But few of those Cassandras have the tech cred of Mr. Musk.
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Wandering Cassandras are foretelling the bubble's burst, but it doesn't look near.
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Their views did not prevail, however, and neither should those of our own Cassandras.
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They, too, perceived that something bigger was happening — that the Cassandras were truth-tellers.
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There will be plenty of time for all of Cassandras to be proven right.
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The Cassandras, however, were right to warn about poverty in the midst of abundance.
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A few Cassandras warned about the risks, but like the original Cassandra, they went unheeded.
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The Cassandras, myself included, have been wrong about this warning for what seems like a long time.
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Consider us Cassandras, watching the world fall apart in movies before it falls apart on the news.
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This year we switch from Monday-morning quarterbacks to (hold on for a hugely mixed metaphor) Cassandras.
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Then he looks at seven new Cassandras who are warning us about genetic technologies, global warming, and the cybercrime.
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The Democrats' centrist Cassandras invariably point to four presidential elections—two losses and two victories—to buttress their argument.
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The US Navy is following the advice of TED talk-ers and technology Cassandras: It's taking a step away from screens.
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Probably, he says, the idea originated years ago on a mailing list for singularity cassandras, which sounds like the world's most terrifying listserv.
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Singularity cassandras have never been great at perspective-switching, making people understand what a world-conquering robot would be thinking while it world-conquered.
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Strangely, science-fiction writers, our most reliable Cassandras, have shied from envisioning an A.G.I. apocalypse in which the machines so dominate that humans go extinct.
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After a decade of low interest rates that fueled a massive run-up in stocks, real estate and other assets, financial Cassandras are not hard to find.
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But it's also exposed just how unprepared the U.S. is for a threat many would-be Cassandras have been warning about for years: a targeted biological attack.
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Robock and Toon are modern day Cassandras, having warned for decades about the potentially ruinous climate change consequences of a nuclear war, most recently focusing on regional conflicts.
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"Y234K" itself would go on to win WOTY honors for 226, but thankfully the Cassandras were wrong and we weren't all forced off the grid when the millennium arrived.
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We see the school at its inception and learn how its existence was always fragile; we meet Cassandras who warn the teacher that the United States might one day forsake him.
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They did so because ACM activists cast themselves as so many Cassandras who had been sounding the alarm for the entire decade that Peoples Temple amassed the majority of its followers.
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Andy Grove, a CEO of Intel, advised CEOs to balance the sycophants they inevitably attract by cultivating "Cassandras" who are "quick to recognise impending change and cry out an early warning".
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We engage with them in the same way that past societies engaged with paintings of the Madonna in the Renaissance, or royal portraits, or the Cassandras and Athenas from the classical period.
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The books he recommends range from suspenseful thrillers like "House of Spies, " by Daniel Silva to political non-fiction like "Warnings: Finding Cassandras to Stop Catastrophes, " by Richard A. Clarke and R.P. Eddy.
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At the start of the year, "secular stagnation", "political risk" and "weak recovery" were the Cassandras' popular tropes, but they quietly faded from the wider market discourse as, frankly, global growth and markets boomed.
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These Cassandras are often middle managers who "usually know more about upcoming change than the senior management because they spend so much time 'outdoors' where the winds of the real world blow in their faces".
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Now — with the S&P up nearly 20% year to date but with the near-20% drop of a year ago fresh in mind — most investors, Cassandras and Polyannas alike, agree on a few things.
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This "nuclear option," the Cassandras cry, would cause a severe spike in U.S. interest rates, tank America's stock market and freeze its credit market, pushing the U.S. into recession and impeding the re-election of you know who.
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That turned out to be not entirely true either — many designers' own thing was the old thing — but recently the fashion Cassandras were at it again, declaring that the current drive toward sustainability might kill the fashion show.
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Warnings looks at seven past Cassandras – people with so-called "sentinel personalities" – who saw the rise of ISIS and the fall of Madoff, and the financial crisis and examines the findings that made them want to warn the world.
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It's the sound of wind whistling through the abandoned malls of America as the Cassandras of contemporary retail cry their doom through corridors lined by fronds of lonely greenery: the end of a way of shopping, and all that.
