Irresponsible prediction is wild speculation, making predictions based on random feelings and hunches without clearly articulating what's behind the hunches.
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" — CONAN O'BRIEN "Science is not based on hunches.
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Trump has publicly said that he acts on "hunches," -- and those hunches have cemented his reputation as an unpredictable and untrustworthy leader, who changes his mind on a dime, no matter the repercussions.
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But, once again, doctors are acting on hunches, they say.
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Any of these or a dozen other hunches might be right.
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Employees' hunches that their work emails were being monitored was right.
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He scans the room, then hunches over a computer to check names.
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"He is afraid of her and hunches over his plate," investigators wrote.
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The Ideo team's trips that day seemed to confirm some of their hunches.
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Ms Jacobson's experience suggests many have been operating on flawed and myopic hunches.
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He rarely shared his hunches online, and he often went treasure hunting alone.
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Mulder has followed one too many hunches and pissed off too many people.
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It is a game of coldly calculated probabilities, played without hunches or emotion.
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But the current iteration of "Hunches" is likely just the beginning, says Daniel.
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He hunches over on his elbows, making him more or less everyone else's height.
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For the historical Fry, beyond hunches and hints, there is no evidence of homosexuality.
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Aaron, then 41, hunches forward, flips open the cover and looks at the headlines.
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Even so, there are plenty of hunches floating around — and several hints have been dropped.
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Using data as opposed to hunches yields interesting results, even if many confirm conventional wisdom.
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Now, no button press is required; if you get close enough, Ryder automatically hunches over.
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We don't really think of them as mistakes, though, but as initial guesses, hunches, ideas.
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Much of the work of campaigns and elections used to be hunches and gut instincts.
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Small narrative hunches pay off big later, like cherries coming up on a slot machine.
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But I was skeptical of his theories, which were largely based on hunches and anecdote.
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If psychology, consumer behavior, and the history of entertainment hold true, these hunches are spot on.
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Stow away your theories and hunches, the mystery of the missing tooth gap has been solved.
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Meanwhile, competitors are betting on hunches about the best routes because they don't have complete data.
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Fairley later recalled that he opposed engaging with people who sent hunches to the Premonitions Bureau.
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Here's the thing — if you're the president of the United States, you don't go with hunches.
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It also dropped Alexa Hunches — a brand new, not-quite-horrifying situation in which Amazon has gifted its voice assistant "deep neural networks" that can "replicate human hunches" and guess whether you might like to be reminded to turn off a light or lock the door.
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Hone questions from a set of hunches, advised Ms. Mayer, and ask as many people as possible.
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Instead of relying on hunches about what is a good target, cancer cells might speak for themselves.
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Feinberg had no hunches, though one Twitter user noted the last name means "I delight" in Latin.
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Son made a fortune by betting big on a few hunches at the dawn of the internet.
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Amazon also announced two new updates to Alexa Hunches, which makes suggestions based on your daily behavior.
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Their hunches were right since roughly eight hours before the scheduled first pitch, Saturday's game was rained out.
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Fans have plenty of their own guesses, hunches, and theories as to who will come out on top.
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That's why it seemed more plausible than many of the frothy hunches brewing throughout Reddit and the Twittersphere.
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In the Paris suburb of Montreuil, Durdur hunches over a keyboard writing code for a weather forecasting program.
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It's why those who live in the jungle pay attention to everything in their environment, including their hunches.
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Or of atoms and molecules and prejudices and hunches that are fireflying around in unexpected and impossible trajectories.
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A trail of clues, hunches and accidents leads him down a rabbit hole of political intrigue and double-dealing.
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The improvising musician hunches over his tangible gear, the technically proficient artist uses software to construct virtual 3D animations.
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As with data, a disciplined campaign with minimal bureaucracy is the best way to implement operatives' measurement-defying hunches.
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At night, patrons sipped Spotted Cow ale and threw out hunches at ER Bar: Maybe there was a boyfriend?
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He hunches over and winces, head tilted, and when he gestures he keeps his elbows pinned to his sides.
