Wilson has a knack for forecasting the future of the industry.
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Compared to forecasting the future pace of productivity growth, demographics are reassuringly predictable.
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Forecasting the future was the mandate during last week's WIRED25, our second annual ideas festival.
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Walker Sands' research comes on the heels of two other reports forecasting the future of online spending.
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By temperament and training, political scientists are rightly wary of forecasting the future, as Jennifer Victor recently noted.
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"This unit for Oklahoma City is getting absolutely destroyed," ABC's Jeff Van Gundy said, forecasting the future of the rivalry.
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However, when it comes to forecasting the future, the EIA's crystal ball appears to be clouded by persistent biases and errors.
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Forecasting the future growth of EVs is difficult enough, given the multiple moving parts of government regulation and automakers' own commercial strategies.
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"If this rally in the semiconductor cohort is right, if it's accurately forecasting the future, then you want buy Honeywell," he said.
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They're the subjects of a new book by Temple University advertising professor Devon Powers, On Trend: The Business of Forecasting the Future.
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Misconceptions about what "prediction" means in this context are partly responsible — forecasting the future is just a special case of the general capability.
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Forecasting the future As the international political climate quickly evolves, the U.S. outlook for manufacturing is also in the throes of political scrutiny and upheaval.
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In a tweet, Osborne argued that — if you rely only on data and trends — you might go dreadfully awry forecasting the future of automation and employment.
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I've gotta say, though, that after watching three videos of Willoughby slice through the little black nubs of bananas in the hopes of forecasting the future, I find the concept somewhat endearing.
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The markets are forecasting the future, and so the markets right now are saying something very different for what they expect for the future than what the economic data is showing happened in the most recent past.
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I hope that any additional prosperity that comes from tax reform will be broad-based, but I fear that, this time, Wall Street is only forecasting the future of Wall Street, not the future of the street where you live.
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Though he&aposs had some big investment successes, including Tesla, his track record on forecasting the future of government and innovation is somewhat checkered by his failed effort to split up California and his backing of the healthcare startup Theranos, which has since been shut down amid allegations of fraud.
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When the yield curve inverted and you look at the global bond market and yet at the same time you have new all-time highs in stocks, which market is correct about forecasting the future of global growth, the stock market, or should we be worried about what the bond market is telling us?
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But on the whole, the state of the field is a little bit as if almost all climate change researchers were focused on managing the droughts, wildfires, and famines we're already facing today, with only a tiny skeleton team dedicating to forecasting the future and 50 or so researchers who work full time on coming up with a plan to turn things around.
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According to Henri Poincaré writing in 1908 (English translation), "The true method of forecasting the future of mathematics lies in the study of its history and its present state".Henri Poincaré (1908). "The Future of Mathematics". Translation of the French original: "L'avenir des mathématiques" .
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Collaborative Networked Learning: On-line Facilitation and Software Support, Digital Equipment Corporation. Burlington, MA. and Collaborative learning-work and Collaborative Learning-Work (CLW).Wright, Kieth C. and Davie, Judith (1999) Forecasting the Future: School Media Programs in an Age of Change. Scarecrow Press: Maryland, pps.33,106.
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Biodemography is a multidisciplinary approach, integrating biological knowledge (studies on human biology and animal models) with demographic research on human longevity and survival. Biodemographic studies are important for understanding the driving forces of the current longevity revolution (dramatic increase in human life expectancy), forecasting the future of human longevity, and identification of new strategies for further increase in healthy and productive life span.
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Her work also looks at the relationship between storytelling, art, technology and innovation, and the role of interdisciplinarity in forecasting the future. She has spoken at conferences including SXSW, NXNE, the National Association of Media Literacy, and the World Future Society and has been featured in Mashable, the New York Times, Huffington Post, the Toronto Star and on CTV. Ramona was named one of the "10 to Watch" for 2013 by Playback Magazine.
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In 1956–59, he headed the New York Metropolitan Region Study for the Harvard Graduate School of Public Administration, forecasting the future development of the conurbation. It was funded by the Ford Foundation and the Rockefeller Brothers Fund and was a pioneering work of urban studies. From 1959 until his retirement, he was a faculty member at Harvard, initially at the Harvard Business School. In 1965, he headed the Multinational Enterprise Project, studying US and foreign multinational companies.
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The line included skinny jodhpurs, tight, fitted blazers, beaded embellished scarves, and other multicultural mixes. Balenciaga is known for creating avant-garde structural pieces, straddling the edge of fashion and forecasting the future of women's ready-to-wear fashion. Vintage Balenciaga garments are popular among fashion editors, Hollywood stars, and models, and have been seen on Sienna Miller, Lara Bingle, Raquel Zimmerman, Caroline Trentini, Emmanuelle Alt, Tatiana Sorokko, Hilary Rhoda, Jennifer Garner, and Stephanie Seymour, among others.