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Letters To the Editor: Re "The Real Threat to Election Integrity" (editorial, July 9): As one of the small cadre of Cassandras who have long been warning about this vulnerability, I must question the narrowness of your view of potential meddlers.
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Whether you fall into the shocked and delighted camp, or you saw every twist coming like the rest of us tinfoil hat Cassandras at The Verge, there is common ground to unite us: the show's music was fantastic, and now it's available online in its entirety in a variety of places.
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Inflation's revenge: Wall Street Cassandras have been warning about impending inflation for years, but these critics can now point to data showing great demand for labor, like a recent survey from the National Federation of Independent Businesses, which shows that a higher share of jobs are going unfilled today than at any point since 2001.
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Meanwhile, one of the officers at the station kills himself; he has similar symptoms to that of the Cassandras. Mulder suffers a seizure and flashes back to his childhood again, witnessing his parents arguing with The Smoking Man. Scully sees Mulder the next day, telling him that she believes that the Cassandras killed themselves after receiving psychiatric treatment and that Mulder was visiting them about their alien abduction experiences. The agents visit Dr. Goldstein in Warwick, Rhode Island, who was treating Amy with an aggressive method to help her recover her abduction memories.
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HMS Cassandra, taken from HMS Centaur, c1964 After the war, Cassandras repairs were completed and she was placed in reserve in 1946. She then served in the Mediterranean Sea and Indian Ocean. Cassandra was modernised by Yarrow and Company. This involved her being fitted with an enclosed bridge and Squid anti-submarine mortars.
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HFA tackles the mixed integer hard problem using an integrated analytic framework, leading to improved network performance and reduced memory usage for the network construction. Forward Algorithm for Optimal Control in Hybrid Systems:Zhang, Ping, and Christos G. Cassandras. "An improved forward algorithm for optimal control of a class of hybrid systems." Automatic Control, IEEE Transactions on 47.10 (2002): 1735-1739.
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Hirschman advocates instead these "mature" bases for discussion: # There are dangers and risks in both action and inaction. The risks of both should be canvassed, assessed, and guarded against to the extent possible. # The baneful consequences of either action or inaction can never be known with certainty but our reaction to either is affected by the two types of alarm-sounding Cassandras with whom we have become acquainted.
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When they arrive there, Mulder has striking pains in his head and flashes back again to when he was a child, seeing a younger version of The Smoking Man (Chris Owens) in his home. The agents enter the home, where they find the Cassandras dead from gunshot wounds. The agents call the police, who take Mulder with them due to the circumstantial evidence against him. Scully performs an autopsy on Amy Cassandra, finding a scab on her forehead.
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Warnings: Finding Cassandras to Stop Catastrophes is an award-winning best seller published by HarperCollins Ecco and written by former United States intelligence and counterterrorism official Richard A. Clarke, and former White House National Security Council Director, and U.S. and UN senior diplomat RP Eddy. The book offers a framework, "The Cassandra Coefficient," to help determine which warnings decisions makers should look into more closely, and if some warnings deserve less attention. The case studies range from national security, to threatening technologies, to the global economy, to climate change and speculates on various potential threats to civilization.
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The authors cover seven case studies in which data driven, proven, credible experts specifically warned of a pending catastrophe, were ignored by the decision makers, and the disaster subsequently struck just as predicted. The authors call these seers, "Cassandras" after the Greek mythological figure who could foretell disaster but was cursed to never be believed. The authors propose a method to separate accurate predictions of danger from inaccurate doomsayers, "The Cassandra Coefficient." They then investigate experts who today are warning of future disasters—the threats from artificial intelligence, bio-hacking, mutating viruses, and more—and whose calls are not being heeded.
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Eddy is also a Producer of the 2017 Grammy Award winning orchestral jazz album The Presidential Suite Eight Variations of Freedom by Ted Nash. Along with two-time New York Times bestselling author and national security veteran Richard A. Clarke, Eddy co-wrote the Amazon and Publisher's Weekly Best Seller, and award winning, Warnings: Finding Cassandras to Stop Catastrophes published by HarperCollins in 2017. Warnings is a book about how to assess risk and make better decisions in the realms of national security, complex technology, the US economy, and risks to civilization. Warnings won the 2018 Axiom Business Book of the Year Silver Medal.