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Chen also notes that he frequently hunches over clients in awkward postures that may cause strain on his own body.
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All the vitamins and supplements I've taken to date were driven by hunches, hearsay, and breathless headlines from Parade magazine.
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We're not looking for the "perfect answer," but we do expect more than just hunches or half-baked thought experiments.
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Trump has repeatedly tried to downplay the gravity of the outbreak and floated his own hunches on matters of science.
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Joe works in a world of shadows; hunches, glimpses, and half clues to be pieced together in the hope of what?
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A cooing baby wriggles on a checked blanket as another woman hunches over him, comforting the infant dressed onlyin her diaper.
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The man hunches over quietly, his eyes cast downward as his foot rests on what appears to be a stray tire.
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He even had some prescient hunches about the mechanism of blast's effects: the compression wave, the concussion and the toxic gases.
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Amazon is also updating its Hunches feature to help you understand when you may need to replace components in connected devices.
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As frontman for the legendary Hunches, he and the band built a reputation for a wild and notoriously manic live show.
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The practice of science is about progress: Crafting knowledge out of hunches and experiments, finding life-saving remedies, informing sound policies.
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A new skill called Alexa Hunches allows Alexa to combine routine things that a user often asks for into one command.
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Mr. Gunn was the guitarist and songwriter for the Hunches, a fondly remembered Velvet Underground-rooted indie-rock band from Portland, Ore.
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Theon hunches in shame, runs, and his legs never stop moving, even when there ceases to be a surface beneath his feet.
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Until recently working out who was likely to win an Olympic event was a guessing game based on hunches and limited data.
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That is where the constant need to gamble on your hunches will separate the millionaires from the billionaires — and also the bankrupt.
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Government has no special power to predict the advance of information technology and should not base decisions on hunches and political expediency.
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Beth hunches and hugs her shoulders, shivering, and divulging for just a moment the slight frame that belies her otherwise intimidating presence.
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He continued to talk about his hunches and feelings about the drug as Fauci looked on, a pained expression on his face.
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As a former federal prosecutor, I know that the Justice Department does not begin reviewing financial transactions based on guesswork or hunches.
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In its first chapter, she hunches, at the age of forty-six, over Walmart coloring books, which have become her new obsession.
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I switched to stocks correspondent from real estate correspondent in the summer of 1997, one of the few great hunches I ever had.
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The bolt lights up out of nowhere, causing McNeill to jump, drop his umbrella and pause for a moment as he hunches over.
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Belief that one man's hunches and facts plucked from the internet will provide a coherent alternative is the most irrational approach of all.
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Indeed, some hunches aren't just about helping a candidate win, but about what kind of society a presidential campaign yields when it's over.
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By and large, first hunches are correct, and the neat thing about brains is that they are experts at filling in missing information.
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The player hunches over the bass, fingers scrawling out harmonics beyond the fingerboard: It's a visual spectacle as much as an aural one.
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Trust Your Intuition Most of us get hunches or a "Spidey sense" that something is wrong, and very often these are right on target.
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Among climate economists and wonks, the hunches, pet theories, and ritual invocations of "political will" too often are substitutes for deeper, systemic political analysis.
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Let this be a lesson to us all: Our hunches may turn out to be right, but even the brightest among us doubt ourselves.
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After separating the toy's eyes and beak from its electronic core, he hunches over a comically tiny sewing machine and constructs a new body.
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Thus, we begin selecting investments based on "hunches" or "gut reactions" rather than critically evaluating the investment opportunity with data-driven facts and fundamentals.
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Others guessed that Better Than Sex colored mascaras, or even a perfume, could be on the way — all of which are pretty legit hunches.
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Think of the entry at 36A as an inchworm, and the EDIC in the gray square is where it hunches up to move forward.
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She'll also act on "hunches," so if you tell her "good night," she might turn off your lights and check if your doors are locked.
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ON THE outskirts of the western Ivorian town of Angovia, Joseph Bado hunches over a pile of gold-laced stone, pulverising it with a hammer.
