Florida, Michigan, North Carolina and New Hampshire are all still tossups.
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Republicans, meanwhile, would have to win 23 of the 30 tossups.
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The Cook Political Report lists Curbelo's and Denham's races as tossups.
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Most of these races are either tossups or even lean Republican.
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Those states are now rated as tossups by The Cook Political Report.
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Of those, 2000 had been considered either tossups or in Republican districts.
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Democrats can take the House if they win about half of the races currently rated as tossups by the Cook Political Report — or, if they fall short in tossups, by claiming a few races that currently lean Republican.
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Only 12 of the 435 races, less than 3%, are rated as tossups.
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All three GOP seats are rated as tossups by nonpartisan Cook Political Report.
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That leaves the seven "tossups" where five of the races are virtual dead heats.
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More than twice that number of districts are considered "tossups" by the major political pundits.
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The Cook Political report currently rates only two states as tossups: Florida and North Carolina.
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Of the 31 races CNN now rates as Tossups, only one is currently held by Democrats.
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But all three incumbents retired, and their seats are now tossups or leaning toward the Democrats.
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The Democrats need to win only about one-third of the tossups to win the House.
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Q. How many states do you truly think are tossups at this point in the campaign?
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Among Republicans, three incumbents — Mark Kirk (IL), Kelly Ayotte (NH), and Ron Johnson (WI) — face tossups.
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The Cook Political Report estimates that just 36 Republican-held seats are either "tossups" or "leaning" Republican.
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Individual House polls are fairly noisy, but the aggregated picture is clear: The tossups are really close.
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The polling I do see suggests that most of those races are tossups for the GOP at best.
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They lead by four points in the tossups among registered voters who say they're "almost certain" to vote.
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Tossups are won only 22006% of the time by the party who currently holds the seat at this point.
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Out of 435 seats up for election this year, just 25 are considered tossups by The Cook Political Report.
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Only two of the races statewide are considered tossups; most of the newcomers fall in the long-shot category.
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CNN's Key Race ratings list all of those states as Tossups except Texas, which is rated as Lean Republican.
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But inside the 66 districts that are tossups, or only leaning, that lead evaporates into a 46-47 D v.
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The races in Arizona, which Trump won by 3.5 points, and Nevada, which he lost by 2.4 points, are tossups.
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Clinton was thought to have an advantage, like Arizona, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Indiana, California and Connecticut, become tossups. Mrs.
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Such Democratic candidates as Colin Allred, Gina Ortiz Jones and Lizzie Fletcher have turned Republican-held congressional districts into tossups.
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The result of any single baseball game is unpredictable, of course, and many of the opening day contests seem like tossups.
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If there's any truth to this theory, many on the long list of extremely close tossups could fall to the Democrats.
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Mr. Rock and the show's writers made it the narrative engine for an awards show that had few urgent rivalries or tossups.
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Here are some of those key races: Beyond the seven tossups, four states are expected to split evenly between Democrats and Republicans.
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Only two of the races featuring female incumbents (Democrat-held seats in Missouri and North Dakota) are rated by CNN as tossups.
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Of the seats featuring male-only tickets, two (Democrat-held seats in Indiana and West Virginia) are rated by CNN as tossups.
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Senate tossups Democratic candidates in some of the nation's most competitive contests also outpaced the Republican incumbents they are trying to oust.
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Republican Senate seats that were considered to be tossups before Donald J. Trump became the Republican nominee may be even more vulnerable now.
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In Ohio, where statewide contests are often tossups, Republicans now control 11 of the state's 15 House seats and dominate the state legislature.
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Only three Republican-held seats — in Arizona, Colorado and Maine — are rated as tossups by the Cook Political Report, which tracks congressional elections.
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The races in Florida to fill Marco Rubio's seat, and in Nevada for Harry Reid's, are both tossups in states with large Latino populations.
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Finally, the party that ends up gaining seats in the midterm win on average 203% of the seats rated as tossups at this point.
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Of the 30 districts currently rated as "tossups" by Cook Political Report, two thirds have a higher prevalence of college degrees than the national average.
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In the House, the nonpartisan Cook Political Report lists just four Democratic seats as tossups or "leaning Democratic," meaning the Democrat is only mildly favored.
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The ones in Florida, Maine, Michigan, Nevada, New Mexico and Ohio — all currently held by retiring Republicans — are rated tossups or worse for the party.
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So a more polarized electorate would help the Republicans run the table in the "lean Republican" contests and stay in the game in the tossups.
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"We'd need to win tossups or even safer Republican seats, but that's what happens in a wave: People get sucked in the undertow," Mr. Schiff said.