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Time series models are used for predicting or forecasting the future behavior of variables. These models account for the fact that data points taken over time may have an internal structure (such as auto correlation, trend or seasonal variation) that should be accounted for. As a result, standard regression techniques cannot be applied to time series data and methodology has been developed to decompose the trend, seasonal and cyclical component of the series. Time series models estimate difference equations containing stochastic components.
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These areas could become sources of new swarms if not sprayed and create an upsurge. So if hoppers are stopped from adults this wouldn't lead to another cycle of infestation. The supercomputer, funded by £35m of UK aid as part of its Weather and Climate Information Services for Africa programme, has successfully forecast the movement of locusts using data such as wind speed and direction, temperature, and humidity. The model has achieved 90% accuracy in forecasting the future locations of the swarms.
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Although no warnings were issued initially, the National Observatory of Cuba voiced concerns that the intense tropical cyclone presented a danger to Cuba, particularly Camagüey Province, as early as November 5\. However, the observatory indicated that forecasting the future motion of the hurricane was difficult as the storm's intensity and previous motion was not consistent with climatology. On November 8, a hurricane warning was issued for the southeastern extent of Cuba. As a precautionary measure, shipping routes servicing ports in eastern Cuba were suspended.
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Forecasting plays a key role in any organisation's planning process as it provides insight into uncertainty. Through simulation, one will be able to assess whether proposed strategies are likely to produce the desired objectives within predefined limits. In the field of economic forecasting, the future path of the economy is intrinsic to almost every company's business outlook, and hence there is considerable demand for accurate economic forecasts. Matching this strong demand is the large volume of readily available forecast information from governments, international agencies and various private firms.
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RPR = (amount of known resource) / (amount used per year) This ratio is used by companies and government agencies in forecasting the future availability of a resource to determine project life, future income, employment, etc., and to determine whether more exploration must be undertaken to ensure continued supply of the resource. Annual production of a resource can usually be calculated to quite an accurate number. However, reserve quantities can only be estimated to varying degrees of accuracy, depending on the availability of information and on the methods used to evaluate them.
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In a 1994 Wired interview, Steve Jobs, forecasting the future development of the web for personal publishing, said "The Web is great because that person can't foist anything on you-you have to go get it. They can make themselves available, but if nobody wants to look at their site, that's fine. To be honest, most people who have something to say get published now." Michael Gorman, former president of the American Library Association has been vocal about his opposition to Web 2.0 due to the lack of expertise that it outwardly claims, though he believes that there is hope for the future.
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Forecasting the Future: Can The Hive Mind Let Us Predict the Future?, in Futurism, published September 16th 2016, retrieved March 16, 2019 The scoring awards points both for being right and for being more right than the community.Metaculus FAQ In January 2020, Metaculus introduced the Bentham Prize, which awards bi-weekly monetary prizes of $300, $200 and $100 to the first, second and third most valuable user contributions. The following month, Metaculus introduced the Li Wenliang prize, which awards a number of different monetary prizes to questions, forecasts and analyses related to the COVID-19 outbreak.
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Initially, the NHC faced difficulties in forecasting the future of the system due to the potential for resumed strong wind shear, as well as uncertainty in its path of direction. It gradually organized and intensified, and based on observations from the Hurricane Hunters, the NHC assessed the depression as a tropical storm late on September 11; upon doing so, they named it Gordon. As it strengthened, Gordon developed more large outflow and increasing banding features. On September 12, the storm slowed and turned toward the north through a weakness in the subtropical ridge created by Florence.
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The cloud pattern of the depression quickly became better organized as a curved band developed around intensifying deep convection, and it is estimated the system intensified into Tropical Storm Paul just six hours after forming. Easterly wind shear exposed the low level circulation to the east of the area of deep convection, though Paul continued to intensify as it moved through an area of warm waters and progressively weakening wind shear. The low level circulation gradually became more embedded within the convection as the cloud pattern improved. Computer models had troubles in forecasting the future of the storm early in its life; the GFDL model forecast Paul to reach winds of 119 mph (191 km/h), while global models expected the system to dissipate in 48-72 hours.
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Thai Prophecy Verse (th: เพลงยาวพยากรณ์กรุงศรีอยุธยา, RTGS: Phleng yao phayakon krung si ayutthaya, the verse prophesying the future of Krung Si Ayutthaya) is a poetry forecasting the future of Thailand. It was composed on a par with Maha Supina Jataka in Tripitaka, the Jataka features the reply of Buddha to King Pasenadi of Kosala about the King's sixteen-fold dream. The Verse was official published in the Book "Athibai phaen thi phra nakhon si autthaya" (th: อธิบายแผนที่พระนครศรีอยุธยา, Explanations for the maps of Ayutthaya Kingdom) for the first time, the Book was edited by Phraya Boranratchathanin (Phon Dechakhup) (th: พระยาโบราณราชธานินทร์ (ผล เดชคุปต์)), Governor General of Ayutthaya Monthon and Vice President of the Royal Institute of Thailand at that time. The book was presented to Phra Bat Somdet Phra Poramen Maha Vajiravudh in the Royal Ceremony on Merit Marking in Dedication to the Late Kings in 1926.
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