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The psychiatrist Drew Westen says the field is too often testing "uninformed hunches," rather than ideas that therapists have developed over years of actual practice.
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Occasionally it dips its head and hunches, mantling its wings, but there appears to be nothing at its feet, no prey to protect from encroachers.
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Now, the same type of fact-free hunches that he pushes about his rivals are finding their way into his efforts to lead the country.
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The company also launched new services, like Alexa Hunches, which makes suggestions (such as to turn off your light at night) based on daily behavior.
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Blue marker in hand, the 22-year-old hunches slightly to jot down suggestions being shouted by a group of people deep into a brainstorming session.
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However, he thinks that no legal rules can do this in the important and interesting cases, so that judges must often follow hunches or moral intuition.
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For the second-time parents-to-be, it was the surprise of a lifetime considering their hunches told them Barrett would be getting a younger brother.
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Then you've got these sort of yes men in West and Hayne who come and give this scientific-sounding veneer to hunches that law enforcement have.
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PREDICTING Supreme Court rulings based on the tenor of oral arguments is notoriously hazardous, but journalists' hunches are rewarded often enough that they keep on coming.
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The mandate is ingeniously capacious—designed to capture a range of pan-sensory hunches, and to turn everyday interactions into sites of suspicion, antagonism, and fear.
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A paper by her and her colleagues, just published in JAMA Internal Medicine, attempts to give statistical rigour to scientific hunches about end-of-life care.
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The uppermost flight ends at the roof and he hunches there on the steps with his chin on his fist and the ceiling against his head.
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Dr. Katona and his collaborators took pictures for the humpback whale catalog, which later confirmed their hunches that fluke patterns were consistent across a whale's lifetime.
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Amazon will also start suggesting Alexa routines through Hunches based on actions you do repeatedly, like setting your alarm and asking for the weather every morning.
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Promised benefits may eventually emerge, but designing government programs on the basis of hunches means $35 billion in subsidies to over 478,000 healthcare providers represent government waste.
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Sure, she'd probably give a few indicators about what pointed her in a certain direction — but there would also be an element of guessing, of following hunches.
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Two good strategies for solving crosswords with more long across entries than downs are either starting with the downs or glancing at them to confirm across hunches.
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Thanks to crowdfunding and the feedback it provides, it's never been easier to secure the most important thing all business leaders need: proof their hunches are right.
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The FL State Attorney's Office says it couldn't prove there was a "quid pro quo" between Trump and Bondi -- and there were only "hunches" of a bribe.
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Housing prices are set by AI-driven algorithms that take into account market forces such as locations rather than rely on the hunches of a real estate agent.
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Jacob, the patriarch, appears in an olive-colored turban and a simple red tunic, his white beard cascading to the top of the cane over which he hunches.
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"The parade of specialists, hospitalists, residents, and nurses treating him seem like Vegas palm readers, spouting theories and hunches that only lead to confusion and further despair," she said.
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Ms. Ammon said she and other workers at the library have hunches about who might be hiding the books, but they have yet to catch anyone in the act.
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Amazon announced at the event Thursday a feature called Alexa Hunches, a new feature that allows the virtual assistant to follow cues about a user's behavior and make suggestions.
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Addie's companionship awakens other urges, but "Our Souls at Night" is in no hurry to confirm the hunches of the audience or the suspicions of the town's nosier citizens.
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He hunches, as if still steeling himself against the cold, and the wind bangs open and shut the window that brings dim, blue light into the small, shabby room.
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Trump's weekend was a sign of how American foreign policy has now mostly become an expression of his unrestrained character, personal hunches, non-strategic instincts and sudden changes of mind.
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As bitcoin jumped more than 0003 percent this month alone and quintupled so far in 2017, it has attracted more and more speculators placing bets based on hunches and rumors.
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As bitcoin jumped more than 20 percent this month alone and quintupled so far in 2017, it has attracted more and more speculators placing bets based on hunches and rumors.
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"My sofa's like a daybed, and I like to lie on it in a really unflattering position, like this [hunches over], watching bad TV for hours until I fall asleep."