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22 (1999) Occasionally there may be a "successful" alert, though the succession of books, campaigns, organizations, and personalities that we think of as the environmental movement has more generally fallen toward the opposite side of this dilemma: a failure to "get through" to the people and avert disaster. In the words of Atkisson: "too often we watch helplessly, as Cassandra did, while the soldiers emerge from the Trojan horse just as foreseen and wreak their predicted havoc. Worse, Cassandra's dilemma has seemed to grow more inescapable even as the chorus of Cassandras has grown larger."AtKisson, A., Believing Cassandra: An Optimist Looks at a Pessimist's World, p.
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In discrete event simulation concurrent estimation is a technique used to estimate the effect of alternate parameter settings on a discrete event system. For example from observation of a (computer simulated) telecommunications system with a specified buffer size B_0, one estimates what the performance would be if the buffer size had been set to the alternate values B_1,\ldots,B_n. Effectively the technique generates (during a single simulation run) n alternative histories for the system state variables, which have the same probability of occurring as the main simulated state path; this results in a computational saving as compared to running n additional simulations, one for each alternative parameter value. The technique was developed by Cassandras,vita.bu.
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Recent scholarship on theories of the sociology of knowledge raise important caveats. As Jones and Silberzahn documented in the 2013 volume Constructing Cassandra: Reframing Intelligence Failure at the CIA, 1947–2001, while hypotheses are essential to sorting "signals" from "noise" in raw intelligence data, the variety, types and boundaries of the types of hypotheses an intelligence organization entertains are a function of the collective culture and identity of the intelligence producer. Often, these hypotheses are shaped not merely by the cognitive biases of individual analysts, but by complex social mechanism both inside and outside that analytic unit. After many strategic surprises, "Cassandras" – analysts or outsiders who offered warnings, but whose hypotheses were ignored or sidelined – are discovered.
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Most notable among Bonner's publications were her local color stories in which she is said to have an "adept and skillful handling of Negro dialect", basing many of her stories around the "gran'mammy" figure she knew in her youth, Bonner's stories of Southern life were not tinged with bitterness over the victory of the North in the Civil War, rather she viewed the war as the crisis of the nation as a whole. Going so far as to disparage critics of reconstruction such as Wendell Phillips, she wrote that "The Cassandras have never saved a country yet… the critic is always and always has been overestimated as an intellectual force in his life time… The everlasting 'no' gets monotonous in the long term." Bonner favored creators over critics. Other works of note include her Dialect Tales, Like unto Like, and Suwanee River Tales.
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Foreseeing potential future directions for a corporation or company is sometimes called "visioning",Davies, P., "The Cassandra Complex: how to avoid generating a corporate vision that no one buys into" pp. 103–123 in Success in Sight: Visioning (1998)yet achieving a clear, shared vision in an organization is often difficult due to a lack of commitment to the new vision by some individuals in the organization, because it does not match reality as they see it. Those who support the new vision are termed "Cassandras"—able to see what is going to happen, but not believed. Sometimes the name Cassandra is applied to those who can predict rises, falls, and particularly crashes on the global stock market, as happened with Warren Buffett, who repeatedly warned that the 1990s stock market surge was a bubble, attracting to him the title of the "Wall Street Cassandra".
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Many environmentalists have predicted looming environmental catastrophes including climate change, rise in sea levels, irreversible pollution, and an impending collapse of ecosystems, including those of rainforests and ocean reefs.AtKisson, A., Believing Cassandra: An Optimist Looks at a Pessimist's World, Earthscan (1999) Individuals sometimes acquire the label of 'Cassandras', whose warnings of impending environmental disaster are disbelieved or mocked. Environmentalist Alan Atkisson wrote in 1999 that to understand that humanity is on a collision course with the laws of nature is to be stuck in what he calls the 'Cassandra dilemma' in which a person can see the most likely outcome of current trends and can warn people about what is happening, but the vast majority cannot, or will not respond, and later if catastrophe occurs, they may even blame the person, as if their prediction set the disaster in motion.AtKisson, A., Believing Cassandra: An Optimist Looks at a Pessimist's World, p.
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