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It lists 48 Republican seats as tossups or "leaning Republican," on top of nine other Republican seats that the newsletter considers the Republicans likely to lose.
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There are 13 states that we classify as "leaning" or "tossups," meaning there is at least a 15 percent chance that each will be won by the underdog.
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If the next tier of leaning-Republican states — like Missouri, Indiana, Texas, South Carolina or Alaska — start looking like true tossups, that would be another sign of a landslide.
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That leaves 11 key races that are up for grabs, including seven that are considered "tossups," which means just four seats could tip the balance of power in Democrats favor.
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The number of House seats that were deemed "tossups" or "leaning" by the Cook Political Report basically doubled over the final three months of the 22010, 2008 and 2010 elections.
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They think the four G.O.P. Senate seats with serious races (Arizona, Nevada, Tennessee, Texas) are now either tilting their way — including, at long last, Arizona — or are, at worst, tossups.
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As Politico recently noted, more than half of the Republicans in races considered to be "tossups" by the nonpartisan Cook Political Report are chief sponsors of a House opioids bill.
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But it's so close over all: Across our 28 polls in districts rated as tossups by the Cook Political Report, we have the Democrats leading by around half a point in aggregate.
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Democrats must pick up 23 seats to control the chamber, and more than 30 Republican-held seats are already either leaning toward the Democrats or are tossups, according to nonpartisan political analysts.
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A mere six seats out of 20063 up for election are considered genuine tossups by Cook's assessment (Florida, Indiana, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina and Pennsylvania), while five are in the "lean" category.
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Democrats need a net gain of 23 seats to take control of the House in November, and fewer than 50 of the 435 districts are considered tossups by political pundits tracking the race.
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The Mountain West has emerged as a general-election battleground in recent years, with explosive Latino growth and other demographic trends turning states that once leaned Republican, like Nevada and Colorado, into November tossups.
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Today, Nate Cohn and the Upshot team highlighted a few polls happening right now: In the last few weeks, we've polled 14 of the 29 G.O.P.-held districts that are rated as tossups by the Cook Political Report.
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Together, Democrats in these close races -- rated by CNN as either tossups or leaning Democratic or Republican -- raised $126.8 million during the three-month period, nearly three times the $43 million raised by GOP candidates in these contests.
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After more than 10,000 interviews, the result, in the aggregate, is that Democrats and Republicans are essentially tied in the 30 districts rated as tossups by the Cook Political Report, with Democrats leading by around half a percentage point.
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It's still early, but as of April 19800, the Cook Political Report lists only 19603 out of 21960 congressional races as "tossups," and puts only an additional 21970 races in its next closest category — "leaning" toward one party or the other.
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In five other districts, the Democrats received between 45 percent and 213 percent of the major party vote, setting up races that could be characterized as tossups or leaning Republican, just as they're currently rated by the Cook Political Report.
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Minnesota is a key battleground state in these midterms, with a quartet of House races -- MN-202 and MN-208, open seats CNN rates as tossups, and MN-02 and MN-03, Republican-held seats CNN rates as leaning Democratic -- seen by strategists on both sides as bellwethers.
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NAQT also uses powers in their tossups, which reward players with 15 points instead of 10 for a tossup answered before a predetermined point. Games played on NAQT rules consist of two nine-minute halves and a total of 24 tossups. NAQT tossups are typically shorter than most other pyramidal tossups because of a character limit enforced on the questions. The format used for the now-defunct College Bowl tournament uses comparatively shorter questions.
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Gameplay is relatively quick as it is played in eight-minute halves, to a usual total of 22–24 tossups read. The Honda Campus All Star Challenge and University Challenge use similar formats. Matches played at the National Academic Championship and its affiliated tournaments are split into four quarters, with differing styles of gameplay in each phase. Individual tournaments may use worksheet quizzes, lightning rounds, or tossups without accompanying bonuses.
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There are no bonus points for correctly answering the tossup question early, or bonus questions for getting the tossup question correct. The second quarter consists of eight tossups, also worth 10 points each. However, in the second quarter, if a team answers a tossup question correctly, they get a chance at a related bonus question worth an extra ten points if correctly answered. On the bonus questions, team members can confer with each other, in contrast with the tossups.
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Know-And-Tell is a toss-up round, in which either team can answer. Tossups are worth 10 points each. Conversations with team members are allowed. Some questions have bonuses attached to them.
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The use of mathematical computation problems in tossups is criticized by some for rewarding fast problem solving skills over conceptual knowledge and being non-pyramidal. Pyramidal questions are sometimes criticized for containing obscure information and being unsuitable for television.