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" ♦ To the Editor: I am the son of Varian Fry, about whom Cynthia Ozick writes: "For the historical Fry, beyond hunches and hints, there is no evidence of homosexuality.
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And the hunches—the assumptions about the British character—underpinning our predictions of a hung parliament in the general election and a Remain vote in the referendum were and are basically right.
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Despite the high stakes and bright lights, the nation's statehouse impeachment bar is made of up just a few battle-tested lawyers who have improvised legal strategies largely on history and hunches.
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When illustrating the side of her that can explode with anger when provoked — usually by a garbage ex — she hunches over and screws up her whole face, eyes twitching in latent rage.
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Prikryl's memories of childhood are intensely sensory: lacking a family narrative with a clear form, she presents, instead, unusually vivid, one-off impressions and colorful hunches about what they might have meant.
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But, when it came to betting, I'd only ever put my money on English football and teams that I knew, trying to use my knowledge and a few hunches in order to win.
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Image: Vimeo Featuring members of legendary if under appreciated Portland bands the Hunches, Eat Skull, and The Hospitals, Sleeping Beauties are a new band that present a swaggering take on debauched rock n'roll.
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For all the admirable and useful work this research does to put some parameters around the discussion of social tipping points, ultimately it only aggregates what are, in effect, hunches and educated guesses.
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Other risks Sommerich highlights include exposure to vibration noise, the machine, and the way in which a workstation is set up (how often the tattoo artist hunches over to reach for his/her tools).
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The Farmer's Almanac and human hunches have been trusted sources for centuries, but at this crucial turning point, is it possible to make the industry a more precise science, and potentially save our race?
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WHEN, two years ago, the bones of Richard III, a crippled Medieval monarch, were dug up from a car park in Leicester on the basis of the sketchiest of archaeological hunches, the locals rejoiced.
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These features were previously introduced this fall at Amazon's Echo event in Seattle, alongside a host of other capabilities for the smart assistant, including things like hunches, cooking instructions, multi-step requests and more.
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Instead, he seems guided by "America First" instincts and hunches that put the interests of the nation-state first, to be advanced globally through the leverage of maximum demands and pressures short of military action.
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So whenever big news breaks, and all the talking heads are summoned to spar and swap hunches, the television turns into a real-time window on how people make sense — or nonsense — out of reality.
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MELILLA, Spain (Reuters) - In a winding early-morning queue, Jemaa Laalaoua hunches over with 50 kg (110 lb) of kitchenware on her back, waiting to cross back into Morocco from the Spanish enclave of Melilla.
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In the case of the "Mad Bomber," however, Dr. Brussel was basically leaning on Sherlock Holmes–style hunches about an immigrant who fell hard for the American dream and yet never quite assimilated into society.
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If his hunches are wrong, the losses could include a trade clash between America and Europe, a surge in Iranian-backed violence and terrorism and grave damage to the decades-long cause of nuclear non-proliferation.
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But it ended up getting me hooked on a different kind of idea: the narrative power of writing about brilliant scientists following their hunches, learning how the world works through the sheer force of their curiosity.
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Yet, most educators would agree that classrooms should be spaces for students to practice challenging their hunches — places where they can intentionally examine ideas that run counter to their own and spend time weighing alternative perspectives.
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For now, "Hunches" is focused on the smart home because connected devices like smart lights or security cameras give Alexa the data it needs to make the kind of judgment calls the human brain is capable of.
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Trump's reversal appeared to be the latest occasion when his officials have brought flattery and the power of argument to bear to change his mind on leadership decisions that were apparently based on hunches and limited reasoning.
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This is not to encourage the kind of voice-of-God predictions that fill dead spots on cable TV. But there is value in leaning into a few hunches, as long as you approach them with humility.
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It sort of came out of left field, and I'm not entirely sure what Philip's thinking was behind it (though I have some hunches), but it was lovely to see a scene like that in this show.
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To the Editor: When they are forced to hastily decide students' guilt or innocence on charges of sexual assault, school officials may rely on hunches or gut instinct — including subconscious racial bias — rather than gathering all relevant evidence.
