The Fed can ease its confusion by following the market rather than trying to outguess it.
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People are really trying to outguess how you're going to continue that story in Avengers 4 next year.
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So wrong that a chimpanzee choosing answers at random will consistently outguess teachers, journalists, Nobel laureates, and investment bankers.
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Most great guys at macro, if you put a jar of jelly beans on the table they can outguess you.
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Markets are incredibly efficient at incorporating all available information into prices; any attempt to outguess them is likely to end in failure.
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The key, he said, is to resist the urge to outguess management on short-term decisions and instead focus on long-term outlooks.
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You're not smart enough to outguess the market, so you buy good stocks and stay invested because the penalties for being wrong are so big.
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We know just enough to feel the dread of where this has to be going, while knowing so little that the show can still outguess us.
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Three teams, armed with naught but the sort of musical knowledge suitable for barroom trivia, battle each other to outguess the all-knowing, always-listening smartphone app Shazam.
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But I sometimes feel like that's the only way to watch Westworld, that it's more fun if you're trying to outguess it than if you're letting it tell you a story.
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Think back to how many weirdo Mad Men theories popped up as that show approached its ending, or consider how often viewers tried to outguess something as relatively straightforward as The Americans.
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By decade's end, it had become a common practice for diehard TV fans to try to outguess shows, thanks to a cottage industry of badly deployed twists that made less sense the more you thought about them.
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The safest financial plan for the long run, however, is to understand your goals and risk tolerance, then work to create an investment plan that builds on gains over the long term rather than continually outguess the market.
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"If I don't want to outguess the direction of rates, the CD option gives me a very low risk way to get some yield," said Leon LaBrecque, CPA, certified financial planner and "chief growth officer" at Sequoia Financial Group, noting that the yields on six-month CDs vs.
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The Fed is supposed to outguess the financial markets and predict U.S. and global economies, neither of which can be consistently accomplished, in order to bolster employment over which it has no effective control, moderate long-term interest rates, over which the Fed has no control, and stabilize inflation, over which it apparently has lost control.
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It was broken by an attack published in 2002 that uses statistics based on discontinuities across the JPEG block boundaries (blockiness) of the decoded image and can estimate the lengths of messages embedded by OutGuess. It gained popularity after being used in the first puzzle published by Cicada 3301 in 2012. OutGuess was abandoned and the official website was shut down in September 2015. A fork called OutGuess Rebirth (OGR) was released in 2013 by Laurent Perch, with some bug fixes and a graphical user interface for Windows.
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OutGuess was originally developed in Germany in 1999 by Niels Provos. In 1999, Andreas Westfeld published the statistical chi-square attack, which can detect common methods for steganographically hiding messages in LSBs of quantized JPEG coefficients. In response, Provos implemented a method that exactly preserves the DCT histogram on which this attack is based. He released it in February 2001 in OutGuess version 0.2, which is not backward compatible to older versions.
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Charlie Chan is attending a police convention in New York City; he is an intended murder victim here, but avoids death by chance. To find his would-be-killer(s), Charlie must outguess police reps from both Scotland Yard and New York City Police.
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An algorithm estimates the capacity for hidden data without the distortions of the decoy data becoming apparent. OutGuess determines bits in the decoy data that it considers most expendable and then distributes secret bits based on a shared secret in a pseudorandom pattern across these redundant bits, flipping some of them according to the secret data. For JPEG images, OutGuess recompresses the image to a user-selected quality level and then embeds secret bits into the least significant bits (LSB) of the quantized coefficients while skipping zeros and ones. Subsequently, corrections are made to the coefficients to make the global histogram of discrete cosine transform (DCT) coefficients match that of the decoy image, counteracting detection by the chi-square attack that is based on the analysis of first-order statistics.
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Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons. and available on the Social Science Research Network. After Treynor's return to ADL his manager, Martin Ernst, asked him if this work had any practical applications; Treynor suggested several applications and Ernst focused on performance measurement. The result was two Harvard Business Review articles, the first, titled "How to Rate Management of Investment Funds", on measuring selection, appeared in 1965; the second (with Kay Mazuy), titled "Can Mutual Funds Outguess the Market?", on measuring timing, followed in 1966.
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Whodunit follows the paradigm of the classical detective story in the sense that it presents crime as a puzzle to be solved through a chain of questions that the detective poses. In a whodunit, however, the audience is given the opportunity to engage in the same process of deduction as the protagonist throughout the investigation of a crime. This engages the readers so that they strive to compete with or outguess the expert investigator. A defining feature of the whodunit narrative is the so-called double narrative.
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OutGuess is a steganographic software for hiding data in the most redundant content data bits of existing (media) files. It has handlers for image files in the common Netpbm and JPEG formats, so it can, for example, specifically alter the frequency coefficients of JPEG files. It is written in C and published as Free Software under the terms of the old BSD license. It has been tested on a variety of Unix-like operating systems and is included in the standard software repositories of the popular Linux distributions Debian and Arch Linux (via user repository) and their derivatives.
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This means that "active" investors (those who pick various securities to buy and hold for their returns) track their own returns against a benchmark index (an index that typifies its market) to see if they are out- or under-performing that market. Investors who do not want to do this (those who buy into indexes or securities that use indexes as their basis) are called "passive" investors. They are known to link their portfolios to the broad market and do not try to outguess conventional market wisdom. Passive investors argue that almost no active investors can beat the overall markets in the long-term.
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The Hobrecht-plan was criticized for decades as given the foundation for the social problems possibly even nurturing the street fights in the 1920s between red (communists) and brown (fascists) thugs in the crowded lower class quarters. Hobrecht himself was surely in the position and he had the education to outguess the results. He promoted his plan saying This also indicates that he had no real intention to prevent the housing conditions of the lower class which he might have seen as normal in his times. The reception in the late 20th century is much more favorable to the Hobrecht-Plan as it did also establish the basis to resolve the problems that were to come.
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