of medicine at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, who is lead author of the study.
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As a starting point, rather than being framed around the bravery of the (white) participants for having a conversation that has done so much damage, they should grapple seriously with the costs of America's most ancient justification for bigotry, and take seriously why so many are so skeptical that this time, finally, the racial pessimists are right when they have been so horribly wrong before.
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I pay tribute to the fortitude and patience of my predecessor and her deep sense of public service but in spite of all her efforts it has become clear that there are pessimists at home and abroad who think that after three years of indecision that this country has become a prisoner to the old arguments of 2016 and that in this home of democracy we are incapable of honouring a basic democratic mandate.
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H.I.T. (CAN)BLOOD PRESSURE (PA)COKE BUST (DC)THE GOONS (DC)EEL (PA)CAUGHT IN A CROWD (MA)DAME (MA)POST TEENS (FL)RUBBISH (FL)STALLED MINDS (FRANCE)BUSTED OUTLOOK (CA)GENOCIDE PACT (DC)THE PESSIMISTS (BRAZIL)SEM HASTRO (BRAZIL/USA)GAUCHO (CAN)TRIAGE (CAN)HOLDERS SCAR (NC)DIGITAL OCTOPUS (FR)FIRING SQUAD (VA)PROTESTER (DC)DEPTHS OF REALITY (MA)FIREWALKER (MA)DRUG CONTROL (CA)ODD MAN OUT (WA)BRICKLAYER (WA)STAND OFF (DC)HOMOSUPERIOR (DC)RADIATION RISKS (NY)BUST OFF (DC)KOMBAT (DC)COLLUSION (DC)
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