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A Reddit spokesperson said that they have any "hunches or evidence" that this is connected to the LinkedIn password leak, and added that the company started tightening security after the series of hacks on subreddits earlier this month.
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In a new manifestation of his resistance to objective fact, he is now openly trashing the data collected by his own agencies when it doesn't support his hunches on what he claims is an "invasion" of undocumented migrants.
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Miriam Daniel, Amazon&aposs vice president of Echo and Alexa devices, says she anticipates that Alexa&aposs "Hunches" feature could evolve to handle more cumbersome tasks on the user&aposs behalf over the next four to five years.
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Trump's lengthy conversation with Putin and his subsequent call readouts indicate that the President ignores his home team in favor of a dynamic duo of his own "hunches" and whatever his shadow national security adviser -- President Putin -- tells him.
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Instead of relying on hunches, or a fixed schedule matching bail amounts to crimes and lawyers' arguments to set bail, judges there now use a nine-factor algorithm to assess whether a defendant is dangerous or likely to flee.
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But the predictions made about tattoo artists growing their followings via Instagram, fake clickbait meant to humor, professional gaming's emergence into the mainstream, augmented reality, and professional art copiers were based on careful observation and a few good hunches.
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There's pleasure in watching characters solve puzzles and turn hunches into facts, yet when scaled up — out of crime labs and onto the global stage — all that problem-solving suggests it's only supermen like Langdon's brainiac who can save the world.
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On Belanger's table are a loose eyeball, crushed cigarettes, a wad of gum and a tongue emerging from a lipstick tube; in Smith's painting "Medusa Moderne," a disconsolate broomstick with a serpentine green coiffure hunches over a lineup of similar objects.
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Last year's "Alexa Hunches" are also getting expanded — Alexa can now try to tell you if it thinks something is wrong with a smart home device, like if a lock is low on batteries or a printer low on ink.
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His average sales go up at least 20 percent in the couple of weeks leading up to Valentine's Day and shortly after the holiday, he said, as people suspicious their mate is cheating invest in gadgets like spy cameras to verify their hunches.
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The Alexa Hunches function, which will be public later this year, tries to provide suggestions; for instance, if a user says good night to Alexa, the voice assistant might note that a porch light is on and offer to turn it off.
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French Open champion Ash Barty or Wimbledon winner Simona Halep, who ran Williams off the court in a lopsided final at the All England Club, may be sounder investments at the betting window but punters are just as likely to follow their hearts as hunches.
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I base these lineups on reasonably educated hunches, something to the effect of: I'll play the Indiana Pacers point guard George Hill tonight, because he's going up against the New Orleans Pelicans, who have been a defensive train wreck this season, especially on the perimeter.
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But they were given the green light to carry out this perilous task after new scanning technology confirmed their hunches that what lay below was far more stunning and was "with more certainty than ever" painted by the Van Eycks and finished in 2000.
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A man in a yarmulke and tzitzit — tassels on a four-cornered undergarment worn by many observant Jews that peek out from the sides of their pants — hunches over a computer inside an open cubicle office with an Amazon listing beaming across the screen.
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Here's the rest of his "trends" for Messenger in 2018, which are vague, so I've added some hunches about how they'll turn emerge in the product: From that it sounds like Messenger might become part of Facebook's Safety Check in a more private and personal way.
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"[As women,] we have to get better at trusting our hunches and trusting our opinion, even if someone in authority is telling us to move along or telling us that we're wrong or, 'Oh, little missy, you don't know how the big, bad world works,'" she says.
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He saunters over to it and hunches down, placing his paws on it and looking plaintively to the sky, mirroring the primal rite of man's banishment from God's light, echoing the words of the prophet: All of us growl like bears, and moan softly like doves.
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Bette Ammon, the library's director, told The New York Times that she and other staff in the library have been on the lookout for the culprit, but that they are yet to catch anyone in the act — though they do have hunches about who it might be.