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Several variations on the game of quiz bowl exist that affect question structure and content, rules of play, and round format. One standardized format is the pyramidal tossup/bonus format, which is used in NAQT and ACF (or mACF, referring to question sets produced in a similar style to those of ACF) competitions. Many quiz bowl question producers, including ACF and NAQT, publish a distribution of the number of tossups and bonuses per round that will feature material from a given area of study. ACF/mACF tossups are written in pyramidal style and are generally much longer than College Bowl and NAQT questions.
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The second algorithm (averaging 3 days worth of nonpartisan polls) gave Kerry 245 and Bush 278 with 15 tossups. The third algorithm (predicting the undecideds) predicted 281 for Kerry and 257 for Bush. The actual vote gave Kerry 252 to Bush's 286. Using nonpartisan polls and averaging a few days worth of polls did best.
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Pyramidal or pyramid-style tossups include multiple clues and are written so that each question starts with more difficult clues and moves toward easier clues. This way the player with the most knowledge of the subject being asked about has the most opportunity to answer first. Pyramidal toss-ups are considered standard for college quiz bowl. In most formats, correctly answering a toss-up earns a team 10 points.
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Two common types of toss-ups include buzzer-beaters and pyramidal tossups. Buzzer-beaters (also known as speed check or quick-recall questions) are relatively short, rarely more than two sentences long, and contain few clues. This type of question is written specifically to test quick recall skills of players, and does not discriminate the different levels of knowledge that the players possess. These Buzzer-Beaters are not included in major state or national tournaments.
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A game board of nine monitors displayed eight categories. A random player was chosen to pick a category and a toss-up question was asked for $50. Buzzing in and answering correctly won the team the money, and the opposing team got a chance to answer if a player came up with an incorrect answer. For seven of the eight categories on the board, two additional tossups were asked at $50 per correct answer.
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Games are usually untimed and last until a total of 20 tossups are read. The published distribution of ACF quiz bowl emphasizes academic subjects, with very little popular culture. NAQT is another common variation on the tossup/bonus format that balances academic rigor with a wider variety of subjects, including popular culture and an increased amount of current events and geography content. Unlike many mACF events, most questions used in this format are written and sold by NAQT themselves.
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The fact that the field of six Democrats raised more than $4.4 million combined for the Democratic primary was seen as a sign of Democratic enthusiasm. The 10th district race also drew in the most money in the state in the second quarter. The general election, along with the other 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia, was held on November 6, 2018. As of May, Roll Call listed Comstock as one of only three incumbents running in districts rated as tossups.
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A second algorithm used only nonpartisan polls and averaged all polls during the past three days. A third algorithm used historical data to predict how undecided voters would break. Maps for each of the algorithms were given every day, but the first one got most of the publicity since it was on the main page. The site's final tracking using algorithm 1 posted on Election Day, November 2 gave 262 electoral votes to John Kerry and 261 to George W. Bush, with 15 tossups.
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Up until and including 2013, the small school champion was decided on a playoff between top finishing teams at the High School National Championship Tournament. Since 2014, a separate national championship tournament has been held for small schools. Since 2018, NAQT has also run the Individual Player National Championship (IPNCT). The IPNCT format is different from that of other NAQT national championship tournament, with players first competing in "group matches" which 8-10 players where they hear 48 or 72 ICT Division II tossups.
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Any teams that are eligible for MSNCT that qualify for HSNCT have also qualified for MSNCT. The Individual Player National Championship Tournament has also had a middle school division since 2019. The format of the middle school division of the IPNCT is the same as that of the high school division, but the middle school division uses tossups written at the same difficulty of NAQT's Invitational Series for playoff rounds. In 2019, NAQT started using question packets with a difficulty “similar to those in NAQT’s Regular Invitation Series sets,” for playoff rounds of MSNCT.
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Each game is divided into four quarters, and there are no penalties for incorrect answers at any point within the game. However, if a student on one team buzzes in and answers a tossup question incorrectly, that student's teammates are prohibited from ringing in and trying to answer that particular question. As in the National History Bee, the tossup questions are "pyramidal," that is, they become easier towards the end of the question, which rewards depth of knowledge for students able to ring in early. The first quarter consists of ten tossups, which are each worth 10 points.
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An ACF game consists of twenty ten-point tossups with thirty-point bonuses, a format now widely used by various collegiate and high school quiz bowl tournaments. The ACF finals format is unique in that it involves awarding a tournament title outright to a team which is two or more games ahead in the standings of the second-place team at the end of the tournament proper. If two teams are tied, a one-game winner-take-all final is played. An advantaged final of up to two games is played if the first-place team is exactly one game ahead of the second-place team.
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