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Plot twists, denouements and sometimes an entire episode can seep out beforehand, making for markets that unfairly favor those in the know at the expense of fans and aficionados putting down money based on their hunches or their own studied analysis of what might lie ahead.
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Ray Castoldi's 27th season as the organist for the Knicks and 4103th for the Rangers has already been like no other, largely because of the handsome Roland AT-900 organ that now hunches in a tiny booth five stories above the arena floor at Madison Square Garden.
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One update will allow Alexa to remind users if a battery needs to be replaced or if printer cartridges are running low on ink, while another update brings Hunches to Alexa routines, so that it suggests alarms, weather alerts and other information based on a user's habits.
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But for some bettors, who rely on hunches and superstitions as much as the form chart, the "Curse of Apollo" will be on their minds when they step up to the wagering windows where last year $21 million was bet on the Kentucky Derby, according to the website WalletHub.
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We also heard about some new updates coming to Alexa, including Hunches, a system where Alexa will learn about certain smart home habits and offer occasional suggestions if it gets the feeling you forgot to do something like turn off an outdoor porch light before you go to bed.
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In a strange hotel room in New York City he hunches over a trash can to eat, with his bare hands, a chicken he has brought from Trinidad, too scared to ask the hotel staff for utensils, too scared to eat other food for the caste fear of contamination.
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Krishna Powell, CEO of the HR 4 Your Small Biz human resources consulting firm, said AI is only as good as the person who writes the algorithm, and it's missing the gut feelings and strong hunches that can sometimes lead to a great hire or prevent a bad one.
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Amazon wants Alexa to be more intuitiveIf Alexa&aposs next phase of growth is all about becoming more intuitive, Amazon has already laid the breadcrumbs for how it will get there through its "Hunches" feature, according to Miriam Daniel, Amazon&aposs vice president of Echo and Alexa devices.
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They feature a 22 Cy Young Award winner (Jake Arrieta), this year's leading Cy Young candidate (Kyle Hendricks), two most valuable player candidates (Kris Bryant and Anthony Rizzo), the fastest-throwing closer in the world (Aroldis Chapman), a remarkably flexible lineup and a lovable manager, Joe Maddon, whose eccentric, throwback hunches turn out just fine.
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Only a denizen of the racetrack and the craps table would have played hunches with such frequency and bravado, and perhaps only a man acquainted with Bugsy Siegel would have had the ethical flexibility to engineer the elaborate sign-stealing scheme that helped the '51 Giants go 23-5 at home down the stretch.
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To ride the current of an art-maker's impulses — that grab bag of hunches, risks, technical savvy, and all-around guesswork that fuels the creative process — certainly seems to be the most satisfying approach to take when encountering the elegant, perplexing, and, often, ravishing drawings of the artist Melvin Way, works that belie the modesty of the ballpoint-pen ink and tiny scraps of paper with which they are made.
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The coronavirus has exposed the falsehood of so many notions Trump's base holds about the presidency: that experts are unnecessary; that hunches are a substitute for knowledge; that competence in administration is overrated; that every criticism is a hoax; and that everything that happens in Washington is B.S. Above all, it has devastated the conceit that having an epic narcissist in the White House is a riskless proposition at a time of extreme risk.
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Marketing technology — the bigger area of software that marketing and advertising people use to help launch, optimize and measure marketing campaigns — sometimes sits under the shadow of adtech, but in reality it's estimated to be a $121 billion business, and growing as marketers for brands, retailers and others turn to data science to improve how they execute their work and to supplement what has traditionally been a business that operates on human precedents, psychology and hunches.
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There are more than seven billion humans, and we divide into almost 200 countries, thousands of smaller sub-national states, territories, counties and municipalities, and an unimaginable multitude of corporations, community organizations, neighborhoods, religious sects, ethnic identities, clans, tribes, gangs, clubs and families, each of which faces its own disunion and strife, all the way down to the individual human soul in conflict with itself, torn between fear and desire, hard sacrifice and easy cruelty, all of us improvising day by day, moment to moment, making decisions based on best guesses, hunches, comforting illusions and too little data.
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